Oregon at Ohio State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#6)Oregon Ducks at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14.5 (65.0)
Oregon 35 - Ohio State: 28

 
Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 27 (25 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
Our Line: -12  (SP+ OSU -19)
Projected Score: ORE: 22 - OSU: 30 (52)
OSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
ORE Travel: 2054 miles, 3 hrs behind
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 46 - 23 (49 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oregon vs Fresno State-18.062.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/11 Oregon at Ohio State+14.565.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Oregon vs Stony Brook-42.054.5W 48 - 7ON
Sat 9/25 Oregon vs Arizona-29.558.5W 41 - 19ON
Sat 10/2 Oregon at Stanford-8.557.5L 24 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 Oregon vs California-13.553.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/23 Oregon at UCLA+1.062.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/30 Oregon vs Colorado-24.549.0W 52 - 29ON
Sat 11/6 Oregon at Washington-7.048.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/13 Oregon vs Washington State-13.058.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/20 Oregon at Utah+3.058.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/27 Oregon vs Oregon State-7.561.5W 38 - 29OY
Fri 12/3 Oregon vs Utah+3.057.5L 10 - 38UN
Wed 12/29 Oregon vs Oklahoma+7.064.0L 32 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ohio State at Minnesota-14.062.0W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/11 Ohio State vs Oregon-14.565.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Ohio State vs Tulsa-24.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio State vs Akron-48.566.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Ohio State at Rutgers-15.058.0W 52 - 13OY
Sat 10/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-22.071.5W 66 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Ohio State at Indiana-21.059.0W 54 - 7OY
Sat 10/30 Ohio State vs Penn State-18.560.5W 33 - 24UN
Sat 11/6 Ohio State at Nebraska-14.068.5W 26 - 17UN
Sat 11/13 Ohio State vs Purdue-19.065.5W 59 - 31OY
Sat 11/20 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.570.5W 56 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Ohio State at Michigan-6.563.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.2749%31.454%3.5120243%2214.55.245%2746%44%4.2364.611.7
OSU.4753%45.748%3.2918057%3814.88.1843%22.843%44%3.6659.20.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1431.425.248.8%4.551234242022215.354%45%54%43%13%.27
OSU Defense1322.820.143.4%3.661.6 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense142728.845%4.231.7 - - - - - 46%53%46%44%15%.2
OSU Offense1345.748.953.5%4.880.8275611803815.541%59%48%57%11%.47

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1429:4622.751%47%7.464.611.75.11.6129.5
Ohio State1329:2226.852%58%6.559.20.81.66.42.8429.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1454%54%38.2202.45.336.293.5184%8%0.96
OSU Defense1346%43% - - - - .092.7475%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1446%46% - - - - .163.0272%9%0.96
OSU Offense1341%48%32.5180.35.524.233.2967%6%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1445%43%18.529.3221.37.612208.281.628%34%.416%2
OSU Defense1354%44% - - - - - - 12.251.531%34%.298%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1453%44% - - - - - - 17.251.530%34%.356%1.9
OSU Offense1359%57%26.838380.91014.2468.631.626%40%.684%2.1

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon:    Ohio State: 17.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 10.2   Ohio State: 29.3




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 17.15 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2  #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 30
Oregon 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 23
Oregon 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 37
Oregon 25

Total Points: 62
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.9
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.1

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Oregon32Ohio State31Ohio State -3.5Oregon54.5Over
202401/01Oregon21Ohio State41Ohio State -2.5Ohio State55.5Over
202109/11Ohio State28Oregon35Ohio State -14.5Oregon65.0Under
201401/12Ohio State42Oregon20Oregon -5.5Ohio State72.0Under
200901/01Oregon17Ohio State26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State322 Overs
Oregon222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 21 - 0

(#) ORE at (#) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #2
Perf GradeGrade #92 #2
OffenseOff #76 #1
DefenseDef #95 #57
Spec TeamsST #135 #21
TalentTal #8 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #39 #56
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #71 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCatOSU OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffORE Def
Run GameRun #13 #75
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #132
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCatOSU OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #5 #114
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #29 #26
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Ohio State -14.5 (65.0)
Oregon won at Ohio State this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Oregon last year (41-21)

  
ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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