Colorado at California - 2021 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo   Colorado Buffaloes at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
California -8 (44.0)
California 26 - Colorado: 3  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ CAL -13)
Projected Score: COLO: 22 - CAL: 30 (52)
CAL Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 923 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Colorado vs Northern Colorado-37.556.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/11 Colorado vs Texas A&M+17.551.0L 7 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Colorado vs Minnesota-2.549.0L 0 - 30UN
Sat 9/25 Colorado at Arizona State+13.545.5L 13 - 35ON
Sat 10/2 Colorado vs USC+9.050.5L 14 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Colorado vs Arizona-6.046.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Colorado at California+8.044.0L 3 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Colorado at Oregon+24.549.0L 29 - 52OY
Sat 11/6 Colorado vs Oregon State+11.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/13 Colorado at UCLA+18.057.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 11/20 Colorado vs Washington+6.543.0W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/26 Colorado at Utah+24.052.5L 13 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.138%20.941%2.5821234%2023.1.1336%30.534%37%3.1556.31.81.2
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense620.916.838.5%3.11.8204142122024.660%40%41%34%15%.1
CAL Defense427.224.348.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense630.535.435.8%3.151.2 - - - - - 43%57%34%37%22%.13
CAL Offense425.327.238.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado631:332043%43%5.756.31.81.28.22.5127.8
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense660%41%46212.34.615.052.5865%10%0.96
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense643%34% - - - - .082.4667%14%1.41
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense640%34%16.329.7201.56.812.367.181.934%31%.296%2.1
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense657%37% - - - - - - 4.161.638%32%.398%2.3
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado:    California: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -10.0   California: 3.4




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
California 30
Colorado 22

Projected Total Points: 52
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/15Colorado20California13California -15Colorado49.0Under
202110/23California26Colorado3California -8California44.0Under
201811/24California33Colorado21California -10.5California44.5Over
201710/28Colorado44California28Colorado -3.5Colorado55.5Over
201409/27California59Colorado56California -12.5Colorado0
201311/16Colorado41California24Colorado -1Colorado0
201109/10Colorado33California36
201009/11California52Colorado7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California522 Overs
Colorado342 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 15 - 14 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 71 - 50 - 11 - 4

(#) COLO at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #68
Perf GradeGrade #120 #72
OffenseOff #119 #74
DefenseDef #119 #68
Spec TeamsST #7 #58
TalentTal #47 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #81 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #100 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #124 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #27 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #44 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #129
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
California -8.0 (44.0)
California won vs Colorado this year (26-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD