Ole Miss at Tennessee - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -1 (82.0)
Ole Miss 31 - Tennessee: 26 (SEC)

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ TENN -3)
Projected Score: MISS: 32 - TENN: 33 (65)
MISS Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MISS Travel: 335 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Tennessee vs Bowling Green	-37.0	60.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/11	Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+3.5	56.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/18	Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech	-38.0	53.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Tennessee at Florida	+19.0	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/2	Tennessee at Missouri	+2.5	66.5	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-10.5	57.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Tennessee vs Ole Miss	+1.0	82.0	L 26 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/23	Tennessee at Alabama	+24.5	68.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Tennessee at Kentucky	-1.0	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Tennessee vs Georgia	+19.0	56.0	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Tennessee vs South Alabama	-28.5	61.5	W 60 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-33.0	65.0	W 45 - 21	O	N
Thu 12/30	Tennessee vs Purdue	-8.0	67.0	L 45 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.31	48%	36.9	45%	2.92	212	52%	345	4.21	.33	51%	21.1	53%	49%	4.3	51.6	1.8	1.3
TENN	.14	43%	39.8	44%	3.13	142	43%	205	3.02	.2	48%	28.8	46%	51%	3.83	50.2	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	10	36.9	34.3	47.9%	4.21	1.8	28	557	212	345	4.6	55%	45%	45%	52%	14%	.31
TENN Defense	10	28.8	29	48.3%	3.83	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	51%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	10	21.1	27.8	50.6%	4.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	53%	49%	13%	.33
TENN Offense	10	39.8	42.3	43.2%	3.02	1.5	20	346	142	205	3.8	52%	48%	44%	43%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	10	27:50	27.6	50%	67%	6	51.6	1.8	1.3	4.7	1.6	0	28.1
Tennessee	10	27:56	20.1	30%	67%	6.1	50.2	1.5	1	5.5	2	2	27.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	10	55%	45%	46.1	211.6	4.6	23	.21	2.92	65%	10%	1.12
TENN Defense	10	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.61	78%	10%	0.77

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	10	49%	53%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.27	74%	8%	0.98
TENN Offense	10	52%	44%	37.5	141.5	3.8	12	.13	3.13	74%	10%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	10	45%	52%	23.8	33.5	345	10.3	14.5	30	14	.43	1.7	27%	42%	.67	4%	2.2
TENN Defense	10	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.4	28%	35%	.25	5%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	10	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.36	1.4	27%	39%	.49	6%	1.9
TENN Offense	10	48%	43%	17.9	28.5	204.7	7.2	11.4	14	9	.16	1.6	29%	28%	.18	6%	1.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Tennessee: 11.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 14.8 Tennessee: 17.5

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.25 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 33
Ole Miss 32

Projected Total Points: 65

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/16	Tennessee	26	Ole Miss	31	Ole Miss -1	Ole Miss	82.0	Under
2014	10/18	Ole Miss	34	Tennessee	3	Ole Miss -17	Ole Miss	0
2010	11/13	Tennessee	52	Ole Miss	14
2009	11/14	Ole Miss	42	Tennessee	17
2005	10/01	Tennessee	27	Ole Miss	10
2004	10/16	Ole Miss	17	Tennessee	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	3	0	0 Overs
Ole Miss	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#10
Perf GradeGrade	#65	#78
OffenseOff	#51	#81
DefenseDef	#77	#68
Spec TeamsST	#58	#110
TalentTal	#27	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#30	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#86

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#76
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#11	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#60	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Ole Miss 1.0 (82.0)
Ole Miss won at Tennessee this year (31-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD