Troy at UL Monroe - 2021 Matchup Preview

Troy Trojans at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Troy -23.5 (49.5)
UL Monroe 29 - Troy: 16 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY 2nd straight Road Game
ULM 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ TROY -14)
Projected Score: TROY: 25 - ULM: 21 (46)
TROY Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
TROY Travel: 361 miles

Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Troy vs Southern	-25.0	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Troy vs Liberty	+3.0	62.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/18	Troy at Southern Miss	-11.0	49.0	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	49.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/2	Troy at South Carolina	+6.5	43.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	Troy vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	51.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Troy at Texas State	-7.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28	Troy at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	50.0	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Troy vs Louisiana	+6.5	48.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Troy vs App State	+10.0	51.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+6.5	49.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UL Monroe at Kentucky	+31.0	54.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	52.0	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	49.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+33.5	57.5	L 6 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+16.0	49.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	UL Monroe vs Liberty	+32.5	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/23	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+13.5	51.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	UL Monroe at App State	+26.5	57.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/6	UL Monroe at Texas State	+3.0	57.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/13	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-3.0	66.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	UL Monroe at LSU	+29.0	57.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/27	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+21.5	56.0	L 16 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.18	44%	23.5	42%	2.85	103	46%	290	3.33	.14	43%	23.9	43%	44%	3.49	50.2	1.6	1.3
ULM	.03	35%	16.6	36%	2.33	76	35%	229	3.04	.34	48%	31.9	50%	45%	4.23	43.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	11	23.5	23.4	44.3%	3.33	1.6	22	393	103	290	3.4	36%	64%	42%	46%	16%	.18
ULM Defense	10	31.9	22	48%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	50%	45%	13%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	11	23.9	25.9	43.3%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	43%	44%	15%	.14
ULM Offense	10	16.6	18.2	35.3%	3.04	1.8	17	305	76	229	3.1	36%	64%	36%	35%	20%	.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	11	26:49	21.8	46%	59%	5	50.2	1.6	1.3	6	2	2	29.4
UL Monroe	10	27:14	16.6	26%	53%	4.8	43.7	1.8	1	5.3	1.7	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	11	36%	42%	29.8	102.6	3.4	11	.07	2.85	63%	9%	0.92
ULM Defense	10	65%	50%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.31	72%	9%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.8	70%	10%	0.95
ULM Offense	10	36%	36%	24.9	76.1	3.1	8	-.1	2.33	50%	11%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	11	64%	46%	27.2	41.5	290.2	7	10.7	22	13	.24	1.4	30%	37%	.42	7%	2
ULM Defense	10	35%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.49	2	30%	39%	.62	3%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	11	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.5	30%	32%	.24	5%	1.7
ULM Offense	10	64%	35%	22.3	38.3	229	6	10.3	14	12	.09	1.5	38%	25%	.08	8%	1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: UL Monroe: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.5 UL Monroe: -20.3

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 25
UL Monroe 21

Projected Total Points: 46

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	UL Monroe	14	Troy	37	Troy -4.5	Troy	45.5	Over
2024	09/28	Troy	9	UL Monroe	13	Troy -6	UL Monroe	46.0	Under
2023	11/11	UL Monroe	14	Troy	45	Troy -23.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2022	11/19	Troy	34	UL Monroe	16	Troy -15	Troy	48.5	Over
2021	09/25	UL Monroe	29	Troy	16	Troy -23.5	UL Monroe	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	UL Monroe	27	Troy	35	Troy -4.5	Troy	59.0	Over
2015	11/07	Troy	51	UL Monroe	14	Troy -5	Troy	52.0	Over
2014	09/27	UL Monroe	22	Troy	20	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Troy	0
2013	10/31	Troy	37	UL Monroe	49	Troy -3	UL Monroe	0
2011	10/15	Troy	10	UL Monroe	38
2010	10/30	UL Monroe	28	Troy	14
2009	10/31	Troy	42	UL Monroe	21
2008	11/01	UL Monroe	31	Troy	30
2007	09/29	Troy	24	UL Monroe	7
2006	10/14	Troy	24	UL Monroe	19
2005	10/15	UL Monroe	27	Troy	3
2003	11/22	Troy	28	UL Monroe	24
2001	11/10	UL Monroe	12	Troy	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	8	3	5 Overs
Troy	10	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	3 - 6	2 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#125
Perf GradeGrade	#68	#132
OffenseOff	#94	#134
DefenseDef	#15	#103
Spec TeamsST	#93	#128
TalentTal	#91	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#108	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#46	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#135	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Troy 23.5 (49.5)
UL Monroe won vs Troy this year (29-16)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat UL Monroe last year (37-14)
UL Monroe beat Troy in 2024 (13-9)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2023 (45-14)

TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD