Louisiana Tech at NC State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
NC State -18.5 (56.0)
NC State 34 - Louisiana Tech: 27

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 28 - 34 (26 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 3rd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -16.5 (SP+ NCST -28)
Projected Score: LT: 23 - NCST: 34 (57)
NCST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
LT Travel: 827 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+20.5	52.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-11.5	70.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/18	Louisiana Tech vs SMU	+11.0	65.0	L 37 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-9.5	65.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+18.5	56.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-6.5	55.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/23	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	+5.5	59.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion	-4.0	52.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisiana Tech at UAB	+14.0	49.5	L 38 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte	-7.0	58.0	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-15.0	47.5	L 19 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-3.5	52.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	NC State vs South Florida	-20.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	NC State at Mississippi State	-1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	NC State vs Furman	-27.5	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	NC State vs Clemson	+10.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-18.5	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	51.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	NC State at Miami	-3.5	54.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/30	NC State vs Louisville	-6.0	57.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	NC State at Florida State	-3.0	55.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	NC State at Wake Forest	+1.0	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/20	NC State vs Syracuse	-11.0	49.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/26	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	N
Tue 12/28	NC State vs UCLA	-2.0	60.0

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	.18	41%	28	38%	2.92	122	45%	263	3.7	.26	46%	34	45%	47%	4.33	52.1	1.9	2
NCST	.24	41%	33.1	42%	3.28	126	41%	288	4.2	.08	34%	19.7	35%	34%	3.6	64.5	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	12	28	25.5	41.3%	3.7	1.9	21	385	122	263	3.5	47%	52%	38%	45%	18%	.18
NCST Defense	12	19.7	16.4	33.8%	3.6	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	34%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	12	34	33	45.9%	4.33	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	45%	47%	15%	.26
NCST Offense	12	33.1	36.3	41.3%	4.2	0.9	21	415	126	288	4.1	40%	59%	42%	41%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	12	28:16	20.8	39%	44%	6.8	52.1	1.9	2	5.4	1.7	2	30.6
NC State	12	31:15	21.3	40%	42%	7.4	64.5	0.9	1.4	6.6	2.8	4	30.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	12	47%	38%	34.7	122.2	3.5	16	.05	2.92	71%	10%	0.99
NCST Defense	12	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.79	50%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	12	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.34	78%	10%	1.11
NCST Offense	12	40%	42%	31	126.2	4.1	11	.11	3.28	81%	8%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	12	52%	45%	20.7	34.3	262.6	7.7	12.7	22	16	.33	1.6	30%	34%	.36	7%	1.9
NCST Defense	12	55%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	39%	26%	.21	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.4	31%	33%	.43	5%	2.2
NCST Offense	12	59%	41%	24	36.9	288.4	7.8	12	35	6	.35	1.7	33%	29%	.34	6%	2.3

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: NC State: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 NC State: 16.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 34
Louisiana Tech 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 35
Louisiana Tech 23

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
NC State 34
Louisiana Tech 23

Total Points: 57

NC State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	NC State	30	Louisiana Tech	20	NC State -20.5	Louisiana Tech	47.5	Over
2021	10/02	NC State	34	Louisiana Tech	27	NC State -18.5	Louisiana Tech	56.0	Over
2013	08/31	NC State	40	Louisiana Tech	14	NC State -10.5	NC State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	1	2 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#) LT at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#102	#29
OffenseOff	#102	#41
DefenseDef	#89	#27
Spec TeamsST	#74	#55
TalentTal	#75	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#91	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#89
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#101	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#23	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#87
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74°

Rematch from Week 5
NC State -18.5 (56.0)
NC State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Louisiana Tech last year (30-20)

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD