Tennessee at Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -1 (57.5)
Tennessee 45 - Kentucky: 42  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ TENN -4)
Projected Score: TENN: 31 - UK: 28 (59)
TENN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 146 miles
Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kentucky vs UL Monroe-31.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Kentucky vs Missouri-5.556.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Kentucky vs Chattanooga-33.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 9/25 Kentucky at South Carolina-4.549.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Kentucky vs Florida+7.556.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/9 Kentucky vs LSU-2.050.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/16 Kentucky at Georgia+21.544.5L 13 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Kentucky at Mississippi State+1.047.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/6 Kentucky vs Tennessee+1.057.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/13 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-21.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-35.561.0W 56 - 16OY
Sat 11/27 Kentucky at Louisville+3.058.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 1/1 Kentucky vs Iowa-3.043.5W 20 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
UK.1243%2349%3.0719635%1223.33.1345%26.444%46%3.57561.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1039.83743.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14
UK Defense1126.422.645.3%3.572 - - - - - 50%50%44%46%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
UK Offense112331.743.4%3.331.1173181961224.961%38%49%35%14%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Kentucky1131:0017.337%47%5.7561.124.91.4327.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85
UK Defense1150%44% - - - - .052.8659%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
UK Offense1161%49%39.8196.44.919.183.0775%9%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8
UK Defense1150%46% - - - - - - 16.211.428%36%.395%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
UK Offense1138%35%1321.9121.85.69.475.041.328%22%.155%1.9

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Kentucky: 9.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 17.5   Kentucky: 13.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 31
Kentucky 28

Projected Total Points: 59
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kentucky34Tennessee56Tennessee -7.5Tennessee55.5Over
202411/02Tennessee28Kentucky18Tennessee -17.5Kentucky45.5Over
202310/28Kentucky27Tennessee33Tennessee -4Tennessee50.5Over
202210/29Tennessee44Kentucky6Tennessee -10.5Tennessee62.5Under
202111/06Kentucky42Tennessee45Tennessee -1Tennessee57.5Over
202010/17Tennessee7Kentucky34Tennessee -6.0Kentucky45.5Under
201911/09Kentucky13Tennessee17Kentucky -2Tennessee42.0Under
201811/10Tennessee24Kentucky7Kentucky -5Tennessee43.0Under
201710/28Kentucky29Tennessee26Kentucky -4Tennessee46.0Over
201611/12Tennessee49Kentucky36Tennessee -10.5Tennessee58.0Over
201510/31Kentucky21Tennessee52Tennessee -7.5Tennessee60.5Over
201411/15Tennessee50Kentucky16Tennessee -6.5Tennessee0
201311/30Kentucky14Tennessee27Tennessee -4Tennessee0
201211/24Tennessee37Kentucky17
201111/26Kentucky10Tennessee7
201011/27Tennessee24Kentucky14
200911/28Kentucky24Tennessee30
200811/29Tennessee28Kentucky10
200711/24Kentucky50Tennessee52
200611/25Tennessee17Kentucky12
200511/26Kentucky8Tennessee27
200411/27Tennessee37Kentucky31
200311/29Kentucky7Tennessee20
200111/17Kentucky35Tennessee38
200011/17Tennessee59Kentucky20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky327 Overs
Tennessee22114 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 139 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#) TENN at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #23
Perf GradeGrade #78 #18
OffenseOff #81 #4
DefenseDef #68 #71
Spec TeamsST #110 #60
TalentTal #19 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
Run GameRun #11 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
Pass GamePass #60 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #18 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #22 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Tennessee 1.0 (57.5)
Tennessee won at Kentucky this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Kentucky last year (56-34)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2024 (28-18)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2023 (33-27)

  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD