Duke at Louisville - 2016 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Friday, October 14th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -27.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 24 - Duke: 14  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU coming off BYE
DUKE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ LOU -26)
Projected Score: DUKE: 23 - LOU: 41 (64)
LOU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
DUKE Travel: 405 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 24 (49 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Louisville's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Louisville vs Charlotte-39.558.5W 70 - 14OY
Fri 9/9 Louisville at Syracuse-13.069.0W 62 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 Louisville vs Florida State+4.565.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 9/24 Louisville at Marshall-23.069.0W 59 - 28OY
Sat 10/1 Louisville at Clemson+3.564.0L 36 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14 Louisville vs Duke-27.569.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Louisville vs NC State-20.065.0W 54 - 13OY
Sat 10/29 Louisville at Virginia-27.069.5W 32 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Louisville at Boston College-24.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-33.056.5W 44 - 12UN
Thu 11/17 Louisville at Houston-16.068.0L 10 - 36UN
Sat 11/26 Louisville vs Kentucky-26.070.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 12/31 Louisville vs LSU+3.059.0L 9 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1445%23.345%3.2114245%2363.07.244%28.245%39%3.6837.21.81.3
LOU.3350%42.553%3.5224244%2914.36.0636%23.834%36%3.2870.72.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1223.322.545%3.071.821378142236446%53%45%45%16%.14
LOU Defense1323.81936.4%3.281.9 - - - - - 49%49%34%36%19%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.236.243.5%3.681.3 - - - - - 53%45%45%39%16%.2
LOU Offense1342.548.849.5%4.362.525533242291647%51%53%44%17%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1228:4020.843%39%4.737.21.81.35.92.4230.4
Louisville1328:4624.841%69%7.870.72.51.97.52.3232.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%45%35.3141.5419.093.2171%9%0.82
LOU Defense1349%34% - - - - -.072.5465%13%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1253%45% - - - - .132.7983%11%0.98
LOU Offense1347%53%40.4242.2637.383.5276%12%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1253%45%22.435.6236.16.610.5169.211.430%34%.367%1.9
LOU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 15.191.837%29%.236%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 9.311.933%35%.416%2.1
LOU Offense1351%44%19.133.5290.58.715.23210.331.632%38%.445%1.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Louisville: 13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -2.8   Louisville: 22.9




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.95 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.9  #9
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #8
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 41
Duke 23

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 43
Duke 24

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 39
Duke 22

Total Points: 61
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Louisville's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Louisville23Duke0Louisville -5Louisville47.0Under
202111/18Duke22Louisville62Louisville -20Louisville60.0Over
201610/14Louisville24Duke14Louisville -27.5Duke69.5Under
200209/07Duke3Louisville40
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville421 Overs
Duke012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKELOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #48 #32
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 7
Louisville -27.5 (69.5)
Louisville won vs Duke this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Duke in 2023 (23-0)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD