LSU at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -9.0 (76.5)
Ole Miss 31 - LSU: 17 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (21 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS is playing their 4th straight game
LSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ MISS -11)
Projected Score: LSU: 28 - MISS: 37 (65)
MISS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
LSU Travel: 289 miles

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	LSU at UCLA	-2.0	64.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/11	LSU vs McNeese	-39.0	66.0	W 34 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	LSU vs Central Michigan	-19.5	61.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/25	LSU at Mississippi State	-1.5	54.5	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/2	LSU vs Auburn	-2.5	57.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	LSU at Kentucky	+2.0	50.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/16	LSU vs Florida	+12.5	61.0	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/23	LSU at Ole Miss	+9.0	76.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	LSU at Alabama	+29.5	66.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/13	LSU vs Arkansas	+3.0	59.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/20	LSU vs UL Monroe	-29.0	57.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/27	LSU vs Texas A&M	+6.0	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Tue 1/4	LSU vs Kansas State	+9.5	47.0	L 20 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.19	41%	26.5	38%	2.89	114	43%	254	4.25	.18	43%	26.6	42%	43%	4.03	34.3	1.2	1.1
MISS	.27	46%	33.7	47%	3.22	218	44%	275	3.83	.19	46%	24.7	50%	42%	3.6	75.2	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	26.5	21.4	40.6%	4.25	1.2	19	368	114	254	3.3	46%	54%	38%	43%	17%	.19
MISS Defense	13	24.7	22.3	46.1%	3.6	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	50%	42%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	26.6	31.2	42.7%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	43%	17%	.18
MISS Offense	13	33.7	40.7	45.7%	3.83	0.9	26	492	218	275	4.8	54%	46%	47%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	29:36	19.4	37%	63%	4.3	34.3	1.2	1.1	7.5	2.9	1	27.8
Ole Miss	13	27:29	26	38%	63%	9	75.2	0.9	1.7	6.2	3	1	29.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	46%	38%	34.2	114	3.3	9	.04	2.89	69%	10%	0.92
MISS Defense	13	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.56	67%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	73%	12%	0.98
MISS Offense	13	54%	47%	45.2	217.6	4.8	33	.3	3.22	68%	10%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	54%	43%	20.2	34.1	254.5	7.5	12.6	32	11	.31	1.6	33%	31%	.3	7%	1.9
MISS Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.09	1.3	29%	32%	.17	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.7	34%	35%	.47	5%	2.3
MISS Offense	13	46%	44%	22	33	274.8	8.3	12.5	21	7	.25	1.6	32%	34%	.33	4%	2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: Ole Miss: 9.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 4.1 Ole Miss: 14.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 9.9 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

LSU Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 37
LSU 28

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 41
LSU 31

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
LSU 24

Total Points: 57

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ole Miss	24	LSU	19	Ole Miss -2.5	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2024	10/12	LSU	29	Ole Miss	26	Ole Miss -3.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2023	09/30	Ole Miss	55	LSU	49	LSU -3	Ole Miss	67.0	Over
2022	10/22	LSU	45	Ole Miss	20	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	64.0	Over
2021	10/23	Ole Miss	31	LSU	17	Ole Miss -9.0	Ole Miss	76.5	Under
2020	12/19	LSU	53	Ole Miss	48	Ole Miss -0.0	LSU	74.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ole Miss	37	LSU	58	LSU -21	NA	66.0	Over
2018	09/29	LSU	45	Ole Miss	16	LSU -10.5	LSU	61.0	Push
2017	10/21	Ole Miss	24	LSU	40	LSU -6.5	LSU	59.0	Over
2016	10/22	LSU	38	Ole Miss	21	LSU -4.5	LSU	59.0	Push
2015	11/21	Ole Miss	38	LSU	17	Ole Miss -4.5	Ole Miss	58.5	Under
2014	10/25	LSU	10	Ole Miss	7	Ole Miss -3	LSU	0
2013	10/19	Ole Miss	27	LSU	24	LSU -8	Ole Miss	0
2012	11/17	LSU	41	Ole Miss	35
2011	11/19	Ole Miss	3	LSU	52
2010	11/20	LSU	43	Ole Miss	36
2009	11/21	Ole Miss	25	LSU	23
2008	11/22	LSU	13	Ole Miss	31
2007	11/17	Ole Miss	24	LSU	41
2006	11/18	LSU	23	Ole Miss	20
2005	11/19	Ole Miss	7	LSU	40
2004	11/20	LSU	27	Ole Miss	24
2003	11/22	Ole Miss	14	LSU	17
2001	10/27	LSU	24	Ole Miss	35
2000	11/10	Ole Miss	9	LSU	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	8	5	5 Overs
LSU	17	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	11 - 1	7 - 0	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 16	1 - 11	1 - 4	0 - 7

(#) LSU at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#50	#65
OffenseOff	#80	#51
DefenseDef	#35	#77
Spec TeamsST	#42	#58
TalentTal	#5	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

LSU Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#119	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#30	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#19

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#41	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Ole Miss -9.0 (76.5)
Ole Miss won vs LSU this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Ole Miss last year (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2022 (45-20)

LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD