Duke at Notre Dame - 2016 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -20 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 38 - Notre Dame: 35

 
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
ND 3rd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ ND -19)
Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - ND: 30 (55)
ND Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
DUKE Travel: 556 miles
Fighting Irish (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/4 Notre Dame at Texas-2.554.5L 47 - 50ON
Sat 9/10 Notre Dame vs Nevada-26.062.0W 39 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Notre Dame vs Michigan State-7.049.0L 28 - 36ON
Sat 9/24 Notre Dame vs Duke-20.060.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-12.074.5W 50 - 33OY
Sat 10/8 Notre Dame at NC State-2.556.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Notre Dame vs Stanford-3.553.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Notre Dame vs Miami-1.058.5W 30 - 27UY
Sat 11/5 Notre Dame vs Navy+4.563.0L 27 - 28UY
Sat 11/12 Notre Dame vs Army-11.555.5W 44 - 6UY
Sat 11/19 Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech-3.053.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/26 Notre Dame at USC+17.059.5L 27 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1445%23.345%3.2114245%2363.07.244%28.245%39%3.6837.21.81.3
ND.246%30.946%2.9816343%2544.1.1744%27.842%47%2.8653.21.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1223.322.545%3.071.821378142236446%53%45%45%16%.14
ND Defense1227.82744.3%2.861.2 - - - - - 61%38%42%47%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.236.243.5%3.681.3 - - - - - 53%45%45%39%16%.2
ND Offense1230.928.845.5%4.11.5214181632544.548%50%46%43%16%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1228:4020.843%39%4.737.21.81.35.92.4230.4
Notre Dame1228:5521.240%65%6.553.21.51.25.31.2229.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%45%35.3141.5419.093.2171%9%0.82
ND Defense1261%42% - - - - .082.6568%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1253%45% - - - - .132.7983%11%0.98
ND Offense1248%46%36.5163.34.518.172.9876%10%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1253%45%22.435.6236.16.610.5169.211.430%34%.367%1.9
ND Defense1238%47% - - - - - - 8.331.526%33%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 9.311.933%35%.416%2.1
ND Offense1250%43%18.732.3254.37.913.6279.281.732%38%.46%1.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Notre Dame: 10.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -2.8   Notre Dame: 15.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 10.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2016 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #18
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #34

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 30
Duke 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 28
Duke 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 31
Duke 25

Total Points: 56
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Notre Dame's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Duke14Notre Dame21Notre Dame -5.5Notre Dame52.5Under
202009/12Notre Dame27Duke13Notre Dame -22.5Duke51.5Under
201911/09Duke7Notre Dame38Notre Dame -7Notre Dame50.5Under
201609/24Notre Dame35Duke38Notre Dame -20Duke60.5Over
200711/17Notre Dame28Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame421 Overs
Duke123 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 30 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#) DUKE at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #48 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #34
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Notre Dame -20.0 (60.5)
Duke won at Notre Dame this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Duke in 2023 (21-14)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD