South Alabama at Troy - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Troy -3.5 (47.5)
Troy 31 - South Alabama: 24 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ TROY -1)
Projected Score: USA: 25 - TROY: 28 (53)
TROY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 145 miles

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Troy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Troy vs Southern	-25.0	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Troy vs Liberty	+3.0	62.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/18	Troy at Southern Miss	-11.0	49.0	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	49.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/2	Troy at South Carolina	+6.5	43.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	Troy vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	51.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Troy at Texas State	-7.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28	Troy at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	50.0	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Troy vs Louisiana	+6.5	48.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Troy vs App State	+10.0	51.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+6.5	49.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.11	38%	26.5	39%	2.49	113	38%	247	2.75	.22	47%	30.4	44%	50%	3.55	34.9	1.4	1.2
TROY	.18	44%	23.5	42%	2.85	103	46%	290	3.33	.14	43%	23.9	43%	44%	3.49	50.2	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	11	26.5	25.2	38.3%	2.75	1.4	20	360	113	247	3	50%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.11
TROY Defense	11	23.9	22.8	43.3%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	43%	44%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	11	30.4	32	46.5%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	50%	14%	.22
TROY Offense	11	23.5	25.3	44.3%	3.33	1.6	22	393	103	290	3.4	36%	64%	42%	46%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	11	30:24	19.8	40%	47%	3.8	34.9	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.1	1	27.5
Troy	11	26:49	21.8	46%	59%	5	50.2	1.6	1.3	6	2	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	11	50%	39%	38.1	112.5	3	7	-.02	2.49	75%	14%	0.85
TROY Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.8	70%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	11	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.89	56%	8%	0.89
TROY Offense	11	36%	42%	29.8	102.6	3.4	11	.07	2.85	63%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	11	50%	38%	19.8	31.8	247.1	7.8	12.5	18	6	.25	1.9	37%	28%	.33	6%	2.3
TROY Defense	11	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.5	30%	32%	.24	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	11	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.6	28%	34%	.3	6%	2
TROY Offense	11	64%	46%	27.2	41.5	290.2	7	10.7	22	13	.24	1.4	30%	37%	.42	7%	2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Troy: -0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.2 Troy: -6.5

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -0.75 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 28
South Alabama 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	South Alabama -2.5	Troy	46.5	Over
2024	10/15	South Alabama	25	Troy	9	South Alabama -10	South Alabama	53.0	Under
2023	11/02	Troy	28	South Alabama	10	Troy -5.5	Troy	44.5	Under
2022	10/20	South Alabama	6	Troy	10	South Alabama -3	Troy	47.0	Under
2021	11/06	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	Troy -3.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2020	12/05	South Alabama	0	Troy	29	Troy -4.5	Troy	53.5	Under
2019	10/16	Troy	37	South Alabama	13	Troy -17.5	Troy	55.5	Under
2018	10/23	South Alabama	17	Troy	38	Troy -11	Troy	52.5	Over
2017	10/11	Troy	8	South Alabama	19	Troy -18	South Alabama	51.5	Under
2016	10/20	South Alabama	21	Troy	28	Troy -9	South Alabama	49.0	Push
2015	10/03	Troy	18	South Alabama	24	Troy -3	South Alabama	61.5	Under
2014	10/24	South Alabama	27	Troy	13	South Alabama -12	South Alabama	0
2013	10/05	Troy	34	South Alabama	33	Troy -2.5	South Alabama	0
2012	09/29	South Alabama	10	Troy	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	10	7	3 Overs
South Alabama	4	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	7 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	6 - 7	2 - 2	4 - 5

(#) USA at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#68
OffenseOff	#106	#94
DefenseDef	#65	#15
Spec TeamsST	#110	#93
TalentTal	#101	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#102	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#108	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#46	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Troy -3.5 (47.5)
Troy won vs South Alabama this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat South Alabama last year (31-24)
South Alabama beat Troy in 2024 (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD