Liberty at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Ole Miss Rebels(#7)Ole Miss logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -7.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss 27 - Liberty: 14

 
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS is playing their 6th straight game
LIB is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ MISS -6)
Projected Score: LIB: 31 - MISS: 31 (62)
MISS Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 615 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Liberty vs Campbell-35.065.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Liberty at Troy-3.062.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Liberty vs Old Dominion-26.553.5W 45 - 17OY
Fri 9/24 Liberty at Syracuse-6.554.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/2 Liberty at UAB+3.049.0W 36 - 12UY
Sat 10/9 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-20.059.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/16 Liberty at UL Monroe-32.557.0L 28 - 31ON
Sat 10/23 Liberty at North Texas-21.061.0W 35 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.556.0W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/6 Liberty at Ole Miss+7.566.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Liberty vs Louisiana-4.053.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/27 Liberty vs Army-3.051.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 12/18 Liberty vs Eastern Michigan-9.558.5W 56 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Ole Miss vs Louisville-9.074.5W 43 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Ole Miss vs Austin Peay-37.069.5W 54 - 17ON
Sat 9/18 Ole Miss vs Tulane-14.077.0W 61 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Ole Miss at Alabama+15.079.5L 21 - 42UN
Sat 10/9 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.067.0W 52 - 51ON
Sat 10/16 Ole Miss at Tennessee-1.082.0W 31 - 26UY
Sat 10/23 Ole Miss vs LSU-9.076.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Ole Miss at Auburn+3.067.5L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Ole Miss vs Liberty-7.566.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+1.057.5W 29 - 19UY
Sat 11/20 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-35.566.5W 31 - 17UN
Thu 11/25 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+2.565.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 1/1 Ole Miss vs Baylor-1.060.5L 7 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.2945%33.652%3.7218139%2554.57.1341%21.544%38%3.6266.51.70.8
MISS.2746%33.747%3.2221844%2753.83.1946%24.750%42%3.675.20.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1333.625.845.4%4.571.7234361812554.648%51%52%39%17%.29
MISS Defense1324.722.346.1%3.61.7 - - - - - 51%49%50%42%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1321.522.241.1%3.620.8 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%18%.13
MISS Offense1333.740.745.7%3.830.9264922182754.854%46%47%44%15%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1330:1922.643%43%7.166.51.70.87.52.8228.5
Ole Miss1327:292638%63%975.20.91.76.23129.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1348%52%39.1180.84.626.353.7279%11%1.11
MISS Defense1351%50% - - - - .33.5667%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1356%44% - - - - .133.1775%12%0.87
MISS Offense1354%47%45.2217.64.833.33.2268%10%1.22

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1351%39%17.429.32558.714.73315.251.730%32%.316%2.1
MISS Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.091.329%32%.176%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.161.531%29%.266%1.9
MISS Offense1346%44%2233274.88.312.5217.251.632%34%.334%2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Ole Miss: 9.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 8.4   Ole Miss: 14.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 9.9 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 31
Ole Miss 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 35
Ole Miss 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 30
Liberty 27

Total Points: 57
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/06Ole Miss27Liberty14Ole Miss -7.5Ole Miss66.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss110 Overs
Liberty001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #17
Perf GradeGrade #28 #65
OffenseOff #27 #51
DefenseDef #26 #77
Spec TeamsST #44 #58
TalentTal #135 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #77
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #19 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #84
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #35 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #30 #48
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #27 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Ole Miss -7.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss won vs Liberty this year (27-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD