Michigan at Wisconsin - 2021 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -2 (43.5)
Michigan 38 - Wisconsin: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS 4th straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ MICH -3.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 24 - WIS: 19 (43)
WIS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MICH Travel: 293 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan vs Western Michigan-16.565.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/11 Michigan vs Washington-6.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Michigan vs Northern Illinois-27.554.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Michigan vs Rutgers-20.050.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.043.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/9 Michigan at Nebraska-2.550.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.551.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 Michigan at Michigan State-4.050.5L 33 - 37ON
Sat 11/6 Michigan vs Indiana-20.551.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Michigan at Penn State-2.548.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/20 Michigan at Maryland-16.058.5W 59 - 18OY
Sat 11/27 Michigan vs Ohio State+6.563.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 12/4 Michigan vs Iowa-12.043.5W 42 - 3OY
Fri 12/31 Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Wisconsin vs Penn State-5.548.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan-26.052.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Wisconsin vs Notre Dame-6.043.5L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/2 Wisconsin vs Michigan-2.043.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 10/9 Wisconsin at Illinois-12.542.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Wisconsin vs Army-14.037.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 10/23 Wisconsin at Purdue-3.541.0W 30 - 13OY
Sat 10/30 Wisconsin vs Iowa-3.035.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 11/6 Wisconsin at Rutgers-13.037.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/13 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-26.041.5W 35 - 7OY
Sat 11/20 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-10.043.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/27 Wisconsin at Minnesota-7.039.0L 13 - 23UN
Thu 12/30 Wisconsin vs Arizona State-8.542.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2343%27.545%2.9413142%2504.09.2242%20.441%44%4.3657.510.3
WIS.0742%12.845%2.7816539%1813.47.0235%21.632%37%2.442.31.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense627.526.443.1%4.091193821312504.643%57%45%42%16%.23
WIS Defense721.618.335%2.41.7 - - - - - 46%54%32%37%18%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense620.424.442.4%4.360.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%44%10%.22
WIS Offense712.815.642.3%3.471.7203461651813.954%46%45%39%16%.07

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan625:3019.336%44%5.857.510.33.31.5127
Wisconsin736:2019.638%42%5.142.31.71.75.11.6030.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense643%45%28.7131.24.612.12.9461%8%0.97
WIS Defense746%32% - - - - -.22.0963%11%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense653%41% - - - - .12.9292%5%0.97
WIS Offense754%45%41.9164.63.913.062.7882%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense657%42%20.535.5250.37.112.294.331.634%35%.478%2
WIS Defense754%37% - - - - - - 8.21.739%23%.18%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense647%44% - - - - - - 1.361.631%35%.415%1.9
WIS Offense746%39%17.728.91816.310.2107.091.530%30%.166%1.8

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Wisconsin: 12.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 23.4   Wisconsin: 20.1




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 12.55 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1  #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 24
Wisconsin 19

Projected Total Points: 43
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Michigan24Wisconsin10Michigan -17.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202110/02Wisconsin17Michigan38Wisconsin -2Michigan43.5Over
202011/14Michigan11Wisconsin49Wisconsin -7.0Wisconsin51.5Over
201909/21Wisconsin35Michigan14Wisconsin -3Wisconsin46.0Over
201810/13Michigan38Wisconsin13Michigan -10Michigan47.5Over
201711/18Wisconsin24Michigan10Wisconsin -6.5Wisconsin40.5Under
201610/01Michigan14Wisconsin7Michigan -10Wisconsin44.5Under
201011/20Michigan28Wisconsin48
200911/14Wisconsin45Michigan24
200809/27Michigan27Wisconsin25
200711/10Wisconsin37Michigan21
200609/23Michigan27Wisconsin13
200509/24Wisconsin23Michigan20
200211/16Michigan21Wisconsin14
200111/17Wisconsin17Michigan20
200009/29Michigan13Wisconsin10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin754 Overs
Michigan923 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 43 - 43 - 30 - 1
Road Teams4 - 124 - 31 - 03 - 3

(#) MICH at (#) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #7
Perf GradeGrade #6 #3
OffenseOff #30 #19
DefenseDef #6 #3
Spec TeamsST #17 #49
TalentTal #15 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #5 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #41 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #75 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #100 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Wisconsin -2.0 (43.5)
Michigan won at Wisconsin this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Wisconsin last year (24-10)

  
MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD