Ohio State at Nebraska - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers  Nebraska logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14 (68.5)
Ohio State 26 - Nebraska: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ OSU -19)
Projected Score: OSU: 27 - NEB: 21 (48)
OSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
OSU Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (14 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ohio State at Minnesota-14.062.0W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/11 Ohio State vs Oregon-14.565.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Ohio State vs Tulsa-24.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio State vs Akron-48.566.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Ohio State at Rutgers-15.058.0W 52 - 13OY
Sat 10/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-22.071.5W 66 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Ohio State at Indiana-21.059.0W 54 - 7OY
Sat 10/30 Ohio State vs Penn State-18.560.5W 33 - 24UN
Sat 11/6 Ohio State at Nebraska-14.068.5W 26 - 17UN
Sat 11/13 Ohio State vs Purdue-19.065.5W 59 - 31OY
Sat 11/20 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.570.5W 56 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Ohio State at Michigan-6.563.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Nebraska's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Nebraska at Illinois-6.552.0L 22 - 30UN
Sat 9/4 Nebraska vs Fordham-42.055.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Nebraska vs Buffalo-13.554.0W 28 - 3UY
Sat 9/18 Nebraska at Oklahoma+22.562.5L 16 - 23UY
Sat 9/25 Nebraska at Michigan State+3.555.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Nebraska vs Northwestern-11.051.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/9 Nebraska vs Michigan+2.550.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/16 Nebraska at Minnesota-4.548.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Nebraska vs Purdue-7.554.0L 23 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Nebraska vs Ohio State+14.068.5L 17 - 26UY
Sat 11/13 Nebraska vs SE Louisiana-28.5
Sat 11/20 Nebraska at Wisconsin+10.043.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 11/26 Nebraska vs Iowa-1.541.0L 21 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3853%33.451%3.525655%2634.2.1745%9.339%48%3.7354.61.12.3
NEB.1847%28.750%3.0120144%1883.3.1942%24.641%43%3.7560.62.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense833.430.652.6%4.21.125519256263657%43%51%55%16%.38
NEB Defense824.620.942.2%3.750.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%43%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense89.38.244.7%3.732.3 - - - - - 39%61%39%48%18%.17
NEB Offense828.736.147.3%3.32.3213892011884.858%42%50%44%18%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State832:102549%56%6.154.61.12.35.82.6228.8
Nebraska828:2521.336%62%6.860.62.30.96.61.6024.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense857%51%43256.3619.333.575%11%1.09
NEB Defense855%41% - - - - .122.7358%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense839%39% - - - - -.112.2564%11%0.67
NEB Offense858%50%41.8201.44.815.23.0182%13%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense843%55%19.828.1262.59.313.3226.451.627%40%.65%2.1
NEB Defense845%43% - - - - - - 5.271.530%34%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense861%48% - - - - - - 7.351.532%33%.277%1.9
NEB Offense842%44%19.428.51886.69.759.161.327%25%.245%2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2  #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Nebraska: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.3   Nebraska: 10.3




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #33
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 27
Nebraska 21

Projected Total Points: 48
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Ohio State21Nebraska17Ohio State -25Nebraska48.5Under
202111/06Nebraska17Ohio State26Ohio State -14Nebraska68.5Under
202010/24Ohio State52Nebraska17Ohio State -28Ohio State69.5Under
201909/28Nebraska7Ohio State48Ohio State -17Ohio State66.0Under
201811/03Ohio State36Nebraska31Ohio State -17Nebraska75.5Under
201710/14Nebraska14Ohio State56Ohio State -24Ohio State58.0Over
201611/05Ohio State62Nebraska3Ohio State -15.5Ohio State53.5Over
201210/06Ohio State63Nebraska38
201110/08Nebraska34Ohio State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska132 Overs
Ohio State845 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams3 - 64 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#) OSU at (#) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUNEB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #35
Perf GradeGrade #2 #93
OffenseOff #1 #78
DefenseDef #57 #83
Spec TeamsST #21 #63
TalentTal #3 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffNEB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #13 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #80
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #5 #27
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nebraska on Offense
CategoryCatNEB OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nebraska Run Game
CategoryCat
NEB OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #88 #56
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Nebraska Pass Game
CategoryCatNEB OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #58 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 14.0 (68.5)
Ohio State won at Nebraska this year (26-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Nebraska in 2024 (21-17)

  
OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEB's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD