Ohio State at Rutgers - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights  Rutgers logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -15 (58.0)
Ohio State 52 - Rutgers: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RUTG is playing their 5th straight game
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ OSU -32.5)

Projected Score: OSU: 32 - RUTG: 20 (52)
OSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
OSU Travel: 6694 miles
Scarlet Knights (5 - 8) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ohio State at Minnesota-14.062.0W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/11 Ohio State vs Oregon-14.565.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Ohio State vs Tulsa-24.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio State vs Akron-48.566.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Ohio State at Rutgers-15.058.0W 52 - 13OY
Sat 10/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-22.071.5W 66 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Ohio State at Indiana-21.059.0W 54 - 7OY
Sat 10/30 Ohio State vs Penn State-18.560.5W 33 - 24UN
Sat 11/6 Ohio State at Nebraska-14.068.5W 26 - 17UN
Sat 11/13 Ohio State vs Purdue-19.065.5W 59 - 31OY
Sat 11/20 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.570.5W 56 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Ohio State at Michigan-6.563.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Rutgers's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Rutgers vs Temple-14.052.0W 61 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Rutgers at Syracuse-2.550.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/18 Rutgers vs Delaware-20.045.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/25 Rutgers at Michigan+20.050.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/2 Rutgers vs Ohio State+15.058.0L 13 - 52ON
Sat 10/9 Rutgers vs Michigan State+4.550.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/16 Rutgers at Northwestern-2.545.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Rutgers at Illinois-1.541.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 Rutgers vs Wisconsin+13.037.5L 3 - 52ON
Sat 11/13 Rutgers at Indiana+6.542.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Rutgers at Penn State+14.044.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/27 Rutgers vs Maryland-2.053.0L 16 - 40ON
Fri 12/31 Rutgers vs Wake Forest+17.063.0L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3853%33.451%3.525655%2634.2.1745%9.339%48%3.7354.61.12.3
RUTG.0535%28.735%2.5514035%1993.35.1945%31.846%44%3.9259.71.42.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense833.430.652.6%4.21.125519256263657%43%51%55%16%.38
RUTG Defense931.830.344.9%3.922.2 - - - - - 57%43%46%44%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense89.38.244.7%3.732.3 - - - - - 39%61%39%48%18%.17
RUTG Offense928.735.435.2%3.351.4193391401993.750%50%35%35%19%.05

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State832:102549%56%6.154.61.12.35.82.6228.8
Rutgers927:571934%50%7.359.71.42.27.92.2330.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense857%51%43256.3619.333.575%11%1.09
RUTG Defense957%46% - - - - .092.7565%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense839%39% - - - - -.112.2564%11%0.67
RUTG Offense950%35%38.1140.13.7132.5575%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense843%55%19.828.1262.59.313.3226.451.627%40%.65%2.1
RUTG Defense943%44% - - - - - - 8.341.629%35%.444%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense861%48% - - - - - - 7.351.532%33%.277%1.9
RUTG Offense950%35%21.734.3198.65.89.2148.11.536%24%.168%2.1

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2  #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Rutgers: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 29.3   Rutgers: -3.0




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 1 NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rutgers's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #88
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #110
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 32
Rutgers 20


Projected Total Points: 52
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Ohio State42Rutgers9Ohio State -29.0Ohio State54.0Under
202311/04Rutgers16Ohio State35Ohio State -19NA42.5Over
202210/01Ohio State49Rutgers10Ohio State -39.0Push58.0Over
202110/02Rutgers13Ohio State52Ohio State -15Ohio State58.0Over
202011/07Ohio State49Rutgers27Ohio State -37.5Rutgers62.0Over
201911/16Rutgers21Ohio State56Ohio State -52Rutgers63.0Over
201809/08Ohio State52Rutgers3Ohio State -34.5Ohio State58.0Under
201709/30Rutgers0Ohio State56Ohio State -28.5Ohio State54.5Over
201610/01Ohio State58Rutgers0Ohio State -37Ohio State59.5Under
201510/24Rutgers7Ohio State49Ohio State -20.5Ohio State64.0Under
201410/18Ohio State56Rutgers17Ohio State -19.5Ohio State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers026 Overs
Ohio State1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 44 - 11 - 3
Road Teams5 - 64 - 53 - 11 - 4

(#) OSU at (#) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSURUTG
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #88
Perf GradeGrade #2 #117
OffenseOff #1 #117
DefenseDef #57 #114
Spec TeamsST #21 #27
TalentTal #3 #64
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #114
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #46
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #13 #89
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #5 #122
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Rutgers on Offense
CategoryCatRUTG OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #117 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Rutgers Run Game
CategoryCat
RUTG OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #51 #56
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Rutgers Pass Game
CategoryCatRUTG OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #131 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #57 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Ohio State 15.0 (58.0)
Ohio State won at Rutgers this year (52-13)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Rutgers last year (42-9)
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2023 (35-16)

  
OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

RUTG's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD