Syracuse at NC State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
NC State -11 (49.5)
NC State 41 - Syracuse: 17 (ACC)

Orange (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dino Babers (26 - 37)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 2nd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ NCST -16)
Projected Score: SYR: 22 - NCST: 35 (57)
NCST Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
SYR Travel: 519 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Syracuse at Ohio	+2.0	55.5	W 29 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Syracuse vs Rutgers	+2.5	50.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/18	Syracuse vs UAlbany	-21.5	41.0	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Syracuse vs Liberty	+6.5	54.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Syracuse at Florida State	+5.5	50.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	+5.5	59.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Fri 10/15	Syracuse vs Clemson	+12.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+3.5	45.5	W 41 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Syracuse vs Boston College	-6.5	51.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Syracuse at Louisville	+3.0	55.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/20	Syracuse at NC State	+11.0	49.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+12.0	58.5	L 14 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

NC State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	NC State vs South Florida	-20.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	NC State at Mississippi State	-1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/18	NC State vs Furman	-27.5	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	NC State vs Clemson	+10.5	46.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-18.5	56.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	NC State at Boston College	-3.0	51.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	NC State at Miami	-3.5	54.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/30	NC State vs Louisville	-6.0	57.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	NC State at Florida State	-3.0	55.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	NC State at Wake Forest	+1.0	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/20	NC State vs Syracuse	-11.0	49.5	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/26	NC State vs North Carolina	-6.5	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	N
Tue 12/28	NC State vs UCLA	-2.0	60.0

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	-.02	32%	20.2	35%	2.6	92	30%	173	2.36	.2	45%	34.9	46%	45%	3.34	65.9	1.9	2.2
NCST	.16	42%	30.2	43%	2.61	123	42%	262	3.87	.16	41%	27.2	40%	41%	3.82	74.3	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	11	20.2	17	31.8%	2.36	1.9	13	265	92	173	3.2	42%	58%	35%	30%	22%	-.02
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	40.7%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	40%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	11	34.9	40.2	45.4%	3.34	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	45%	16%	.2
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	42.5%	3.87	1.6	22	385	123	262	3.4	50%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	11	24:31	13.2	26%	35%	7	65.9	1.9	2.2	6.3	2.2	3	29
NC State	12	29:57	22.3	44%	67%	8.1	74.3	1.6	1	7.6	2.8	3	29.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	11	42%	35%	28.9	91.5	3.2	5	-.12	2.6	67%	15%	0.83
NCST Defense	12	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.71	59%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	11	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	84%	10%	0.92
NCST Offense	12	50%	43%	36.2	123.3	3.4	20	.03	2.61	71%	11%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	11	58%	30%	15.7	30.5	173.3	5.7	11	15	12	.05	1.7	39%	22%	.13	7%	2.2
NCST Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.6	34%	32%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	11	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.6	28%	33%	.44	6%	2.2
NCST Offense	12	50%	42%	20.9	33.3	261.9	7.9	12.5	24	15	.3	1.8	31%	36%	.39	6%	2.1

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: NR
Syracuse's Offense Rating: NR
Syracuse's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Syracuse's 2021 Expected Record: -
Syracuse's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #79
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: NC State: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 0.3 NC State: 16.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 35
Syracuse 22

Projected Total Points: 57

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	NC State	17	Syracuse	24	Syracuse -1	Syracuse	51.5	Under
2022	10/15	Syracuse	24	NC State	9	Syracuse -3	Syracuse	42.5	Under
2021	11/20	NC State	41	Syracuse	17	NC State -11	NC State	49.5	Over
2020	11/28	Syracuse	29	NC State	36	NC State -17.5	Syracuse	50.5	Over
2019	10/10	NC State	16	Syracuse	10	NC State -4.5	NC State	56.0	Under
2018	10/27	Syracuse	51	NC State	41	NC State -2	Syracuse	65.0	Over
2017	09/30	NC State	33	Syracuse	25	NC State -14	Syracuse	62.0	Under
2016	11/12	Syracuse	20	NC State	35	NC State -7	NC State	62.0	Under
2015	11/21	NC State	42	Syracuse	29	NC State -17	Syracuse	55.0	Over
2014	11/01	Syracuse	17	NC State	24	Syracuse -5	NC State	0
2013	10/12	NC State	10	Syracuse	24	NC State -4.5	Syracuse	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	7	4	4 Overs
Syracuse	4	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) SYR at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#97	#29
OffenseOff	#115	#41
DefenseDef	#54	#27
Spec TeamsST	#86	#55
TalentTal	#69	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Syracuse Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#19	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#36

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#101	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#23	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48°

Rematch from Week 12
NC State -11.0 (49.5)
NC State won vs Syracuse this year (41-17)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat NC State in 2024 (24-17)

SYR's OC Sterlin Gilbert (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD