UL Monroe at Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 4th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -31 (54.0)
Kentucky 45 - UL Monroe: 10

Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -19.5 (SP+ UK -34)
Projected Score: ULM: 21 - UK: 32 (53)
UK Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
ULM Travel: 570 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UL Monroe at Kentucky	+31.0	54.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	52.0	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	49.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+33.5	57.5	L 6 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+16.0	49.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	UL Monroe vs Liberty	+32.5	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/23	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+13.5	51.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	UL Monroe at App State	+26.5	57.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/6	UL Monroe at Texas State	+3.0	57.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/13	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-3.0	66.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	UL Monroe at LSU	+29.0	57.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/27	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+21.5	56.0	L 16 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kentucky vs UL Monroe	-31.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Kentucky vs Missouri	-5.5	56.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Kentucky vs Chattanooga	-33.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kentucky at South Carolina	-4.5	49.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Kentucky vs Florida	+7.5	56.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Kentucky vs LSU	-2.0	50.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Kentucky at Georgia	+21.5	44.5	L 13 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+1.0	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+1.0	57.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/13	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-21.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-35.5	61.0	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Kentucky at Louisville	+3.0	58.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 1/1	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.03	35%	16.6	36%	2.33	76	35%	229	3.04	.34	48%	31.9	50%	45%	4.23	43.7	1.8	1
UK	.12	43%	23	49%	3.07	196	35%	122	3.33	.13	45%	26.4	44%	46%	3.57	56	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	10	16.6	15.4	35.3%	3.04	1.8	17	305	76	229	3.1	36%	64%	36%	35%	20%	.03
UK Defense	11	26.4	22.6	45.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	46%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	10	31.9	39	48%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	50%	45%	13%	.34
UK Offense	11	23	31.7	43.4%	3.33	1.1	17	318	196	122	4.9	61%	38%	49%	35%	14%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	10	27:14	16.6	26%	53%	4.8	43.7	1.8	1	5.3	1.7	0	26.6
Kentucky	11	31:00	17.3	37%	47%	5.7	56	1.1	2	4.9	1.4	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	10	36%	36%	24.9	76.1	3.1	8	-.1	2.33	50%	11%	0.83
UK Defense	11	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.86	59%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	10	65%	50%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.31	72%	9%	1.12
UK Offense	11	61%	49%	39.8	196.4	4.9	19	.18	3.07	75%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	10	64%	35%	22.3	38.3	229	6	10.3	14	12	.09	1.5	38%	25%	.08	8%	1.9
UK Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.21	1.4	28%	36%	.39	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	10	35%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.49	2	30%	39%	.62	3%	2.4
UK Offense	11	38%	35%	13	21.9	121.8	5.6	9.4	7	5	.04	1.3	28%	22%	.15	5%	1.9

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Kentucky: 9.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.3 Kentucky: 13.4

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 32
UL Monroe 21

Projected Total Points: 53

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/04	Kentucky	45	UL Monroe	10	Kentucky -31	Kentucky	54.0	Over
2014	10/11	Kentucky	48	UL Monroe	14	Kentucky -20.5	Kentucky	0
2009	10/24	Kentucky	36	UL Monroe	13
2006	11/18	Kentucky	42	UL Monroe	40

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	4	2	1 Overs
UL Monroe	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) ULM at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#23
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#18
OffenseOff	#134	#4
DefenseDef	#103	#71
Spec TeamsST	#128	#60
TalentTal	#122	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#71
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#135	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#18	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -31.0 (54.0)
Kentucky won vs UL Monroe this year (45-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD