Louisville at Boston College - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#16)Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -24.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 52 - Boston College: 7 (ACC)

Cardinals (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 24 (42 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU 2nd straight Road Game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ LOU -24.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 33 - BC: 25 (58)
LOU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
LOU Travel: 819 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (24 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Louisville vs Charlotte	-39.5	58.5	W 70 - 14	O	Y
Fri 9/9	Louisville at Syracuse	-13.0	69.0	W 62 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Louisville vs Florida State	+4.5	65.0	W 63 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisville at Marshall	-23.0	69.0	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Clemson	+3.5	64.0	L 36 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14	Louisville vs Duke	-27.5	69.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs NC State	-20.0	65.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville at Virginia	-27.0	69.5	W 32 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Louisville at Boston College	-24.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-33.0	56.5	W 44 - 12	U	N
Thu 11/17	Louisville at Houston	-16.0	68.0	L 10 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/26	Louisville vs Kentucky	-26.0	70.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/31	Louisville vs LSU	+3.0	59.0	L 9 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Boston College's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	42.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Massachusetts	-16.5	37.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+7.0	39.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College vs Wagner	-35.0
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Buffalo	-20.0	40.0	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Boston College vs Clemson	+17.0	43.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5	49.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at NC State	+15.5	42.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Boston College vs Louisville	+24.5	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/11	Boston College at Florida State	+23.0	47.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Boston College vs UConn	-7.0	36.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Boston College at Wake Forest	+2.0	34.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Mon 12/26	Boston College vs Maryland	-1.0	44.0	W 36 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.33	50%	42.5	53%	3.52	242	44%	291	4.36	.06	36%	23.8	34%	36%	3.28	70.7	2.5	1.9
BC	.03	35%	20.4	34%	2.46	149	34%	144	2.65	.04	34%	25	30%	37%	3	57.4	1.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	42.5	41.8	49.5%	4.36	2.5	25	533	242	291	6	47%	51%	53%	44%	17%	.33
BC Defense	13	25	24.8	34.1%	3	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	30%	37%	24%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	23.8	27.7	36.4%	3.28	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	34%	36%	19%	.06
BC Offense	13	20.4	24	35.1%	2.65	1.5	15	293	149	144	3.4	60%	38%	34%	34%	18%	.03

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	28:46	24.8	41%	69%	7.8	70.7	2.5	1.9	7.5	2.3	2	32.2
Boston College	13	33:28	14.5	31%	50%	6.9	57.4	1.5	2.1	8.2	3.6	2	33.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	47%	53%	40.4	242.2	6	37	.38	3.52	76%	12%	1.16
BC Defense	13	46%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.18	47%	16%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	49%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.54	65%	13%	0.86
BC Offense	13	60%	34%	43.5	149.1	3.4	16	-	2.46	70%	13%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	51%	44%	19.1	33.5	290.5	8.7	15.2	32	10	.33	1.6	32%	38%	.44	5%	1.8
BC Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.7	38%	23%	.13	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.8	37%	29%	.23	6%	1.9
BC Offense	13	38%	34%	11.5	22.8	143.8	6.3	12.5	14	8	.1	1.7	36%	26%	.22	5%	2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.9 #9
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #8
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Boston College: 1.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 22.9 Boston College: -1.6

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 1.7 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2016 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6 #73
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #116
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.7

Louisville's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 33
Boston College 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 31
Boston College 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 34
Boston College 24

Total Points: 58

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Boston College's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Louisville	38	Boston College	24	Louisville -25.5	Boston College	54.5	Over
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	4	8	9 Overs
Louisville	8	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 6	4 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 2	4 - 4

(#) LOU at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#73
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Louisville 24.5 (52.0)
Louisville won at Boston College this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD