Colorado at Arizona State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -13.5 (45.5)
Arizona State 35 - Colorado: 13 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU is playing their 4th straight game
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ ASU -22)
Projected Score: COLO: 21 - ASU: 29 (50)
ASU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
COLO Travel: 585 miles

Sun Devils (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Herm Edwards (19 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado vs Northern Colorado	-37.5	56.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado vs Texas A&M	+17.5	51.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Colorado vs Minnesota	-2.5	49.0	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/25	Colorado at Arizona State	+13.5	45.5	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/2	Colorado vs USC	+9.0	50.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Colorado vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Colorado at California	+8.0	44.0	L 3 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado at Oregon	+24.5	49.0	L 29 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Colorado vs Oregon State	+11.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Colorado at UCLA	+18.0	57.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado vs Washington	+6.5	43.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Colorado at Utah	+24.0	52.5	L 13 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Arizona State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-44.5	56.5	W 41 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/11	Arizona State vs UNLV	-34.5	55.5	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/18	Arizona State at BYU	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Arizona State vs Colorado	-13.5	45.5	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Arizona State at UCLA	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Fri 10/8	Arizona State vs Stanford	-13.5	53.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Arizona State at Utah	+1.0	51.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Arizona State vs Washington State	-16.5	55.5	L 21 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/6	Arizona State vs USC	-10.0	61.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Arizona State at Washington	-6.0	45.5	W 35 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/20	Arizona State at Oregon State	-2.5	59.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Arizona State vs Arizona	-20.0	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Arizona State vs Wisconsin	+8.5	42.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.1	38%	20.9	41%	2.58	212	34%	202	3.1	.13	36%	30.5	34%	37%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.2
ASU	.3	47%	25.8	54%	3.51	265	36%	194	3.68	.15	45%	24.5	52%	38%	3.36	54.5	1	3.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	6	20.9	16.8	38.5%	3.1	1.8	20	414	212	202	4.6	60%	40%	41%	34%	15%	.1
ASU Defense	4	24.5	21.4	44.8%	3.36	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	52%	38%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	6	30.5	35.4	35.8%	3.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	34%	37%	22%	.13
ASU Offense	4	25.8	24.7	46.7%	3.68	1	20	459	265	194	6.4	59%	41%	54%	36%	15%	.3

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	6	31:33	20	43%	43%	5.7	56.3	1.8	1.2	8.2	2.5	1	27.8
Arizona State	4	29:18	20.3	47%	33%	7	54.5	1	3.3	6	2.3	1	34.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	6	60%	41%	46	212.3	4.6	15	.05	2.58	65%	10%	0.96
ASU Defense	4	50%	52%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	69%	10%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	6	43%	34%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	67%	14%	1.41
ASU Offense	4	59%	54%	41.3	264.5	6.4	16	.39	3.51	71%	11%	1.27

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	6	40%	34%	16.3	29.7	201.5	6.8	12.3	6	7	.18	1.9	34%	31%	.29	6%	2.1
ASU Defense	4	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.2	1.6	32%	33%	.39	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	6	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.16	1.6	38%	32%	.39	8%	2.3
ASU Offense	4	41%	36%	12.8	21.8	194.3	8.9	15.2	5	1	.16	1.7	31%	31%	.35	4%	2

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: Arizona State: 8.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -10.0 Arizona State: 11.8

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.4 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #26
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #36
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 29
Colorado 21

Projected Total Points: 50

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Colorado	17	Arizona State	42	Arizona State -7	Arizona State	47.5	Over
2023	10/07	Arizona State	24	Colorado	27	Colorado -3	NA	58.0	Under
2022	10/29	Colorado	34	Arizona State	42	Arizona State -13	Colorado	49.0	Over
2021	09/25	Arizona State	35	Colorado	13	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	45.5	Over
2019	09/21	Arizona State	31	Colorado	34	Arizona State -7.5	Colorado	49.0	Over
2018	10/06	Colorado	28	Arizona State	21	Colorado -2.5	Colorado	64.0	Under
2017	11/04	Arizona State	41	Colorado	30	Arizona State -6.5	Arizona State	58.5	Over
2016	10/15	Colorado	40	Arizona State	16	Colorado -8	Colorado	63.0	Under
2015	10/10	Arizona State	48	Colorado	23	Arizona State -12.5	Arizona State	57.0	Over
2014	09/13	Colorado	24	Arizona State	38	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	0
2013	10/12	Arizona State	54	Colorado	13	Arizona State -23.5	Arizona State	0
2012	10/11	Colorado	17	Arizona State	51
2011	10/29	Arizona State	48	Colorado	14
2007	09/08	Arizona State	33	Colorado	14
2006	09/16	Colorado	3	Arizona State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	11	6	6 Overs
Colorado	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	7 - 3	6 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	3 - 7	2 - 1	1 - 6

(#) COLO at (#) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#26
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#55
OffenseOff	#119	#45
DefenseDef	#119	#68
Spec TeamsST	#7	#105
TalentTal	#47	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#124	#85
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#45	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#11	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Arizona State -13.5 (45.5)
Arizona State won vs Colorado this year (35-13)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Colorado last year (42-17)
Colorado beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-24)

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ASU's OC Zak Hill (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Antonio Pierce (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD