Southern Miss at South Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, September 4th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -2 (56.5)
South Alabama 31 - Southern Miss: 7

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -6 (SP+ USA -7)
Projected Score: USM: 29 - USA: 27 (56)
USA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
USM Travel: 635 miles

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Southern Miss vs Grambling	-23.0	47.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Southern Miss vs Troy	+11.0	49.0	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Southern Miss at Alabama	+45.0	57.5	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/2	Southern Miss at Rice	+1.5	45.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Southern Miss vs UTEP	+1.0	46.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	Southern Miss vs UAB	+17.0	43.0	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	47.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/6	Southern Miss vs North Texas	+5.5	49.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	Southern Miss at UTSA	+32.5	54.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+15.0	47.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Southern Miss vs Florida International	-14.5	45.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.17	41%	28.8	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	27.4	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2
USA	.11	38%	26.5	39%	2.49	113	38%	247	2.75	.22	47%	30.4	44%	50%	3.55	34.9	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	10	28.8	28.4	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17
USA Defense	11	30.4	28.8	46.5%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	50%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	10	27.4	27.6	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23
USA Offense	11	26.5	27.8	38.3%	2.75	1.4	20	360	113	247	3	50%	50%	39%	38%	20%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7
South Alabama	11	30:24	19.8	40%	47%	3.8	34.9	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.1	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1
USA Defense	11	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.89	56%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96
USA Offense	11	50%	39%	38.1	112.5	3	7	-.02	2.49	75%	14%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8
USA Defense	11	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.6	28%	34%	.3	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1
USA Offense	11	50%	38%	19.8	31.8	247.1	7.8	12.5	18	6	.25	1.9	37%	28%	.33	6%	2.3

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: South Alabama: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -14.2 South Alabama: -7.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 29
South Alabama 27

Projected Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	South Alabama	42	Southern Miss	35	Southern Miss -2.5	South Alabama	53.0	Over
2024	11/23	Southern Miss	14	South Alabama	35	South Alabama -24	Southern Miss	54.0	Under
2023	10/17	South Alabama	55	Southern Miss	3	South Alabama -18.5	South Alabama	51.0	Over
2022	11/19	Southern Miss	20	South Alabama	27	South Alabama -7.5	Southern Miss	45.0	Over
2021	09/04	South Alabama	31	Southern Miss	7	South Alabama -2	South Alabama	56.5	Under
2020	09/03	Southern Miss	21	South Alabama	32	Southern Mississippi -12.5	South Alabama	55.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	6	4	3 Overs
Southern Miss	0	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) USM at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#99
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#100
OffenseOff	#135	#106
DefenseDef	#46	#65
Spec TeamsST	#133	#110
TalentTal	#85	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#106	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#130	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#102	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
South Alabama -2.0 (56.5)
South Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (42-35)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2024 (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD