Arizona at Colorado - 2021 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo   Arizona Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes  Colorado logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -6.0 (46.5)
Colorado 34 - Arizona: 0  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO coming off BYE
Our Line: -4  (SP+ COLO -3)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 30 - COLO: 22 (52)
COLO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Colorado's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Colorado vs Northern Colorado-37.556.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/11 Colorado vs Texas A&M+17.551.0L 7 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Colorado vs Minnesota-2.549.0L 0 - 30UN
Sat 9/25 Colorado at Arizona State+13.545.5L 13 - 35ON
Sat 10/2 Colorado vs USC+9.050.5L 14 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Colorado vs Arizona-6.046.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Colorado at California+8.044.0L 3 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Colorado at Oregon+24.549.0L 29 - 52OY
Sat 11/6 Colorado vs Oregon State+11.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/13 Colorado at UCLA+18.057.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 11/20 Colorado vs Washington+6.543.0W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/26 Colorado at Utah+24.052.5L 13 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.0237%31.540%2.9616934%2132.53.2747%19.347%46%3.7558.82.40.6
COLO.138%20.941%2.5821234%2023.1.1336%30.534%37%3.1556.31.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense531.529.437.1%2.532.4213821692134.648%52%40%34%19%.02
COLO Defense630.52735.8%3.151.2 - - - - - 43%57%34%37%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense519.323.646.6%3.750.6 - - - - - 62%38%47%46%12%.27
COLO Offense620.923.938.5%3.11.8204142122024.660%40%41%34%15%.1

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona527:5921.433%25%6.858.82.40.650.4023.6
Colorado631:332043%43%5.756.31.81.28.22.5127.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense548%40%36.8169.24.64.082.9664%12%1.07
COLO Defense643%34% - - - - .082.4667%14%1.41
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense562%47% - - - - .212.8365%8%1.15
COLO Offense660%41%46212.34.615.052.5865%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense552%34%22.637.62135.79.467-.031.335%28%.157%1.7
COLO Defense657%37% - - - - - - 4.161.638%32%.398%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense538%46% - - - - - - 2.381.527%35%.424%2.2
COLO Offense640%34%16.329.7201.56.812.367.181.934%31%.296%2.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona:    Colorado: -2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -12.6   Colorado: -10.0




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -2.5 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 30
Colorado 22


Projected Total Points: 52
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Colorado17Arizona52Arizona -4Arizona52.5Over
202410/19Arizona7Colorado34Arizona -2.5Colorado57.5Under
202311/11Colorado31Arizona34Arizona -6Colorado55.5Over
202210/01Arizona43Colorado20Arizona -17.5Arizona57.5Over
202110/16Colorado34Arizona0Colorado -6.0Colorado46.5Under
202012/05Arizona13Colorado24Colorado -9.5Colorado57.0Under
201910/05Colorado30Arizona35Colorado -2.5Arizona63.5Over
201811/02Arizona42Colorado34Arizona -3Arizona57.0Over
201710/07Colorado42Arizona45Colorado -7Arizona58.5Over
201611/12Arizona24Colorado49Colorado -16.5Colorado61.0Over
201510/17Colorado31Arizona38Arizona -7NA67.5Over
201411/08Arizona38Colorado20Arizona -15.5Arizona0
201310/26Colorado20Arizona44Arizona -16.5Arizona0
201211/10Arizona56Colorado31
201111/12Colorado48Arizona29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado558 Overs
Arizona1073 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 95 - 74 - 31 - 4
Road Teams9 - 67 - 54 - 13 - 4

(#) ARIZ at (#) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZCOLO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #105
Perf GradeGrade #133 #120
OffenseOff #128 #119
DefenseDef #130 #119
Spec TeamsST #128 #7
TalentTal #68 #47
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #102 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #123 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #129
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCatCOLO OffARIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #81 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCatCOLO OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #100 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #124 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Colorado -6.0 (46.5)
Colorado won vs Arizona this year (34-0)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Colorado last year (52-17)
Colorado beat Arizona in 2024 (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)

  
ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD