NC State at Boston College - 2021 Matchup Preview

NC State Wolfpack at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -3 (51.0)
NC State 33 - Boston College: 7 (ACC)

Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (29 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 16.2 MPH
NCST coming off BYE
BC coming off BYE
Our Line: -5 (SP+ NCST -15)
Projected Score: NCST: 25 - BC: 26 (51)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 606 miles

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	NC State vs South Florida	-20.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	NC State at Mississippi State	-1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	NC State vs Furman	-27.5	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	NC State vs Clemson	+10.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-18.5	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	51.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	NC State at Miami	-3.5	54.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/30	NC State vs Louisville	-6.0	57.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	NC State at Florida State	-3.0	55.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	NC State at Wake Forest	+1.0	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/20	NC State vs Syracuse	-11.0	49.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/26	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	N
Tue 12/28	NC State vs UCLA	-2.0	60.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.24	41%	33.1	42%	3.28	126	41%	288	4.2	.08	34%	19.7	35%	34%	3.6	64.5	0.9	1.4
BC	.17	41%	24.7	44%	2.77	166	38%	185	3.59	.17	42%	22.2	45%	39%	3.19	49.7	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	12	33.1	28.6	41.3%	4.2	0.9	21	415	126	288	4.1	40%	59%	42%	41%	14%	.24
BC Defense	12	22.2	22.8	42.3%	3.19	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	39%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	12	19.7	24.2	33.8%	3.6	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	34%	19%	.08
BC Offense	12	24.7	24.8	41.1%	3.59	1.5	19	350	166	185	4.2	59%	41%	44%	38%	18%	.17

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	12	31:15	21.3	40%	42%	7.4	64.5	0.9	1.4	6.6	2.8	4	30.2
Boston College	12	30:12	19.3	40%	57%	5.4	49.7	1.5	1.4	4.7	1.7	2	27.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	12	40%	42%	31	126.2	4.1	11	.11	3.28	81%	8%	0.94
BC Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.15	69%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	12	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.79	50%	11%	1.02
BC Offense	12	59%	44%	39.6	165.6	4.2	21	.09	2.77	61%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	12	59%	41%	24	36.9	288.4	7.8	12	35	6	.35	1.7	33%	29%	.34	6%	2.3
BC Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.7	29%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	12	55%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	39%	26%	.21	8%	2.1
BC Offense	12	41%	38%	14.1	25.3	184.8	7.3	13.1	13	11	.29	1.8	31%	32%	.32	6%	2.2

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: Boston College: 2.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 16.1 Boston College: 0.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.95 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.2

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 26
NC State 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 29
NC State 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
NC State 27
Boston College 23

Total Points: 50

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	NC State	20	Boston College	21	NC State -18	Boston College	41.0	Push
2021	10/16	Boston College	7	NC State	33	NC State -3	NC State	51.0	Under
2019	10/19	Boston College	45	NC State	24	NC State -4.5	Boston College	54.0	Over
2018	10/06	NC State	28	Boston College	23	NC State -6.5	Boston College	60.5	Under
2017	11/11	Boston College	14	NC State	17	NC State -3	NA	54.5	Under
2016	10/29	NC State	14	Boston College	21	NC State -15.5	Boston College	42.0	Under
2015	11/07	Boston College	8	NC State	24	NC State -1	NC State	37.0	Under
2014	10/11	NC State	14	Boston College	30	NC State -3.5	Boston College	0
2013	11/16	Boston College	38	NC State	21	Boston College -7.5	Boston College	0
2012	11/24	NC State	27	Boston College	10
2011	11/12	Boston College	14	NC State	10
2010	10/09	NC State	44	Boston College	17
2009	10/17	Boston College	52	NC State	20
2008	10/04	NC State	31	Boston College	38
2007	09/08	Boston College	37	NC State	17
2006	09/23	NC State	17	Boston College	15
2005	11/12	Boston College	30	NC State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	10	6	1 Overs
NC State	7	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 7	2 - 6	1 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 10	6 - 2	2 - 1	4 - 1

(#) NCST at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#75
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#27
OffenseOff	#41	#36
DefenseDef	#27	#36
Spec TeamsST	#55	#10
TalentTal	#34	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#101	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#23	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#48	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#75	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 71° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 7
NC State 3.0 (51.0)
NC State won at Boston College this year (33-7)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat NC State in 2022 (21-20)

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD