Colorado at Oregon - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -24.5 (49.0)
Oregon 52 - Colorado: 29 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ ORE -20)
Projected Score: COLO: 18 - ORE: 37 (55)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
COLO Travel: 953 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado vs Northern Colorado	-37.5	56.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado vs Texas A&M	+17.5	51.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Colorado vs Minnesota	-2.5	49.0	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/25	Colorado at Arizona State	+13.5	45.5	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/2	Colorado vs USC	+9.0	50.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Colorado vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Colorado at California	+8.0	44.0	L 3 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado at Oregon	+24.5	49.0	L 29 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Colorado vs Oregon State	+11.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Colorado at UCLA	+18.0	57.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado vs Washington	+6.5	43.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Colorado at Utah	+24.0	52.5	L 13 - 28	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Oregon's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon vs Fresno State	-18.0	62.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon at Ohio State	+14.5	65.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon vs Stony Brook	-42.0	54.5	W 48 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/25	Oregon vs Arizona	-29.5	58.5	W 41 - 19	O	N
Sat 10/2	Oregon at Stanford	-8.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Oregon vs California	-13.5	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Oregon at UCLA	+1.0	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon vs Colorado	-24.5	49.0	W 52 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon at Washington	-7.0	48.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oregon vs Washington State	-13.0	58.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon at Utah	+3.0	58.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Oregon vs Oregon State	-7.5	61.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Fri 12/3	Oregon vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/29	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.1	38%	20.9	41%	2.58	212	34%	202	3.1	.13	36%	30.5	34%	37%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.2
ORE	.28	50%	36.9	50%	3.26	167	49%	243	4.28	.18	45%	17.9	46%	44%	3.63	53	2.1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	6	20.9	16.8	38.5%	3.1	1.8	20	414	212	202	4.6	60%	40%	41%	34%	15%	.1
ORE Defense	7	17.9	16.8	44.8%	3.63	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	44%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	6	30.5	35.4	35.8%	3.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	34%	37%	22%	.13
ORE Offense	7	36.9	43.1	49.9%	4.28	2.1	22	410	167	243	4.9	53%	47%	50%	49%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	6	31:33	20	43%	43%	5.7	56.3	1.8	1.2	8.2	2.5	1	27.8
Oregon	7	26:02	21.6	43%	60%	5.9	53	2.1	1	5	1.7	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	6	60%	41%	46	212.3	4.6	15	.05	2.58	65%	10%	0.96
ORE Defense	7	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.82	66%	8%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	6	43%	34%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	67%	14%	1.41
ORE Offense	7	53%	50%	33.9	166.9	4.9	13	.12	3.26	71%	12%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	6	40%	34%	16.3	29.7	201.5	6.8	12.3	6	7	.18	1.9	34%	31%	.29	6%	2.1
ORE Defense	7	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.4	28%	30%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	6	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.16	1.6	38%	32%	.39	8%	2.3
ORE Offense	7	47%	49%	17.1	27.1	243.4	9	14.2	15	6	.46	1.7	26%	33%	.46	6%	2.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: Oregon: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -10.0 Oregon: 10.2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 37
Colorado 18

Projected Total Points: 55

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Oregon	42	Colorado	6	Oregon -21	Oregon	70.0	Under
2022	11/05	Colorado	10	Oregon	49	Oregon -31	Oregon	62.5	Under
2021	10/30	Oregon	52	Colorado	29	Oregon -24.5	Colorado	49.0	Over
2019	10/11	Oregon	45	Colorado	3	Oregon -22.5	Oregon	61.5	Under
2016	09/24	Oregon	38	Colorado	41	Oregon -11	Colorado	69.5	Over
2015	10/03	Colorado	24	Oregon	41	Oregon -12	Oregon	68.5	Under
2014	11/22	Oregon	44	Colorado	10	Oregon -34	Push	0
2013	10/05	Colorado	16	Oregon	57	Oregon -36.5	Oregon	0
2012	10/27	Oregon	70	Colorado	14
2011	10/22	Colorado	2	Oregon	45
2001	01/01	Oregon	38	Colorado	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	10	5	2 Overs
Colorado	1	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	2 - 5	2 - 2	0 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 6	5 - 2	3 - 0	2 - 2

(#) COLO at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#92
OffenseOff	#119	#76
DefenseDef	#119	#95
Spec TeamsST	#7	#135
TalentTal	#47	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#81	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#124	#26
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#39	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon -24.5 (49.0)
Oregon won vs Colorado this year (52-29)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Colorado in 2023 (42-6)

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD