Wisconsin at Illinois - 2021 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -12.5 (42.0)
Wisconsin 24 - Illinois: 0 (Big Ten)

Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL 2nd straight Home Game
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ WIS -16)
Projected Score: WIS: 15 - ILL: 27 (42)
WIS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
WIS Travel: 214 miles

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (1 - 3)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-5.5	48.5	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan	-26.0	52.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Wisconsin vs Notre Dame	-6.0	43.5	L 13 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Wisconsin vs Michigan	-2.0	43.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	Wisconsin at Illinois	-12.5	42.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Wisconsin vs Army	-14.0	37.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wisconsin at Purdue	-3.5	41.0	W 30 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-3.0	35.5	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Wisconsin at Rutgers	-13.0	37.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-26.0	41.5	W 35 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-10.0	43.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/27	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-7.0	39.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 12/30	Wisconsin vs Arizona State	-8.5	42.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Illinois's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.0	W 30 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Illinois vs UTSA	-4.5	52.0	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/11	Illinois at Virginia	+10.5	57.0	L 14 - 42	U	N
Fri 9/17	Illinois vs Maryland	+7.0	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Illinois at Purdue	+10.5	53.5	L 9 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Illinois vs Charlotte	-10.0	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/9	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+12.5	42.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Illinois at Penn State	+24.5	46.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Illinois vs Rutgers	+1.5	41.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/6	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	W 14 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Illinois at Iowa	+12.0	37.5	L 23 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Illinois vs Northwestern	-7.0	45.0	W 47 - 14	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.07	42%	12.8	45%	2.78	165	39%	181	3.47	.02	35%	21.6	32%	37%	2.4	42.3	1.7	1.7
ILL	.14	39%	29.4	43%	2.94	195	31%	153	2.92	.32	50%	23.6	49%	52%	4.44	50.1	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	7	12.8	9	42.3%	3.47	1.7	20	346	165	181	3.9	54%	46%	45%	39%	16%	.07
ILL Defense	8	23.6	14.4	50.4%	4.44	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	52%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	7	21.6	26.2	35%	2.4	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	37%	18%	.02
ILL Offense	8	29.4	31.3	38.6%	2.92	1.1	18	348	195	153	4.8	61%	39%	43%	31%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	7	36:20	19.6	38%	42%	5.1	42.3	1.7	1.7	5.1	1.6	0	30.9
Illinois	8	27:02	18	38%	47%	4.9	50.1	1.1	1.9	5.6	2.3	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	7	54%	45%	41.9	164.6	3.9	13	.06	2.78	82%	11%	0.88
ILL Defense	8	58%	49%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.42	85%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	7	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.2	2.09	63%	11%	0.67
ILL Offense	8	61%	43%	40.6	194.9	4.8	9	.16	2.94	74%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	7	46%	39%	17.7	28.9	181	6.3	10.2	10	7	.09	1.5	30%	30%	.16	6%	1.8
ILL Defense	8	42%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.47	1.5	25%	32%	.39	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	7	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.2	1.7	39%	23%	.1	8%	2.1
ILL Offense	8	39%	31%	11.4	24.3	152.9	6.3	13.4	10	4	.12	1.9	35%	30%	.24	5%	2.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Illinois: 4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 20.1 Illinois: 4.3

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 4.65 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2021 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #64
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #99
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 27
Wisconsin 15

Projected Total Points: 42

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Wisconsin	27	Illinois	10	Illinois -8.5	Wisconsin	42.5	Under
2023	10/21	Illinois	21	Wisconsin	25	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	40.5	Over
2022	10/01	Wisconsin	10	Illinois	34	Wisconsin -6.5	Illinois	43.0	Over
2021	10/09	Illinois	0	Wisconsin	24	Wisconsin -12.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Under
2020	10/23	Wisconsin	45	Illinois	7	Wisconsin -20.5	Wisconsin	51.5	Over
2019	10/19	Illinois	24	Wisconsin	23	Wisconsin -28.5	Illinois	52.0	Under
2018	10/20	Wisconsin	49	Illinois	20	Wisconsin -24	Wisconsin	53.5	Over
2017	10/28	Illinois	10	Wisconsin	24	Wisconsin -28.5	Illinois	51.0	Under
2016	11/12	Wisconsin	48	Illinois	3	Wisconsin -26.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Over
2015	10/24	Illinois	13	Wisconsin	24	Wisconsin -7	Wisconsin	46.5	Under
2014	10/11	Wisconsin	38	Illinois	28	Wisconsin -24	Illinois	0
2013	10/19	Illinois	32	Wisconsin	56	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	0
2012	10/06	Wisconsin	31	Illinois	14
2011	11/19	Illinois	17	Wisconsin	28
2008	10/25	Wisconsin	27	Illinois	17
2007	10/06	Illinois	31	Wisconsin	26
2006	10/28	Wisconsin	30	Illinois	24
2005	10/29	Illinois	24	Wisconsin	41
2004	10/02	Wisconsin	24	Illinois	7
2003	09/27	Illinois	20	Wisconsin	38
2002	11/09	Wisconsin	20	Illinois	37
2001	10/20	Illinois	42	Wisconsin	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	5	4	5 Overs
Wisconsin	17	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 10	6 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 12	6 - 6	4 - 3	2 - 3

(#) WIS at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#53
OffenseOff	#19	#84
DefenseDef	#3	#39
Spec TeamsST	#49	#26
TalentTal	#21	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#75	#78
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#12

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#103	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#3
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#77	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#100	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Wisconsin 12.5 (42.0)
Wisconsin won at Illinois this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois last year (27-10)
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)

WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC Tony Petersen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD