Ole Miss at Tennessee - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#4)Ole Miss Rebels at Tennessee Volunteers(#12)Tennessee logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -1 (82.0)
Ole Miss 31 - Tennessee: 26  (SEC)

 
Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TENN -3)
Projected Score: MISS: 26 - TENN: 38 (64)
MISS Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MISS Travel: 335 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (40 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Ole Miss vs Louisville-9.074.5W 43 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Ole Miss vs Austin Peay-37.069.5W 54 - 17ON
Sat 9/18 Ole Miss vs Tulane-14.077.0W 61 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Ole Miss at Alabama+15.079.5L 21 - 42UN
Sat 10/9 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.067.0W 52 - 51ON
Sat 10/16 Ole Miss at Tennessee-1.082.0W 31 - 26UY
Sat 10/23 Ole Miss vs LSU-9.076.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Ole Miss at Auburn+3.067.5L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Ole Miss vs Liberty-7.566.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+1.057.5W 29 - 19UY
Sat 11/20 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-35.566.5W 31 - 17UN
Thu 11/25 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+2.565.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 1/1 Ole Miss vs Baylor-1.060.5L 7 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.2746%33.747%3.2221844%2753.83.1946%24.750%42%3.675.20.91.7
TENN.3248%39.351%3.3921844%2574.27.2242%29.142%42%4.1660.611.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1333.725.845.7%3.830.9264922182754.854%46%47%44%15%.27
TENN Defense1329.121.841.8%4.161.2 - - - - - 49%50%42%42%18%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1324.73046.1%3.61.7 - - - - - 51%49%50%42%16%.19
TENN Offense1339.340.148%4.271244752182574.955%45%51%44%13%.32

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1327:292638%63%975.20.91.76.23129.8
Tennessee1324:3024.345%48%6.860.611.27.92.6430.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1354%47%45.2217.64.833.33.2268%10%1.22
TENN Defense1349%42% - - - - .23.2275%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1351%50% - - - - .33.5667%10%1.08
TENN Offense1355%51%44.4217.84.930.263.3970%10%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1346%44%2233274.88.312.5217.251.632%34%.334%2
TENN Defense1350%42% - - - - - - 13.271.734%37%.517%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.091.329%32%.176%1.7
TENN Offense1345%44%18.728.8257.18.913.8333.391.729%32%.453%2.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Tennessee: 11.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 14.8   Tennessee: 17.5




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.25 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 38
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 42
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 34
Ole Miss 27

Total Points: 61
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.1
Defense: 29.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/16Tennessee26Ole Miss31Ole Miss -1Ole Miss82.0Under
201410/18Ole Miss34Tennessee3Ole Miss -17Ole Miss0
201011/13Tennessee52Ole Miss14
200911/14Ole Miss42Tennessee17
200510/01Tennessee27Ole Miss10
200410/16Ole Miss17Tennessee21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee300 Overs
Ole Miss321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 41 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #10
Perf GradeGrade #65 #78
OffenseOff #51 #81
DefenseDef #77 #68
Spec TeamsST #58 #110
TalentTal #27 #19
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #30 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #27 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #41 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #77
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #11 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #84
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #60 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #115 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Ole Miss 1.0 (82.0)
Ole Miss won at Tennessee this year (31-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD