NC State at Louisville - 2016 Matchup Preview
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NC State Wolfpack at Louisville Cardinals

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Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -20 (65.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 54 - NC State: 13  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ LOU -14)
Projected Score: NCST: 24 - LOU: 33 (57)
LOU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
NCST Travel: 422 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 NC State vs William & Mary-30.5
Sat 9/10 NC State at East Carolina-3.559.0L 30 - 33ON
Sat 9/17 NC State vs Old Dominion-20.558.0W 49 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 NC State vs Wake Forest-9.048.0W 33 - 16OY
Sat 10/8 NC State vs Notre Dame+2.556.5W 10 - 3UY
Sat 10/15 NC State at Clemson+17.060.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/22 NC State at Louisville+20.065.0L 13 - 54ON
Sat 10/29 NC State vs Boston College-15.542.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/5 NC State vs Florida State+6.558.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 NC State at Syracuse-7.062.0W 35 - 20UY
Sat 11/19 NC State vs Miami+2.552.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 11/25 NC State at North Carolina+10.063.0W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/26 NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Louisville's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Louisville vs Charlotte-39.558.5W 70 - 14OY
Fri 9/9 Louisville at Syracuse-13.069.0W 62 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 Louisville vs Florida State+4.565.0W 63 - 20OY
Sat 9/24 Louisville at Marshall-23.069.0W 59 - 28OY
Sat 10/1 Louisville at Clemson+3.564.0L 36 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14 Louisville vs Duke-27.569.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Louisville vs NC State-20.065.0W 54 - 13OY
Sat 10/29 Louisville at Virginia-27.069.5W 32 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Louisville at Boston College-24.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/12 Louisville vs Wake Forest-33.056.5W 44 - 12UN
Thu 11/17 Louisville at Houston-16.068.0L 10 - 36UN
Sat 11/26 Louisville vs Kentucky-26.070.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 12/31 Louisville vs LSU+3.059.0L 9 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1943%30.245%3.120239%2114.06.1340%27.238%40%3.7252.811.7
LOU.1643%29.944%2.917140%2453.31.1139%21.238%39%3.2862.62.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.22342.6%4.061224132022114.951%48%45%39%2%.19
LOU Defense1321.218.938.9%3.282 - - - - - 50%49%38%39%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1327.239.839.7%3.721.7 - - - - - 49%49%38%40%2%.13
LOU Offense1329.933.843%3.312.1214161712454.549%49%44%40%3%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1333:0321.541%61%5.552.811.700331.8
Louisville1329:2920.838%47%7.562.62.1200230.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1351%45%41.5202.14.936.223.175%0%1.14
LOU Defense1350%38% - - - - -.012.5766%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1349%38% - - - - .062.4457%0%1.12
LOU Offense1349%44%37.81714.523.172.968%0%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348%39%18.931.8210.86.611.1206.171.633%31%.232%1.9
LOU Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.231.736%31%.293%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 13.221.633%29%.172%1.7
LOU Offense1349%40%17.531.5245.17.8142115.161.634%37%.33%1.7

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2016 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #58
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Louisville: 13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   Louisville: 22.9




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.95 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.9  #9
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #8
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

NC State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
NC State 24

Projected Total Points: 57
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/29NC State10Louisville13Louisville -3.5NC State56.5Under
202211/19Louisville25NC State10Louisville -4Louisville43.0Under
202110/30NC State28Louisville13NC State -6NC State57.0Under
201911/16NC State20Louisville34Louisville -4.5Louisville52.0Over
201811/17Louisville10NC State52NC State -16NC State65.0Under
201710/05NC State39Louisville25Louisville -3.5NC State67.0Under
201610/22Louisville54NC State13Louisville -20Louisville65.0Over
201510/03NC State13Louisville20NC State -5Louisville47.5Under
201410/18Louisville30NC State18Louisville -14.5NC State0
201112/27NC State31Louisville24
200709/29NC State10Louisville29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville742 Overs
NC State456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 52 - 22 - 3

(#) NCST at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #44 #32
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Louisville -20.0 (65.0)
Louisville won vs NC State this year (54-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)

  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD