Texas A&M at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

(#3)Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (7:00 PM EST)
Texas A&M -1 (57.5)
Ole Miss 29 - Texas A&M: 19 (SEC)

Aggies (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (29 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
MISS is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ TA&M -6.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 26 - MISS: 25 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TA&M Travel: 474 miles

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas A&M vs Kent State	-29.5	67.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas A&M vs Colorado	-17.5	51.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-4.5	47.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-7.0	45.5	L 22 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/9	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+18.5	50.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas A&M at Missouri	-11.5	59.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-19.0	46.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-4.5	49.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	-1.0	57.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/20	Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M	-41.5	50.0	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas A&M at LSU	-6.0	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	.18	45%	29.3	48%	3	183	42%	209	3.88	.02	37%	15.9	40%	34%	2.2	54.7	1.3	1.3
MISS	.27	46%	33.7	47%	3.22	218	44%	275	3.83	.19	46%	24.7	50%	42%	3.6	75.2	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	12	29.3	26	44.8%	3.88	1.3	21	392	183	209	5.3	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.18
MISS Defense	13	24.7	22.3	46.1%	3.6	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	50%	42%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	12	15.9	23.3	36.6%	2.2	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	40%	34%	19%	.02
MISS Offense	13	33.7	40.7	45.7%	3.83	0.9	26	492	218	275	4.8	54%	46%	47%	44%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	12	30:11	20.9	37%	60%	6.3	54.7	1.3	1.3	7.4	3.3	3	28
Ole Miss	13	27:29	26	38%	63%	9	75.2	0.9	1.7	6.2	3	1	29.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	12	48%	48%	34.8	183	5.3	17	.17	3	73%	10%	0.97
MISS Defense	13	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.56	67%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	12	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.63	59%	12%	0.89
MISS Offense	13	54%	47%	45.2	217.6	4.8	33	.3	3.22	68%	10%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	12	52%	42%	17.3	30.8	208.6	6.8	12	19	13	.2	1.5	31%	34%	.37	7%	2
MISS Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.09	1.3	29%	32%	.17	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	12	54%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.05	1.5	35%	27%	.13	7%	1.8
MISS Offense	13	46%	44%	22	33	274.8	8.3	12.5	21	7	.25	1.6	32%	34%	.33	4%	2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1 #6
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #35
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: Ole Miss: 9.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 21.1 Ole Miss: 14.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 9.9 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.3

Texas A&M's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 26
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 27
Ole Miss 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 29
Texas A&M 26

Total Points: 55

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Ole Miss	38	Texas A&M	35	Ole Miss -3.0	Push	52.5	Over
2022	10/29	Texas A&M	28	Ole Miss	31	Ole Miss -3	NA	55.5	Over
2021	11/13	Ole Miss	29	Texas A&M	19	Texas A&M -1	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2019	10/19	Ole Miss	17	Texas A&M	24	Texas A&M -6	Texas A&M	54.5	Under
2018	11/10	Texas A&M	38	Ole Miss	24	Texas A&M -13	Texas A&M	68.0	Under
2017	11/18	Ole Miss	24	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	70.0	Under
2016	11/12	Texas A&M	28	Ole Miss	29	Texas A&M -11	Ole Miss	62.0	Under
2015	10/24	Ole Miss	23	Texas A&M	3	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	65.5	Under
2014	10/11	Texas A&M	20	Ole Miss	35	Texas A&M -1	Ole Miss	0
2013	10/12	Ole Miss	38	Texas A&M	41	Texas A&M -4	Ole Miss	0
2012	10/06	Ole Miss	27	Texas A&M	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	6	5	2 Overs
Texas A&M	5	3	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 4	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2

(#) TA&M at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#6	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#22	#65
OffenseOff	#43	#51
DefenseDef	#21	#77
Spec TeamsST	#60	#58
TalentTal	#7	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas A&M Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#9	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#28	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#30	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#41	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 35°

Rematch from Week 11
Texas A&M 1.0 (57.5)
Ole Miss won vs Texas A&M this year (29-19)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2023 (38-35)
Ole Miss beat Texas A&M in 2022 (31-28)

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Mike Elko (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD