Clemson at NC State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -10.5 (46.5)
NC State 27 - Clemson: 21 (ACC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (141 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (30 - 15 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
CLEM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ CLEM -2.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 26 - NCST: 25 (51)
CLEM Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CLEM Travel: 245 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CLEM Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Clemson vs Georgia	-3.0	51.5	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Clemson vs South Carolina State	-50.5	56.0	W 49 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/18	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-27.5	52.5	W 14 - 8	U	N
Sat 9/25	Clemson at NC State	-10.5	46.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/2	Clemson vs Boston College	-14.5	46.5	W 19 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Clemson at Syracuse	-12.5	44.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/23	Clemson at Pittsburgh	+3.5	47.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Clemson vs Florida State	-9.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Clemson at Louisville	-3.5	46.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Clemson vs UConn	-40.5	50.5	W 44 - 7	O	N
Sat 11/20	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-3.5	57.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Clemson at South Carolina	-11.5	42.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Clemson vs Iowa State	-1.5	44.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

NC State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	NC State vs South Florida	-20.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	NC State at Mississippi State	-1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	NC State vs Furman	-27.5	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	NC State vs Clemson	+10.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-18.5	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	51.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	NC State at Miami	-3.5	54.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/30	NC State vs Louisville	-6.0	57.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	NC State at Florida State	-3.0	55.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	NC State at Wake Forest	+1.0	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/20	NC State vs Syracuse	-11.0	49.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/26	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	N
Tue 12/28	NC State vs UCLA	-2.0	60.0

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	.36	51%	27.2	51%	3.07	154	51%	349	4.32	.09	36%	20.5	34%	38%	2.56	47.3	1.3	1.9
NCST	.16	42%	30.2	43%	2.61	123	42%	262	3.87	.16	41%	27.2	40%	41%	3.82	74.3	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	12	27.2	29.6	50.9%	4.32	1.3	25	503	154	349	4.5	43%	57%	51%	51%	15%	.36
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	40.7%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	40%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	12	20.5	15.4	35.8%	2.56	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	34%	38%	23%	.09
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	42.5%	3.87	1.6	22	385	123	262	3.4	50%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	12	30:23	24.6	46%	67%	5.3	47.3	1.3	1.9	9.1	3.8	0	30.3
NC State	12	29:57	22.3	44%	67%	8.1	74.3	1.6	1	7.6	2.8	3	29.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	12	43%	51%	34.2	154	4.5	33	.2	3.07	73%	9%	0.98
NCST Defense	12	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.71	59%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	12	49%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.33	72%	17%	0.94
NCST Offense	12	50%	43%	36.2	123.3	3.4	20	.03	2.61	71%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	12	57%	51%	27.2	40.8	348.5	8.5	12.8	31	6	.48	1.6	30%	40%	.55	6%	2
NCST Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.6	34%	32%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	12	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.22	1.8	37%	25%	.17	6%	2.1
NCST Offense	12	50%	42%	20.9	33.3	261.9	7.9	12.5	24	15	.3	1.8	31%	36%	.39	6%	2.1

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: NR
Clemson's Offense Rating: NR
Clemson's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Clemson's 2021 Expected Record: -
Clemson's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #8
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #71
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.6 #3

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: NC State: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 18.7 NC State: 16.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.4

Clemson's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 26
NC State 25

Projected Total Points: 51

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Clemson	59	NC State	35	Clemson -17	Clemson	44.0	Over
2023	10/28	NC State	24	Clemson	17	Clemson -9.5	NC State	44.5	Under
2022	10/01	Clemson	30	NC State	20	Clemson -6.5	Clemson	46.0	Over
2021	09/25	NC State	27	Clemson	21	Clemson -10.5	NC State	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	NC State	10	Clemson	55	Clemson -34	Clemson	54.5	Over
2018	10/20	Clemson	41	NC State	7	Clemson -17.5	Clemson	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	NC State	31	Clemson	38	Clemson -9.5	NC State	51.0	Over
2016	10/15	Clemson	24	NC State	17	Clemson -17	NC State	60.0	Under
2015	10/31	NC State	41	Clemson	56	Clemson -9.5	Clemson	50.5	Over
2014	10/04	Clemson	41	NC State	0	Clemson -14	Clemson	0
2013	09/19	NC State	14	Clemson	26	Clemson -13	NC State	0
2012	11/17	Clemson	62	NC State	48
2011	11/19	NC State	37	Clemson	13
2010	11/06	Clemson	14	NC State	13
2009	11/14	NC State	23	Clemson	43
2008	09/13	Clemson	27	NC State	9
2007	09/22	NC State	20	Clemson	42
2006	11/11	Clemson	20	NC State	14
2005	10/13	NC State	10	Clemson	31
2004	10/30	Clemson	26	NC State	20
2003	10/16	NC State	17	Clemson	15
2002	10/24	Clemson	6	NC State	38
2001	10/13	NC State	37	Clemson	45
2000	10/06	Clemson	34	NC State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	5	5	6 Overs
Clemson	19	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 1	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 15	3 - 8	2 - 4	1 - 4

(#) CLEM at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CLEM	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#52	#29
OffenseOff	#90	#41
DefenseDef	#18	#27
Spec TeamsST	#52	#55
TalentTal	#4	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Clemson Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#85	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#55	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#18
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#101	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#23	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#41

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Clemson 10.5 (46.5)
NC State won vs Clemson this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat NC State in 2024 (59-35)
NC State beat Clemson in 2023 (24-17)

CLEM's OC Tony Elliott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD