UCLA at NC State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, December 28th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
NC State -2 (60.0)
Petco Park - San Diego, CA

Bruins (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (12 - 22)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: UCLA: 21 - NCST: 33 (54)
NCST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UCLA Travel: 115 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UCLA Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	UCLA vs Hawai'i	-17.5	67.0	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/4	UCLA vs LSU	+2.0	64.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UCLA vs Fresno State	-11.0	64.0	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/25	UCLA at Stanford	-4.0	60.5	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UCLA vs Arizona State	-3.0	56.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/9	UCLA at Arizona	-16.0	60.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/16	UCLA at Washington	+1.5	55.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UCLA vs Oregon	-1.0	62.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/30	UCLA at Utah	+6.0	60.5	L 24 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	UCLA vs Colorado	-18.0	57.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/20	UCLA at USC	-4.5	66.5	W 62 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/27	UCLA vs California	-6.5	58.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/28	UCLA vs NC State	+2.0	60.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

NC State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	NC State vs South Florida	-20.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	NC State at Mississippi State	-1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	NC State vs Furman	-27.5	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	NC State vs Clemson	+10.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-18.5	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	51.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	NC State at Miami	-3.5	54.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/30	NC State vs Louisville	-6.0	57.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	NC State at Florida State	-3.0	55.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	NC State at Wake Forest	+1.0	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/20	NC State vs Syracuse	-11.0	49.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/26	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	N
Tue 12/28	NC State vs UCLA	-2.0	60.0

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	.25	46%	18.2	47%	2.88	231	45%	224	3.96	.16	47%	33.4	53%	42%	3.44	53.4	1.9	1.4
NCST	.16	42%	30.2	43%	2.61	123	42%	262	3.87	.16	41%	27.2	40%	41%	3.82	74.3	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	7	18.2	16.8	46%	3.96	1.9	25	455	231	224	5.1	59%	41%	47%	45%	17%	.25
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	40.7%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	40%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	7	33.4	32.2	47.1%	3.44	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	53%	42%	16%	.16
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	42.5%	3.87	1.6	22	385	123	262	3.4	50%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	7	28:49	24.6	45%	41%	6.9	53.4	1.9	1.4	6.6	3.1	0	28.2
NC State	12	29:57	22.3	44%	67%	8.1	74.3	1.6	1	7.6	2.8	3	29.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	7	59%	47%	45.6	230.6	5.1	13	.16	2.88	64%	11%	1.05
NCST Defense	12	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.71	59%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	7	47%	53%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.06	75%	10%	0.82
NCST Offense	12	50%	43%	36.2	123.3	3.4	20	.03	2.61	71%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	7	41%	45%	18.6	28.6	224.4	7.9	12.1	18	6	.39	1.6	30%	32%	.42	6%	2.1
NCST Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.6	34%	32%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	7	53%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.5	31%	36%	.38	6%	1.9
NCST Offense	12	50%	42%	20.9	33.3	261.9	7.9	12.5	24	15	.3	1.8	31%	36%	.39	6%	2.1

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCLA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #41
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #12
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: NC State: 8.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 9.4 NC State: 16.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 8.05 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 33
UCLA 21

Projected Total Points: 54

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	0	0	0 Overs
UCLA	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

UCLA Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	Cactus Bowl	UCLA vs Kansas State	+6.5	59.0	L 17 - 35
2015	Farms Bowl	UCLA vs Nebraska	-6.5		L 29 - 37

NC State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2020	Gator Bowl	NC State vs Kentucky	+3.0	50.5	L 21 - 23
2018	N/A	NC State vs Texas A&M	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 52
2017	N/A	NC State vs Arizona State	-5.0	62.5	W 52 - 31
2016	Independence Bowl	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17
2015	N/A	NC State vs Mississippi State	+7.0		L 28 - 51

(#) UCLA at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#29
OffenseOff	#50	#41
DefenseDef	#98	#27
Spec TeamsST	#106	#55
TalentTal	#23	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UCLA Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#50	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#7	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#61	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UCLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#98
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#101	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#23	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#66

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Petco Park
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UCLA's OC Justin Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Jerry Azzinaro (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD