Louisiana at South Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana -12 (52.5)
Louisiana 20 - South Alabama: 18 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (13 - 1) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (30 - 12)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL 2nd straight Road Game
USA coming off BYE
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ ULL -16)
Projected Score: ULL: 27 - USA: 29 (56)
ULL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
ULL Travel: 732 miles

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana at Texas	+8.5	58.0	L 18 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisiana vs Nicholls	-26.0	65.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Thu 9/16	Louisiana vs Ohio	-18.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-14.5	54.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana at South Alabama	-12.0	52.5	W 20 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+4.5	57.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/21	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-17.0	70.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana vs Texas State	-21.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Louisiana at Troy	-6.5	48.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Louisiana at Liberty	+4.0	53.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-21.5	56.0	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/4	Louisiana vs App State	+2.5	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.25	47%	26	50%	3.38	213	43%	208	3.77	.13	43%	29.2	47%	36%	3.84	61.3	1.2	2.1
USA	.11	38%	26.5	39%	2.49	113	38%	247	2.75	.22	47%	30.4	44%	50%	3.55	34.9	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	11	26	23.8	46.9%	3.77	1.2	21	421	213	208	5.5	57%	43%	50%	43%	13%	.25
USA Defense	11	30.4	28.8	46.5%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	50%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	11	29.2	32.8	42.7%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	47%	36%	14%	.13
USA Offense	11	26.5	27.8	38.3%	2.75	1.4	20	360	113	247	3	50%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	11	28:45	21	43%	42%	6.2	61.3	1.2	2.1	4.3	1.6	4	31.6
South Alabama	11	30:24	19.8	40%	47%	3.8	34.9	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.1	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	11	57%	50%	39	213.2	5.5	25	.23	3.38	66%	8%	0.97
USA Defense	11	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.89	56%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	11	58%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.3	83%	7%	0.89
USA Offense	11	50%	39%	38.1	112.5	3	7	-.02	2.49	75%	14%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	11	43%	43%	16.3	28	208.2	7.4	12.8	20	7	.29	1.6	30%	36%	.39	6%	2
USA Defense	11	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.6	28%	34%	.3	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	11	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.06	1.5	28%	27%	.13	7%	1.6
USA Offense	11	50%	38%	19.8	31.8	247.1	7.8	12.5	18	6	.25	1.9	37%	28%	.33	6%	2.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #47
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: South Alabama: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 8.7 South Alabama: -7.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 29
Louisiana 27

Projected Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	South Alabama	22	Louisiana	31	South Alabama -3.5	Louisiana	52.5	Over
2024	11/16	Louisiana	22	South Alabama	24	Louisiana -6.5	South Alabama	60.0	Under
2023	10/28	South Alabama	20	Louisiana	33	South Alabama -11.5	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2022	10/01	Louisiana	17	South Alabama	20	South Alabama -8.5	Louisiana	47.0	Under
2021	10/02	South Alabama	18	Louisiana	20	Louisiana -12	South Alabama	52.5	Under
2020	11/14	Louisiana	38	South Alabama	10	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2019	11/16	South Alabama	27	Louisiana	37	Louisiana -27.5	South Alabama	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Louisiana	48	South Alabama	38	Louisiana -19	South Alabama	66.0	Over
2017	11/04	South Alabama	14	Louisiana	19	South Alabama -6	Louisiana	51.5	Under
2016	09/17	Louisiana	28	South Alabama	23	Louisiana -3.5	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2015	11/12	South Alabama	32	Louisiana	25	Louisiana -1.5	South Alabama	57.0	Push
2014	11/01	Louisiana	19	South Alabama	9	Louisiana -7	Louisiana	57.0	Under
2013	12/07	South Alabama	30	Louisiana	8	South Alabama -1.5	South Alabama	0
2012	11/24	Louisiana	52	South Alabama	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	6	3 Overs
Louisiana	10	7	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	8 - 5	4 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 7	5 - 8	0 - 4	5 - 4

(#) ULL at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#99
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#100
OffenseOff	#13	#106
DefenseDef	#16	#65
Spec TeamsST	#33	#110
TalentTal	#96	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#44	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#102	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Louisiana 12.0 (52.5)
Louisiana won at South Alabama this year (20-18)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat South Alabama last year (31-22)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2024 (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)

ULL's OC Michael Desormeaux (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD