Duke at Georgia Tech - 2016 Matchup Preview

Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#7)

Saturday, October 29th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -8.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Tech 38 - Duke: 35 (ACC)

Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE coming off BYE
GT coming off BYE
Our Line: -8 (SP+ GT -11)
Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - GT: 27 (52)
GT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
DUKE Travel: 345 miles

Yellow Jackets (9 - 4) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-37.0
Sat 9/10	Duke vs Wake Forest	-8.5	45.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/17	Duke at Northwestern	+4.0	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/24	Duke at Notre Dame	+20.0	60.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Duke vs Virginia	-5.0	60.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/8	Duke vs Army	-6.0	43.0	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Duke at Louisville	+27.5	69.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Duke at Georgia Tech	+8.5	50.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Duke vs Virginia Tech	+10.0	55.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Thu 11/10	Duke vs North Carolina	+10.5	66.5	W 28 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Duke at Pittsburgh	+6.5	61.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/26	Duke at Miami	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 40	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-3.0	42.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia Tech vs Mercer	-27.5
Sat 9/17	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Thu 9/22	Georgia Tech vs Clemson	+11.0	58.0	L 7 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/8	Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh	+8.0	53.0	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Georgia Tech vs Georgia Southern	-8.0	48.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-8.5	50.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/5	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	+9.5	63.5	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/12	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+14.5	55.0	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Georgia Tech vs Virginia	-10.5	54.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+4.5	49.0	W 28 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Georgia Tech vs Kentucky	-5.0	61.0	W 33 - 18	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.14	45%	23.3	45%	3.21	142	45%	236	3.07	.2	44%	28.2	45%	39%	3.68	37.2	1.8	1.3
GT	.24	44%	28.2	44%	2.99	258	39%	129	3.55	.22	48%	24.5	47%	46%	3.16	39.4	1.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)		45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)		41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	12	23.3	22.5	45%	3.07	1.8	21	378	142	236	4	46%	53%	45%	45%	16%	.14
GT Defense	13	24.5	22	47.6%	3.16	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	47%	46%	12%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	12	28.2	36.2	43.5%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	45%	39%	16%	.2
GT Offense	13	28.2	29.3	44.2%	3.55	1.2	18	387	258	129	5.5	75%	23%	44%	39%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	12	28:40	20.8	43%	39%	4.7	37.2	1.8	1.3	5.9	2.4	2	30.4
Georgia Tech	13	30:17	17.8	42%	50%	4.5	39.4	1.2	1.3	4.4	1.4	2	28.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	12	46%	45%	35.3	141.5	4	19	.09	3.21	71%	9%	0.82
GT Defense	13	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.3	76%	7%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	11%	0.98
GT Offense	13	75%	44%	47	258.1	5.5	34	.16	2.99	84%	13%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	12	53%	45%	22.4	35.6	236.1	6.6	10.5	16	9	.21	1.4	30%	34%	.36	7%	1.9
GT Defense	13	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.28	1.4	30%	35%	.4	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.31	1.9	33%	35%	.41	6%	2.1
GT Offense	13	23%	39%	6.4	12.3	129.2	10.5	20.2	9	4	.52	2.3	33%	31%	.31	3%	1.9

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Georgia Tech: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -2.8 Georgia Tech: 7.8

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Tech's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia Tech's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #48
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #33
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 27
Duke 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 27
Georgia Tech 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Tech 30
Duke 23

Total Points: 53

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Georgia Tech's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Duke	18	Georgia Tech	27	Duke -3.5	Georgia Tech	60.5	Under
2024	10/05	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	14	Georgia Tech -10	Push	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Georgia Tech	23	Duke	20	Duke -3.5	Georgia Tech	54.0	Under
2021	10/09	Duke	27	Georgia Tech	31	Georgia Tech -4.5	Duke	60.5	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia Tech	56	Duke	33	Duke -1.5	Georgia Tech	57.0	Over
2019	10/12	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	23	Duke -17.5	Duke	47.5	Over
2018	10/13	Georgia Tech	14	Duke	28	Georgia Tech -1.5	Duke	55.5	Under
2017	11/18	Duke	43	Georgia Tech	20	Georgia Tech -6.5	Duke	49.0	Over
2016	10/29	Georgia Tech	38	Duke	35	Georgia Tech -8.5	Duke	50.5	Over
2015	09/26	Duke	34	Georgia Tech	20	Georgia Tech -10	Duke	56.0	Under
2014	10/11	Georgia Tech	25	Duke	31	Georgia Tech -6	Duke	0
2013	09/14	Duke	14	Georgia Tech	38	Georgia Tech -9	Georgia Tech	0
2012	11/17	Georgia Tech	42	Duke	24
2011	11/19	Duke	31	Georgia Tech	38
2010	11/20	Georgia Tech	30	Duke	20
2009	11/14	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	49
2008	10/04	Georgia Tech	27	Duke	0
2007	11/10	Duke	24	Georgia Tech	41
2006	11/18	Georgia Tech	49	Duke	21
2005	10/15	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	35
2004	10/16	Georgia Tech	24	Duke	7
2003	11/08	Duke	41	Georgia Tech	17
2002	11/16	Georgia Tech	17	Duke	2
2001	10/06	Duke	10	Georgia Tech	37
2000	10/20	Georgia Tech	45	Duke	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	19	4	4 Overs
Duke	6	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	6 - 5	1 - 4	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 15	5 - 6	1 - 5	4 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) GT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	GT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#48
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#48	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Georgia Tech Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#33	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 76°

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia Tech -8.5 (50.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Duke this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (24-14)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2022 (23-20)

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD