LSU at Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -2 (50.5)
Kentucky 42 - LSU: 21  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 6th straight game
LSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ UK -9)
Projected Score: LSU: 22 - UK: 24 (46)
UK Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 649 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 LSU at UCLA-2.064.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 LSU vs McNeese-39.066.0W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 LSU vs Central Michigan-19.561.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 LSU at Mississippi State-1.554.5W 28 - 25UY
Sat 10/2 LSU vs Auburn-2.557.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 LSU at Kentucky+2.050.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/16 LSU vs Florida+12.561.0W 49 - 42OY
Sat 10/23 LSU at Ole Miss+9.076.5L 17 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 LSU at Alabama+29.566.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/13 LSU vs Arkansas+3.059.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 LSU vs UL Monroe-29.057.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 11/27 LSU vs Texas A&M+6.047.0W 27 - 24OY
Tue 1/4 LSU vs Kansas State+9.547.0L 20 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kentucky vs UL Monroe-31.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Kentucky vs Missouri-5.556.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Kentucky vs Chattanooga-33.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 9/25 Kentucky at South Carolina-4.549.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Kentucky vs Florida+7.556.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/9 Kentucky vs LSU-2.050.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/16 Kentucky at Georgia+21.544.5L 13 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Kentucky at Mississippi State+1.047.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/6 Kentucky vs Tennessee+1.057.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/13 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-21.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-35.561.0W 56 - 16OY
Sat 11/27 Kentucky at Louisville+3.058.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 1/1 Kentucky vs Iowa-3.043.5W 20 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.1743%22.845%2.8312242%3123.22.2847%19.849%45%3.6246.21.32.3
UK.1243%2349%3.0719635%1223.33.1345%26.444%46%3.57561.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1022.816.443.4%3.221.3244341223123.443%57%45%42%14%.17
UK Defense1126.422.645.3%3.572 - - - - - 50%50%44%46%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1019.820.446.9%3.622.3 - - - - - 46%54%49%45%19%.28
UK Offense112331.743.4%3.331.1173181961224.961%38%49%35%14%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1030:5623.534%71%6.146.21.32.36.22.4528.2
Kentucky1131:0017.337%47%5.7561.124.91.4327.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1043%45%36.2121.93.48.022.8370%7%0.71
UK Defense1150%44% - - - - .052.8659%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1046%49% - - - - .183.0156%11%1.01
UK Offense1161%49%39.8196.44.919.183.0775%9%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1057%42%24.742.1312.17.412.6249.281.631%36%.47%1.9
UK Defense1150%46% - - - - - - 16.211.428%36%.395%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1054%45% - - - - - - 14.361.827%33%.478%2.7
UK Offense1138%35%1321.9121.85.69.475.041.328%22%.155%1.9

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Kentucky: 9.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 4.1   Kentucky: 13.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 24
LSU 22

Projected Total Points: 46
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/09Kentucky42LSU21Kentucky -2Kentucky50.5Over
201410/18LSU41Kentucky3LSU -11LSU0
201110/01LSU35Kentucky7
200710/13Kentucky43LSU37
200610/14LSU49Kentucky0
200211/09Kentucky30LSU33
200110/13Kentucky25LSU29
200010/13LSU34Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky211 Overs
LSU610 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 22 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams2 - 60 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) LSU at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #23
Perf GradeGrade #50 #18
OffenseOff #80 #4
DefenseDef #35 #71
Spec TeamsST #42 #60
TalentTal #5 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffUK Def
Run GameRun #119 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffUK Def
Pass GamePass #70 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #17 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #35
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #18 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #22 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #35
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Kentucky -2.0 (50.5)
Kentucky won vs LSU this year (42-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD