Kentucky at South Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -4.5 (49.0)
Kentucky 16 - South Carolina: 10  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 32 - 22 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SC is playing their 4th straight game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ UK -9.5)
Projected Score: UK: 19 - SC: 23 (42)
UK Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 341 miles
Gamecocks (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Shane Beamer (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (23 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kentucky vs UL Monroe-31.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Kentucky vs Missouri-5.556.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Kentucky vs Chattanooga-33.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 9/25 Kentucky at South Carolina-4.549.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Kentucky vs Florida+7.556.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/9 Kentucky vs LSU-2.050.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/16 Kentucky at Georgia+21.544.5L 13 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Kentucky at Mississippi State+1.047.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/6 Kentucky vs Tennessee+1.057.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/13 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-21.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-35.561.0W 56 - 16OY
Sat 11/27 Kentucky at Louisville+3.058.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 1/1 Kentucky vs Iowa-3.043.5W 20 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
South Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 South Carolina vs Eastern Illinois-31.555.5W 46 - 0UY
Sat 9/11 South Carolina at East Carolina-3.056.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/18 South Carolina at Georgia+31.547.5L 13 - 40OY
Sat 9/25 South Carolina vs Kentucky+4.549.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/2 South Carolina vs Troy-6.543.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 10/9 South Carolina at Tennessee+10.557.0L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/16 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-19.050.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 South Carolina at Texas A&M+19.046.0L 14 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 South Carolina vs Florida+20.552.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 11/13 South Carolina at Missouri+1.056.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/20 South Carolina vs Auburn+7.045.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/27 South Carolina vs Clemson+11.542.5L 0 - 30UN
Thu 12/30 South Carolina vs North Carolina+12.557.5W 38 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.2650%32.352%3.5720049%2264.88.1644%21.742%47%3.6142.21.80.9
SC.1940%22.641%2.9213640%2013.24.1943%2446%40%3.3845.91.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1332.326.450.4%4.881.8234252002265.255%45%52%49%15%.26
SC Defense132416.343.4%3.382.2 - - - - - 56%44%46%40%18%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1321.721.844.4%3.610.9 - - - - - 46%53%42%47%18%.16
SC Offense1322.62340.2%3.241.8173381362013.854%46%41%40%19%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1332:3522.850%38%4.842.21.80.96.12.2427.7
South Carolina1330:0117.535%50%5.845.91.82.24.82329.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1355%52%38.2199.55.227.233.5778%9%0.93
SC Defense1356%46% - - - - .213.4791%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1346%42% - - - - .063.0376%11%0.84
SC Offense1354%41%35.9136.43.89.062.9275%13%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1345%49%18.628.2225.6812.12413.311.527%39%.446%1.8
SC Defense1344%40% - - - - - - 15.191.729%32%.338%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1353%47% - - - - - - 9.271.432%29%.26%1.9
SC Offense1346%40%16.227.7201.27.312.42211.361.935%29%.415%2.4

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    South Carolina: 4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.4   South Carolina: 3.9




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.45 NR
South Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #66
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #87
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Carolina 23
Kentucky 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 24
Kentucky 13

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 25
South Carolina 22

Total Points: 47
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

South Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27South Carolina35Kentucky13South Carolina -5.5South Carolina46.5Over
202409/07Kentucky6South Carolina31Kentucky -9.5South Carolina41.5Under
202311/18South Carolina17Kentucky14South Carolina -2.5South Carolina52.5Under
202210/08Kentucky14South Carolina24Kentucky -4South Carolina45.0Under
202109/25South Carolina10Kentucky16Kentucky -4.5Kentucky49.0Under
202012/05Kentucky41South Carolina18Kentucky -12Kentucky46.0Over
201909/28South Carolina24Kentucky7South Carolina -3.5South Carolina54.0Under
201809/29Kentucky24South Carolina10South Carolina -1Kentucky52.0Under
201709/16South Carolina13Kentucky23South Carolina -6Kentucky48.5Under
201609/24Kentucky17South Carolina10Kentucky -1.5Kentucky57.5Under
201509/12South Carolina22Kentucky26South Carolina -7.5Kentucky56.0Under
201410/04Kentucky45South Carolina38South Carolina -7.5Kentucky0
201310/05South Carolina35Kentucky28South Carolina -21Kentucky0
201209/29Kentucky17South Carolina38
201110/08South Carolina54Kentucky3
201010/16Kentucky31South Carolina28
200910/10South Carolina28Kentucky26
200810/11Kentucky17South Carolina24
200710/04South Carolina38Kentucky23
200610/07Kentucky17South Carolina24
200510/08South Carolina44Kentucky16
200410/16Kentucky7South Carolina12
200310/09South Carolina27Kentucky21
200210/12Kentucky12South Carolina16
200110/06South Carolina42Kentucky6
200010/06Kentucky17South Carolina20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina1852 Overs
Kentucky889 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 117 - 65 - 52 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 71 - 25 - 5

(#) UK at (#) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #66
Perf GradeGrade #18 #77
OffenseOff #4 #97
DefenseDef #71 #59
Spec TeamsST #60 #3
TalentTal #30 #22
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
UK OffSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #59
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffSC Def
Run GameRun #18 #98
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #97
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
UK OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #22 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #19
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatSC OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffUK Def
Run GameRun #66 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatSC OffUK Def
Pass GamePass #99 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #118 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky 4.5 (49.0)
Kentucky won at South Carolina this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-14)

  
UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SC's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD