Kentucky at Georgia - 2021 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs(#10)

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -21.5 (44.5)
Georgia 30 - Kentucky: 13 (SEC)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
UGA is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ UGA -19)
Projected Score: UK: 16 - UGA: 29 (45)
UGA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 288 miles

Bulldogs (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (55 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 10 (44 - 8 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kentucky vs UL Monroe	-31.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Kentucky vs Missouri	-5.5	56.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Kentucky vs Chattanooga	-33.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kentucky at South Carolina	-4.5	49.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Kentucky vs Florida	+7.5	56.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Kentucky vs LSU	-2.0	50.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Kentucky at Georgia	+21.5	44.5	L 13 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+1.0	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+1.0	57.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/13	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-21.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-35.5	61.0	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Kentucky at Louisville	+3.0	58.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 1/1	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Georgia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia vs Clemson	+3.0	51.5	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Georgia vs UAB	-22.5	44.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Georgia vs South Carolina	-31.5	47.5	W 40 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/25	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-36.0	54.5	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia vs Arkansas	-16.5	48.0	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Georgia at Auburn	-14.5	45.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Georgia vs Kentucky	-21.5	44.5	W 30 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Georgia vs Missouri	-40.0	59.0	W 43 - 6	U	N
Sat 11/13	Georgia at Tennessee	-19.0	56.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia vs Charleston Southern	-52.5	59.5	W 56 - 7	O	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-35.5	54.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Georgia vs Alabama	-6.0	48.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Fri 12/31	Georgia vs Michigan	-7.5	47.0	W 34 - 11	U	Y
Mon 1/10	Georgia vs Alabama	-3.0	53.5	W 33 - 18	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.26	50%	32.3	52%	3.57	200	49%	226	4.88	.16	44%	21.7	42%	47%	3.61	42.2	1.8	0.9
UGA	.34	50%	38.6	50%	3.36	191	50%	252	4.69	-.02	33%	10.2	33%	32%	1.87	43.2	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	32.3	26.4	50.4%	4.88	1.8	23	425	200	226	5.2	55%	45%	52%	49%	15%	.26
UGA Defense	15	10.2	7.7	32.5%	1.87	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	40%	59%	33%	32%	20%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	21.7	21.8	44.4%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	47%	18%	.16
UGA Offense	15	38.6	43.7	49.9%	4.69	1.1	23	443	191	252	5.3	51%	49%	50%	50%	12%	.34

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	32:35	22.8	50%	38%	4.8	42.2	1.8	0.9	6.1	2.2	4	27.7
Georgia	15	30:33	22.6	45%	57%	5.1	43.2	1.1	1.5	6.6	3.3	5	30.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	55%	52%	38.2	199.5	5.2	27	.23	3.57	78%	9%	0.93
UGA Defense	15	40%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.7	70%	12%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.06	3.03	76%	11%	0.84
UGA Offense	15	51%	50%	36.3	190.9	5.3	29	.2	3.36	82%	7%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	45%	49%	18.6	28.2	225.6	8	12.1	24	13	.31	1.5	27%	39%	.44	6%	1.8
UGA Defense	15	59%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	-.02	1.5	39%	27%	.14	8%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.4	32%	29%	.2	6%	1.9
UGA Offense	15	49%	50%	17.6	27.1	251.9	9.3	14.3	39	12	.48	1.7	26%	37%	.54	5%	2.1

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Georgia: 18.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.4 Georgia: 32.0

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 18.5 NR
Georgia's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0 #1
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.3 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 29
Kentucky 16

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 27
Kentucky 14

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 31
Kentucky 19

Total Points: 50

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 10.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Georgia's 2021 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Georgia	35	Kentucky	14	Georgia -19.5	Georgia	48.5	Over
2024	09/14	Kentucky	12	Georgia	13	Georgia -24	Kentucky	45.0	Under
2023	10/07	Georgia	51	Kentucky	13	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2022	11/19	Kentucky	6	Georgia	16	Georgia -22.5	Kentucky	47.5	Under
2021	10/16	Georgia	30	Kentucky	13	Georgia -21.5	Kentucky	44.5	Under
2020	10/31	Kentucky	3	Georgia	14	Georgia -17	Kentucky	42.0	Under
2019	10/19	Georgia	21	Kentucky	0	Georgia -23.5	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2018	11/03	Kentucky	17	Georgia	34	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	47.5	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia	42	Kentucky	13	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	51.0	Over
2016	11/05	Kentucky	24	Georgia	27	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia	27	Kentucky	3	Georgia -17	Georgia	58.0	Under
2014	11/08	Kentucky	31	Georgia	63	Georgia -13	Georgia	0
2013	11/23	Georgia	59	Kentucky	17	Georgia -26	Georgia	0
2012	10/20	Kentucky	24	Georgia	29
2011	11/19	Georgia	19	Kentucky	10
2010	10/23	Kentucky	31	Georgia	44
2009	11/21	Georgia	27	Kentucky	34
2008	11/08	Kentucky	38	Georgia	42
2007	11/17	Georgia	24	Kentucky	13
2006	11/04	Kentucky	24	Georgia	20
2005	11/19	Georgia	45	Kentucky	13
2004	11/06	Kentucky	17	Georgia	62
2003	11/22	Georgia	30	Kentucky	10
2002	10/26	Kentucky	24	Georgia	52
2001	10/20	Georgia	43	Kentucky	29
2000	10/20	Kentucky	30	Georgia	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	24	8	4 Overs
Kentucky	2	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	8 - 5	5 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	5 - 8	3 - 3	2 - 5

(#) UK at (#) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#18	#1
OffenseOff	#4	#4
DefenseDef	#71	#1
Spec TeamsST	#60	#1
TalentTal	#30	#2
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Georgia Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#18	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#1

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#71
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#4	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#26	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia -21.5 (44.5)
Georgia won vs Kentucky this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UGA's OC Todd Monken (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Dan Lanning (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD