Kentucky at South Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -4.5 (49.0)
Kentucky 16 - South Carolina: 10 (SEC)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SC is playing their 4th straight game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ UK -9.5)
Projected Score: UK: 19 - SC: 27 (46)
UK Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 341 miles

Gamecocks (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Shane Beamer (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kentucky vs UL Monroe	-31.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Kentucky vs Missouri	-5.5	56.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Kentucky vs Chattanooga	-33.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kentucky at South Carolina	-4.5	49.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Kentucky vs Florida	+7.5	56.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Kentucky vs LSU	-2.0	50.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Kentucky at Georgia	+21.5	44.5	L 13 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+1.0	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+1.0	57.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/13	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-21.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-35.5	61.0	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Kentucky at Louisville	+3.0	58.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 1/1	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

South Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	South Carolina vs Eastern Illinois	-31.5	55.5	W 46 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	South Carolina at East Carolina	-3.0	56.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/18	South Carolina at Georgia	+31.5	47.5	L 13 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/25	South Carolina vs Kentucky	+4.5	49.0	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/2	South Carolina vs Troy	-6.5	43.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/9	South Carolina at Tennessee	+10.5	57.0	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/16	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-19.0	50.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/23	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+19.0	46.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	South Carolina vs Florida	+20.5	52.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/13	South Carolina at Missouri	+1.0	56.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/20	South Carolina vs Auburn	+7.0	45.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/27	South Carolina vs Clemson	+11.5	42.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Thu 12/30	South Carolina vs North Carolina	+12.5	57.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.12	43%	23	49%	3.07	196	35%	122	3.33	.13	45%	26.4	44%	46%	3.57	56	1.1	2
SC	.15	41%	22.7	45%	2.71	167	38%	187	3.91	.31	50%	22.1	53%	46%	4.37	43.2	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	11	23	10.8	43.4%	3.33	1.1	17	318	196	122	4.9	61%	38%	49%	35%	14%	.12
SC Defense	10	22.1	20.6	49.9%	4.37	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	53%	46%	12%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	11	26.4	31.8	45.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	46%	14%	.13
SC Offense	10	22.7	24.9	41.5%	3.91	1.5	20	354	167	187	4.6	51%	49%	45%	38%	21%	.15

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	11	31:00	17.3	37%	47%	5.7	56	1.1	2	4.9	1.4	3	27.7
South Carolina	10	29:10	19.5	37%	74%	4.9	43.2	1.5	1.1	3.9	1.4	0	25.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	11	61%	49%	39.8	196.4	4.9	19	.18	3.07	75%	9%	0.94
SC Defense	10	53%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.32	92%	7%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	11	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.86	59%	9%	0.83
SC Offense	10	51%	45%	36.5	167.1	4.6	19	.21	2.71	67%	14%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	11	38%	35%	13	21.9	121.8	5.6	9.4	7	5	.04	1.3	28%	22%	.15	5%	1.9
SC Defense	10	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.39	1.6	27%	34%	.48	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.21	1.4	28%	36%	.39	5%	1.9
SC Offense	10	49%	38%	17.5	29.5	187.2	6.4	10.7	8	9	.1	1.5	31%	30%	.32	7%	2.1

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: South Carolina: 4.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.4 South Carolina: 3.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.45 NR
South Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
South Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #66
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #87
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Carolina 27
Kentucky 19

Projected Total Points: 46

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	13	South Carolina -5.5	South Carolina	46.5	Over
2024	09/07	Kentucky	6	South Carolina	31	Kentucky -9.5	South Carolina	41.5	Under
2023	11/18	South Carolina	17	Kentucky	14	South Carolina -2.5	South Carolina	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Kentucky	14	South Carolina	24	Kentucky -4	South Carolina	45.0	Under
2021	09/25	South Carolina	10	Kentucky	16	Kentucky -4.5	Kentucky	49.0	Under
2020	12/05	Kentucky	41	South Carolina	18	Kentucky -12	Kentucky	46.0	Over
2019	09/28	South Carolina	24	Kentucky	7	South Carolina -3.5	South Carolina	54.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kentucky	24	South Carolina	10	South Carolina -1	Kentucky	52.0	Under
2017	09/16	South Carolina	13	Kentucky	23	South Carolina -6	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2016	09/24	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	10	Kentucky -1.5	Kentucky	57.5	Under
2015	09/12	South Carolina	22	Kentucky	26	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	56.0	Under
2014	10/04	Kentucky	45	South Carolina	38	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	0
2013	10/05	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	28	South Carolina -21	Kentucky	0
2012	09/29	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	38
2011	10/08	South Carolina	54	Kentucky	3
2010	10/16	Kentucky	31	South Carolina	28
2009	10/10	South Carolina	28	Kentucky	26
2008	10/11	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2007	10/04	South Carolina	38	Kentucky	23
2006	10/07	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2005	10/08	South Carolina	44	Kentucky	16
2004	10/16	Kentucky	7	South Carolina	12
2003	10/09	South Carolina	27	Kentucky	21
2002	10/12	Kentucky	12	South Carolina	16
2001	10/06	South Carolina	42	Kentucky	6
2000	10/06	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	18	5	2 Overs
Kentucky	8	8	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#) UK at (#) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	SC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#66
Perf GradeGrade	#18	#77
OffenseOff	#4	#97
DefenseDef	#71	#59
Spec TeamsST	#60	#3
TalentTal	#30	#22
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

South Carolina Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#18	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#97

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#97	#71
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#66	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#118	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Kentucky 4.5 (49.0)
Kentucky won at South Carolina this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (35-13)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2024 (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SC's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD