Navy at Notre Dame - 2021 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -21 (47.5)
Notre Dame 34 - Navy: 6

 
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
ND 3rd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ ND -26)
Projected Score: NAVY: 23 - ND: 36 (59)
ND Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
NAVY Travel: 545 miles
Fighting Irish (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (84 - 38)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Navy vs Marshall+3.546.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Navy vs Air Force+6.040.0L 3 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Navy at Houston+20.047.0L 20 - 28OY
Sat 10/2 Navy vs UCF+15.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 Navy vs SMU+13.557.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/14 Navy at Memphis+11.055.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/23 Navy vs Cincinnati+28.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Fri 10/29 Navy at Tulsa+11.046.0W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/6 Navy at Notre Dame+21.047.5L 6 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Navy vs East Carolina+3.546.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/27 Navy at Temple-13.542.0W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Navy at Army-7.035.5W 17 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Notre Dame at Florida State-7.053.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Notre Dame vs Toledo-16.555.0W 32 - 29ON
Sat 9/18 Notre Dame vs Purdue-7.558.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 Notre Dame vs Wisconsin+6.043.5W 41 - 13OY
Sat 10/2 Notre Dame vs Cincinnati+2.550.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Notre Dame at Virginia Tech+1.046.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Notre Dame vs USC-8.059.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Notre Dame vs North Carolina-3.563.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Notre Dame vs Navy-21.047.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 11/13 Notre Dame at Virginia-7.562.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-18.057.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Notre Dame at Stanford-20.553.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 1/1 Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.0935%31.536%2.6217833%973.6.2143%2543%43%3.9740.21.10.9
ND.2547%4248%3.2621147%2373.84.1339%17.639%40%2.83380.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1031.525.835.1%3.61.114275178973.776%23%36%33%15%.09
ND Defense1217.61839.4%2.831.4 - - - - - 44%55%39%40%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense102530.243.4%3.970.9 - - - - - 62%38%43%43%14%.21
ND Offense124244.747.2%3.840.924449211237556%44%48%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1030:1914.334%67%4.440.21.10.94.50.6027.4
Notre Dame1233:4924.249%65%4.4380.91.47.32.4229
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1076%36%48.3177.63.715.032.6271%12%1.04
ND Defense1244%39% - - - - .042.4371%14%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1062%43% - - - - .173.0583%9%1.1
ND Offense1256%48%42.2211.4533.163.2688%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1023%33%5.712.497.47.917.164.272.334%24%.263%2.3
ND Defense1255%40% - - - - - - 7.221.637%30%.348%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1038%43% - - - - - - 3.281.531%33%.435%2.1
ND Offense1244%47%19.330.2237.47.912.3153.371.629%36%.423%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Notre Dame: 11.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.5   Notre Dame: 17.4




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 11.2 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2021 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #20
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 36
Navy 23

Projected Total Points: 59
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Notre Dame49Navy10Notre Dame -30.5Notre Dame54.5Over
202410/26Navy14Notre Dame51Notre Dame -14.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202308/26Notre Dame42Navy3Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame49.0Under
202211/12Navy32Notre Dame35Notre Dame -17Navy40.5Over
202111/06Notre Dame34Navy6Notre Dame -21Notre Dame47.5Under
201911/16Notre Dame52Navy20Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201810/27Navy22Notre Dame44Notre Dame -21.5Notre Dame55.5Over
201711/18Notre Dame24Navy17Notre Dame -20.5Navy58.5Under
201611/05Navy28Notre Dame27Navy -4.5Notre Dame63.0Under
201510/10Notre Dame41Navy24Notre Dame -16Notre Dame59.5Over
201411/01Navy39Notre Dame49Notre Dame -13.5Navy0
201311/02Notre Dame38Navy34Notre Dame -17Navy0
201209/01Navy10Notre Dame50
201110/29Notre Dame56Navy14
201010/23Navy35Notre Dame17
200911/07Notre Dame21Navy23
200811/15Navy21Notre Dame27
200711/03Notre Dame44Navy46
200610/28Navy14Notre Dame38
200511/12Notre Dame42Navy21
200410/16Navy9Notre Dame27
200311/08Notre Dame27Navy24
200211/09Navy23Notre Dame30
200111/17Notre Dame34Navy16
200010/13Notre Dame45Navy14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame2186 Overs
Navy444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 117 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#) NAVY at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #11
Perf GradeGrade #115 #12
OffenseOff #93 #24
DefenseDef #125 #13
Spec TeamsST #39 #14
TalentTal #141 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Run GameRun #125 #25
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffND Def
Pass GamePass #116 #17
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #52
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #125
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #51 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #40 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #136
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Notre Dame -21.0 (47.5)
Notre Dame won vs Navy this year (34-6)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Navy last year (49-10)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2024 (51-14)
Notre Dame beat Navy in 2023 (42-3)

  
NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Marcus Freeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD