Wake Forest at Louisville - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisville Cardinals(#15)

Saturday, November 12th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Louisville -33 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 44 - Wake Forest: 12 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 22 (18 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ LOU -24)
Projected Score: WAKE: 17 - LOU: 32 (49)
LOU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 52%
WAKE Travel: 335 miles

Cardinals (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 24 (49 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Wake Forest vs Tulane	-16.0	43.0	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Wake Forest at Duke	+8.5	45.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Wake Forest vs Delaware	-24.0
Sat 9/24	Wake Forest at Indiana	+5.5	47.5	W 33 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wake Forest at NC State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wake Forest vs Syracuse	-3.0	53.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Wake Forest at Florida State	+25.5	51.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Wake Forest vs Army	-8.0	42.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wake Forest vs Virginia	-2.5	45.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Wake Forest at Louisville	+33.0	56.5	L 12 - 44	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Wake Forest vs Clemson	+23.5	47.5	L 13 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wake Forest vs Boston College	-2.0	34.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Tue 12/27	Wake Forest vs Temple	+12.5	42.0	W 34 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Louisville's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Louisville vs Charlotte	-39.5	58.5	W 70 - 14	O	Y
Fri 9/9	Louisville at Syracuse	-13.0	69.0	W 62 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Louisville vs Florida State	+4.5	65.0	W 63 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisville at Marshall	-23.0	69.0	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Clemson	+3.5	64.0	L 36 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14	Louisville vs Duke	-27.5	69.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs NC State	-20.0	65.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville at Virginia	-27.0	69.5	W 32 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Louisville at Boston College	-24.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-33.0	56.5	W 44 - 12	U	N
Thu 11/17	Louisville at Houston	-16.0	68.0	L 10 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/26	Louisville vs Kentucky	-26.0	70.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/31	Louisville vs LSU	+3.0	59.0	L 9 - 29	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.03	37%	20.4	35%	2.72	146	35%	166	3.07	.09	41%	22.2	41%	41%	2.44	38.5	1.5	2.1
LOU	.33	50%	42.5	53%	3.52	242	44%	291	4.36	.06	36%	23.8	34%	36%	3.28	70.7	2.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	20.4	18.2	36.9%	3.07	1.5	17	311	146	166	3.6	54%	43%	35%	35%	17%	.03
LOU Defense	13	23.8	19	36.4%	3.28	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	34%	36%	19%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	22.2	27.2	41.3%	2.44	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	19%	.09
LOU Offense	13	42.5	48.8	49.5%	4.36	2.5	25	533	242	291	6	47%	51%	53%	44%	17%	.33

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	30:49	17.3	35%	41%	4.7	38.5	1.5	2.1	7.2	3.2	2	32
Louisville	13	28:46	24.8	41%	69%	7.8	70.7	2.5	1.9	7.5	2.3	2	32.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	54%	35%	41	145.8	3.6	17	.05	2.72	65%	10%	1.08
LOU Defense	13	49%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.54	65%	13%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.91	69%	13%	0.89
LOU Offense	13	47%	53%	40.4	242.2	6	37	.38	3.52	76%	12%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	43%	35%	14.6	27.2	165.7	6.1	11.3	9	13	.03	1.4	36%	28%	.12	7%	1.6
LOU Defense	13	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.8	37%	29%	.23	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.5	34%	29%	.19	6%	1.7
LOU Offense	13	51%	44%	19.1	33.5	290.5	8.7	15.2	32	10	.33	1.6	32%	38%	.44	5%	1.8

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #113
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: Louisville: 13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -0.6 Louisville: 22.9

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.95 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.9 #9
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #8
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Wake Forest's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 32
Wake Forest 17

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 28
Wake Forest 13

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 35
Wake Forest 20

Total Points: 55

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 42.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Louisville's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Louisville	48	Wake Forest	21	Wake Forest -3	Louisville	66.5	Over
2021	10/02	Wake Forest	37	Louisville	34	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	64.5	Over
2020	12/12	Louisville	45	Wake Forest	21	Louisville -1.5	Louisville	62.5	Over
2019	10/12	Wake Forest	59	Louisville	62	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	65.0	Over
2018	10/27	Louisville	35	Wake Forest	56	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	68.0	Over
2017	10/28	Wake Forest	42	Louisville	32	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	66.5	Over
2016	11/12	Louisville	44	Wake Forest	12	Louisville -33	Wake Forest	56.5	Under
2015	10/30	Wake Forest	19	Louisville	20	Louisville -9.5	Wake Forest	44.0	Under
2014	09/27	Louisville	20	Wake Forest	10	Louisville -21	Wake Forest	0
2006	01/02	Wake Forest	13	Louisville	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	7	4	6 Overs
Wake Forest	3	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	1 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	0 - 3	5 - 1

(#) WAKE at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#67	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48°

Rematch from Week 11
Louisville -33.0 (56.5)
Louisville won vs Wake Forest this year (44-12)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Wake Forest in 2022 (48-21)

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD