Georgia Southern at South Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars

Thursday, October 14th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -2.5 (49.0)
South Alabama 41 - Georgia Southern: 14 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 31 (16 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO 2nd straight Road Game
GASO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ USA -8)
Projected Score: GASO: 21 - USA: 30 (51)
USA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 688 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Southern vs Gardner-Webb	-27.5	48.0	W 30 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Southern at Florida Atlantic	+6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia Southern at Arkansas	+23.0	53.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+14.5	54.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	-1.5	66.5	W 59 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	+5.5	51.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+2.5	49.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+6.0	55.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	+16.0	56.5	L 8 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Georgia Southern at Texas State	+2.5	52.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia Southern vs BYU	+20.0	57.0	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Georgia Southern at App State	+24.5	55.0	L 3 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-2.0	56.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Alabama at Bowling Green	-14.5	48.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Alabama vs Alcorn State	-21.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	South Alabama vs Louisiana	+12.0	52.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Alabama at Texas State	-4.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Thu 10/14	South Alabama vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	49.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-13.5	51.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-9.5	67.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	South Alabama at Troy	+3.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	South Alabama at App State	+21.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	South Alabama at Tennessee	+28.5	61.5	L 14 - 60	O	N
Fri 11/26	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	+14.5	55.5	L 21 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.11	36%	20.3	37%	2.84	193	33%	147	2.81	.3	44%	31.4	43%	46%	3.72	45.3	1.4	0.7
USA	.17	42%	24.9	39%	2.77	111	44%	256	3.36	.15	39%	26.4	37%	41%	3.02	43.8	1.7	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	20.3	15.8	35.6%	2.81	1.4	18	340	193	147	4.3	62%	37%	37%	33%	23%	.11
USA Defense	12	26.4	17	38.9%	3.02	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	37%	41%	20%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	31.4	34.7	44.1%	3.72	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	43%	46%	19%	.3
USA Offense	12	24.9	28.3	41.6%	3.36	1.7	19	367	111	256	3.1	46%	54%	39%	44%	21%	.17

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	30:44	17.9	35%	44%	5.7	45.3	1.4	0.7	6.6	2.2	2	28.2
South Alabama	12	32:18	19	31%	61%	4.8	43.8	1.7	2.2	5.7	2.7	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	62%	37%	44.7	193.3	4.3	22	.18	2.84	78%	15%	1.3
USA Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.55	63%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	72%	13%	1
USA Offense	12	46%	39%	36.6	111.4	3.1	15	.07	2.77	68%	16%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	37%	33%	11.8	22.9	147.1	6.4	12.5	5	12	.07	1.4	35%	25%	.24	9%	2.1
USA Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.7	32%	30%	.3	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.44	1.7	31%	31%	.41	7%	2.2
USA Offense	12	54%	44%	22.8	33.9	256	7.6	11.3	22	11	.27	1.5	33%	30%	.39	6%	2.1

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #122
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: South Alabama: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -15.3 South Alabama: -7.2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Georgia Southern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 30
Georgia Southern 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 29
Georgia Southern 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 30
Georgia Southern 20

Total Points: 50

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	South Alabama	30	Georgia Southern	34	South Alabama -5.5	Georgia Southern	60.0	Over
2022	11/05	Georgia Southern	31	South Alabama	38	South Alabama -3.5	South Alabama	60.5	Over
2021	10/14	South Alabama	41	Georgia Southern	14	South Alabama -2.5	South Alabama	49.0	Over
2020	10/29	Georgia Southern	24	South Alabama	17	Georgia Southern -7.0	Push	0
2019	10/03	South Alabama	17	Georgia Southern	20	Georgia Southern -10	South Alabama	45.0	Under
2018	10/06	Georgia Southern	48	South Alabama	13	Georgia Southern -13	Georgia Southern	56.0	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia Southern	52	South Alabama	0	South Alabama -6	Georgia Southern	44.5	Over
2016	09/10	South Alabama	9	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -11.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Under
2015	11/28	Georgia Southern	55	South Alabama	17	Georgia Southern -21	Georgia Southern	56.0	Over
2014	09/20	South Alabama	6	Georgia Southern	28	South Alabama -2.5	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	2	3	6 Overs
Georgia Southern	8	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 5	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 5	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) GASO at (#) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	USA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#99
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#100
OffenseOff	#125	#106
DefenseDef	#127	#65
Spec TeamsST	#103	#110
TalentTal	#109	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	USA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#65
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#108	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#111
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#102	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 7
South Alabama -2.5 (49.0)
South Alabama won vs Georgia Southern this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat South Alabama last year (34-30)
South Alabama beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (38-31)

GASO's OC Doug Ruse (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Scot Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD