Ohio State at Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo (#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines(#18)Michigan logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -6.5 (63.5)
Michigan 42 - Ohio State: 27  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 46 - 23 (41 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 28.4°
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
OSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ OSU -6)
Projected Score: OSU: 27 - MICH: 28 (55)
OSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
OSU Travel: 161 miles
Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 36 - 17 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ohio State at Minnesota-14.062.0W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/11 Ohio State vs Oregon-14.565.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Ohio State vs Tulsa-24.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio State vs Akron-48.566.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Ohio State at Rutgers-15.058.0W 52 - 13OY
Sat 10/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-22.071.5W 66 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Ohio State at Indiana-21.059.0W 54 - 7OY
Sat 10/30 Ohio State vs Penn State-18.560.5W 33 - 24UN
Sat 11/6 Ohio State at Nebraska-14.068.5W 26 - 17UN
Sat 11/13 Ohio State vs Purdue-19.065.5W 59 - 31OY
Sat 11/20 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.570.5W 56 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Ohio State at Michigan-6.563.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan vs Western Michigan-16.565.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/11 Michigan vs Washington-6.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Michigan vs Northern Illinois-27.554.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Michigan vs Rutgers-20.050.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.043.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/9 Michigan at Nebraska-2.550.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.551.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 Michigan at Michigan State-4.050.5L 33 - 37ON
Sat 11/6 Michigan vs Indiana-20.551.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Michigan at Penn State-2.548.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/20 Michigan at Maryland-16.058.5W 59 - 18OY
Sat 11/27 Michigan vs Ohio State+6.563.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 12/4 Michigan vs Iowa-12.043.5W 42 - 3OY
Fri 12/31 Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.4753%45.748%3.2918057%3814.88.1843%22.843%44%3.6659.20.81.6
MICH.2747%35.849%3.1821443%2294.15.1238%17.439%38%3.0341.511.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1345.740.853.5%4.880.8275611803815.541%59%48%57%11%.47
MICH Defense1417.412.638.3%3.031.2 - - - - - 46%54%39%38%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1322.82243.4%3.661.6 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%19%.18
MICH Offense1435.837.946.5%4.151224432142295.257%43%49%43%10%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1329:2226.852%58%6.559.20.81.66.42.8429.6
Michigan1431:2121.846%52%4.941.511.25.12.4231.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1341%48%32.5180.35.524.233.2967%6%1.02
MICH Defense1446%39% - - - - .052.7866%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1346%43% - - - - .092.7475%11%0.98
MICH Offense1457%49%41.1214.45.239.223.1879%5%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1359%57%26.838380.91014.2468.631.626%40%.684%2.1
MICH Defense1454%38% - - - - - - 8.181.533%26%.167%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1354%44% - - - - - - 12.251.531%34%.298%1.8
MICH Offense1443%43%17.728.2228.78.112.9219.331.628%39%.555%2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2  #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Michigan: 14.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.3   Michigan: 23.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 14.2 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 45.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.8
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 28
Ohio State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 25
Ohio State 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 30
Ohio State 29

Total Points: 59
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.6

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Michigan9Ohio State27Ohio State -9.5Ohio State43.5Under
202411/30Ohio State10Michigan13Ohio State -20.5Michigan41.5Under
202311/25Michigan30Ohio State24Michigan -3.0Michigan47.0Over
202211/26Ohio State23Michigan45Ohio State -9Michigan56.0Over
202111/27Michigan42Ohio State27Ohio State -6.5Michigan63.5Over
201911/30Michigan27Ohio State56Ohio State -9Ohio State53.0Over
201811/24Ohio State62Michigan39Michigan -4.5Ohio State52.5Over
201711/25Michigan20Ohio State31Ohio State -12.5Michigan49.0Over
201611/26Ohio State30Michigan27Ohio State -7Michigan44.5Over
201511/28Michigan13Ohio State42Ohio State -2.5Ohio State46.0Over
201411/29Ohio State42Michigan28Ohio State -20Michigan0
201311/30Michigan41Ohio State42Ohio State -13Michigan0
201211/24Ohio State26Michigan21
201111/26Michigan40Ohio State34
201011/27Ohio State37Michigan7
200911/21Michigan10Ohio State21
200811/22Ohio State42Michigan7
200711/17Michigan3Ohio State14
200611/18Ohio State42Michigan39
200511/19Michigan21Ohio State25
200411/20Ohio State37Michigan21
200311/22Michigan35Ohio State21
200111/24Michigan20Ohio State26
200011/17Ohio State26Michigan38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan788 Overs
Ohio State1742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 125 - 71 - 44 - 3
Road Teams12 - 127 - 53 - 44 - 1

(#) OSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #4
Perf GradeGrade #2 #6
OffenseOff #1 #30
DefenseDef #57 #6
Spec TeamsST #21 #17
TalentTal #3 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #13 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #5 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #5 #56
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #41 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #50 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 28° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 13
Ohio State 6.5 (63.5)
Michigan won vs Ohio State this year (42-27)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Ohio State last year (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2022 (45-23)

  
OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD