USC at Colorado - 2021 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes  Colorado logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
USC -9 (50.5)
USC 37 - Colorado: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO is playing their 5th straight game
USC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ USC -9.5)
Projected Score: USC: 30 - COLO: 24 (54)
USC Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
USC Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs behind
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Colorado's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Colorado vs Northern Colorado-37.556.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/11 Colorado vs Texas A&M+17.551.0L 7 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Colorado vs Minnesota-2.549.0L 0 - 30UN
Sat 9/25 Colorado at Arizona State+13.545.5L 13 - 35ON
Sat 10/2 Colorado vs USC+9.050.5L 14 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Colorado vs Arizona-6.046.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Colorado at California+8.044.0L 3 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Colorado at Oregon+24.549.0L 29 - 52OY
Sat 11/6 Colorado vs Oregon State+11.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/13 Colorado at UCLA+18.057.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 11/20 Colorado vs Washington+6.543.0W 20 - 17UY
Fri 11/26 Colorado at Utah+24.052.5L 13 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
COLO.138%20.941%2.5821234%2023.1.1336%30.534%37%3.1556.31.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense635.827.446.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18
COLO Defense630.52735.8%3.151.2 - - - - - 43%57%34%37%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense62328.840.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
COLO Offense620.923.938.5%3.11.8204142122024.660%40%41%34%15%.1

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Colorado631:332043%43%5.756.31.81.28.22.5127.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64
COLO Defense643%34% - - - - .082.4667%14%1.41
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
COLO Offense660%41%46212.34.615.052.5865%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2
COLO Defense657%37% - - - - - - 4.161.638%32%.398%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
COLO Offense640%34%16.329.7201.56.812.367.181.934%31%.296%2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Colorado: -2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: -0.6   Colorado: -10.0




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -2.5 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0  #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Colorado 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Colorado41USC48USC -22Colorado74.5Over
202211/11USC55Colorado17USC -34USC66.0Over
202110/02Colorado14USC37USC -9USC50.5Over
201910/25Colorado31USC35USC -10.5Colorado65.0Over
201810/13USC31Colorado20USC -7USC57.0Under
201711/11Colorado24USC38USC -14NA63.0Under
201610/08USC21Colorado17USC -4Push62.5Under
201511/13Colorado24USC27USC -14.5Colorado58.5Under
201410/18USC56Colorado28USC -20.5USC0
201311/23Colorado29USC47USC -21.5Colorado0
201210/20USC50Colorado6
201111/04Colorado17USC42
200209/14Colorado3USC40
200009/08USC17Colorado14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado044 Overs
USC1444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 87 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams8 - 61 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) USC at (#) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCCOLO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #105
Perf GradeGrade #41 #120
OffenseOff #23 #119
DefenseDef #104 #119
Spec TeamsST #92 #7
TalentTal #10 #47
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #43 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #49 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #129
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCatCOLO OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #81 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCatCOLO OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #100 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #124 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
USC 9.0 (50.5)
USC won at Colorado this year (37-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Colorado in 2023 (48-41)

  
USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD