Liberty at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -7.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss 27 - Liberty: 14

Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS is playing their 6th straight game
LIB is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ MISS -6)
Projected Score: LIB: 20 - MISS: 32 (52)
MISS Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 615 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Liberty vs Campbell	-35.0	65.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Liberty at Troy	-3.0	62.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-26.5	53.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Liberty at Syracuse	-6.5	54.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/2	Liberty at UAB	+3.0	49.0	W 36 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	59.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Liberty at UL Monroe	-32.5	57.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/23	Liberty at North Texas	-21.0	61.0	W 35 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-35.5	56.0	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Liberty at Ole Miss	+7.5	66.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Liberty vs Louisiana	-4.0	53.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/27	Liberty vs Army	-3.0	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Liberty vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	58.5	W 56 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.32	50%	25.6	53%	3.27	253	47%	230	3.73	.17	42%	26.5	46%	37%	2.98	55.4	1.5	1.5
MISS	.31	48%	36.9	45%	2.92	212	52%	345	4.21	.33	51%	21.1	53%	49%	4.3	51.6	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	11	25.6	19.7	50.4%	3.73	1.5	25	482	253	230	5.8	58%	42%	53%	47%	16%	.32
MISS Defense	10	21.1	15.6	50.6%	4.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	53%	49%	13%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	11	26.5	25.7	41.6%	2.98	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	37%	17%	.17
MISS Offense	10	36.9	39	47.9%	4.21	1.8	28	557	212	345	4.6	55%	45%	45%	52%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	11	32:18	24.8	48%	76%	5.9	55.4	1.5	1.5	5.4	2.4	1	30.8
Ole Miss	10	27:50	27.6	50%	67%	6	51.6	1.8	1.3	4.7	1.6	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	11	58%	53%	43.8	252.6	5.8	27	.28	3.27	75%	11%	1.04
MISS Defense	10	49%	53%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.27	74%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.19	70%	11%	0.96
MISS Offense	10	55%	45%	46.1	211.6	4.6	23	.21	2.92	65%	10%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	11	42%	47%	17.5	27.8	229.6	8.3	13.2	25	7	.38	1.6	27%	38%	.56	5%	2.2
MISS Defense	10	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.36	1.4	27%	39%	.49	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	11	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.2	1.6	34%	29%	.26	6%	1.8
MISS Offense	10	45%	52%	23.8	33.5	345	10.3	14.5	30	14	.43	1.7	27%	42%	.67	4%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: Ole Miss: 9.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 8.4 Ole Miss: 14.8

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 9.9 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
Liberty 20

Projected Total Points: 52

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/06	Ole Miss	27	Liberty	14	Ole Miss -7.5	Ole Miss	66.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	1	1	0 Overs
Liberty	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#28	#65
OffenseOff	#27	#51
DefenseDef	#26	#77
Spec TeamsST	#44	#58
TalentTal	#135	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#19	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#26
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#30	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#41	#6
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Ole Miss -7.5 (66.5)
Ole Miss won vs Liberty this year (27-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD