Duke at Pittsburgh - 2016 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Pittsburgh Panthers(#22)Pittsburgh logo
Saturday, November 19th 2016 (3:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Pittsburgh 56 - Duke: 14  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ PITT -16)
Projected Score: DUKE: 30 - PITT: 36 (66)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 313 miles
Panthers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 35 (45 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Pittsburgh vs Villanova-27.0
Sat 9/10 Pittsburgh vs Penn State-4.544.0W 42 - 39ON
Sat 9/17 Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State+6.057.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 9/24 Pittsburgh at North Carolina+7.067.0L 36 - 37OY
Sat 10/1 Pittsburgh vs Marshall-14.057.0W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/8 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-8.053.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 10/15 Pittsburgh at Virginia-5.060.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech+4.053.5L 36 - 39OY
Sat 11/5 Pittsburgh at Miami+6.058.0L 28 - 51ON
Sat 11/12 Pittsburgh at Clemson+19.061.0W 43 - 42OY
Sat 11/19 Pittsburgh vs Duke-6.561.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/26 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-23.565.5W 76 - 61ON
Wed 12/28 Pittsburgh vs Northwestern-3.063.0L 24 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1445%23.345%3.2114245%2363.07.244%28.245%39%3.6837.21.81.3
PITT.2946%40.946%2.9122545%2224.46.2143%35.241%44%3.8649.81.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1223.322.545%3.071.821378142236446%53%45%45%16%.14
PITT Defense1335.231.643.4%3.861.5 - - - - - 40%58%41%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.236.243.5%3.681.3 - - - - - 53%45%45%39%16%.2
PITT Offense1340.945.445.9%4.461.4204472252225.460%38%46%45%16%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1228:4020.843%39%4.737.21.81.35.92.4230.4
Pittsburgh1330:5320.445%54%5.749.81.41.56.93.3731.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%45%35.3141.5419.093.2171%9%0.82
PITT Defense1340%41% - - - - .112.6972%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1253%45% - - - - .132.7983%11%0.98
PITT Offense1360%46%41.7225.15.436.22.9173%10%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1253%45%22.435.6236.16.610.5169.211.430%34%.367%1.9
PITT Defense1358%44% - - - - - - 9.31.734%37%.45%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 9.311.933%35%.416%2.1
PITT Offense1338%45%14.524.9221.78.915.3289.451.930%33%.336%2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Pittsburgh: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -2.8   Pittsburgh: 13.1




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2016 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #23
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.0  #4
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #75

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 36
Duke 30

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 33
Duke 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 38
Duke 28

Total Points: 66
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 40.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 35.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Pittsburgh's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh866 Overs
Duke242 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) DUKE at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #23
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #48 #35
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 39° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -6.5 (61.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Duke this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)
Pittsburgh beat Duke in 2022 (28-26)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD