Alcorn State at South Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview
Alcorn State logo Alcorn State Braves at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -21.5 (44.5)
South Alabama 28 - Alcorn State: 21

 
Braves (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (21 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: -1  (SP+ USA -7)

USA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alcorn State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 Alcorn State at South Alabama+21.544.5L 21 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule
South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2.056.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 South Alabama at Bowling Green-14.548.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/18 South Alabama vs Alcorn State-21.544.5W 28 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 South Alabama vs Louisiana+12.052.5L 18 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 South Alabama at Texas State-4.052.5L 31 - 33ON
Thu 10/14 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-2.549.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 10/23 South Alabama at UL Monroe-13.551.5L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/30 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-9.567.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 South Alabama at Troy+3.547.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/13 South Alabama at App State+21.551.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 11/20 South Alabama at Tennessee+28.561.5L 14 - 60ON
Fri 11/26 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina+14.555.5L 21 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%210%000%000%280%0%0000
USA.1742%24.939%2.7711144%2563.36.1539%26.437%41%3.0243.81.72.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Offense121210%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USA Defense1226.41738.9%3.022.2 - - - - - 49%50%37%41%20%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Defense128280%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USA Offense1224.928.341.6%3.361.7193671112563.146%54%39%44%21%.17

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alcorn State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
South Alabama1232:181931%61%4.843.81.72.25.72.7128.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USA Defense1249%37% - - - - .032.5563%13%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USA Offense1246%39%36.6111.43.115.072.7768%16%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USA Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 15.291.732%30%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USA Offense1254%44%22.833.92567.611.32211.271.533%30%.396%2.1

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #172
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alcorn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    South Alabama: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    South Alabama: -7.2




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Alcorn State's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 29
Alcorn State 20


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 30
Alcorn State 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 28
Alcorn State 22

Total Points: 50
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18South Alabama28Alcorn State21South Alabama -21.5Alcorn State44.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama101 Overs
Alcorn State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) ALCN at (#) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALCNUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #99
Perf GradeGradeNR #100
OffenseOffNR #106
DefenseDefNR #65
Spec TeamsSTNR #110
TalentTal #172 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alcorn State on Offense
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #65
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alcorn State Run Game
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNR #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #114
Alcorn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNR #49
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatUSA OffALCN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #106NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffALCN Def
Run GameRun #102NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatUSA OffALCN Def
Pass GamePass #36NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #125NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

ALCN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 76° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
South Alabama -21.5 (44.5)
South Alabama won vs Alcorn State this year (28-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ALCN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alcorn State's Full Roster

ALCN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD