Kentucky at Louisville - 2016 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, November 26th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisville -26 (70.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 41 - Louisville: 38

Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU is playing their 7th straight game
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ LOU -26)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - LOU: 30 (48)
LOU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
UK Travel: 69 miles

Cardinals (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	62.0	L 35 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+16.5	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-21.5	65.5	W 62 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-1.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Alabama	+32.5	54.5	L 6 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+1.5	54.5	W 40 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Missouri	+4.5	69.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kentucky vs Georgia	+2.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	58.0	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 11/26	Kentucky at Louisville	+26.0	70.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Louisville's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Louisville vs Charlotte	-39.5	58.5	W 70 - 14	O	Y
Fri 9/9	Louisville at Syracuse	-13.0	69.0	W 62 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Louisville vs Florida State	+4.5	65.0	W 63 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisville at Marshall	-23.0	69.0	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Clemson	+3.5	64.0	L 36 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14	Louisville vs Duke	-27.5	69.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs NC State	-20.0	65.0	W 54 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville at Virginia	-27.0	69.5	W 32 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Louisville at Boston College	-24.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-33.0	56.5	W 44 - 12	U	N
Thu 11/17	Louisville at Houston	-16.0	68.0	L 10 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/26	Louisville vs Kentucky	-26.0	70.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/31	Louisville vs LSU	+3.0	59.0	L 9 - 29	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.14	39%	23	41%	2.65	163	35%	209	3.26	.13	45%	26.4	45%	43%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.7
LOU	.16	43%	29.9	44%	2.9	171	40%	245	3.31	.11	39%	21.2	38%	39%	3.28	62.6	2.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	12	23	10.8	39.4%	3.26	1.8	19	372	163	209	4.7	47%	51%	41%	35%	2%	.14
LOU Defense	13	21.2	18.9	38.9%	3.28	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	38%	39%	3%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	12	26.4	31.8	45.1%	3.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	2%	.13
LOU Offense	13	29.9	33.8	43%	3.31	2.1	21	416	171	245	4.5	49%	49%	44%	40%	3%	.16

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	12	29:16	18.5	37%	68%	5.8	56.3	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	26.7
Louisville	13	29:29	20.8	38%	47%	7.5	62.6	2.1	2	0	0	2	30.3

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	12	47%	41%	34.9	162.7	4.7	22	.19	2.65	65%	0%	1.24
LOU Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.57	66%	0%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.89	81%	0%	0.89
LOU Offense	13	49%	44%	37.8	171	4.5	23	.17	2.9	68%	0%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	12	51%	35%	18.2	33.1	209.3	6.3	11.5	10	16	.12	1.6	37%	33%	.35	2%	1.9
LOU Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.23	1.7	36%	31%	.29	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.2	1.5	30%	37%	.17	2%	1.5
LOU Offense	13	49%	40%	17.5	31.5	245.1	7.8	14	21	15	.16	1.6	34%	37%	.3	3%	1.7

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Louisville: 13.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: -2.6 Louisville: 22.9

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.95 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.9 #9
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #8
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #15

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 30
Kentucky 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Louisville	41	Kentucky	0	Louisville -1.0	Louisville	45.5	Under
2024	11/30	Kentucky	14	Louisville	41	Louisville -3.5	Louisville	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Louisville	31	Kentucky	38	Louisville -7.5	Kentucky	47.5	Over
2022	11/26	Kentucky	26	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	42.5	Under
2021	11/27	Louisville	21	Kentucky	52	Louisville -3	Kentucky	58.0	Over
2019	11/30	Kentucky	45	Louisville	13	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Louisville	10	Kentucky	56	Kentucky -17	Kentucky	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Kentucky	17	Louisville	44	Louisville -10	Louisville	68.0	Under
2016	11/26	Louisville	38	Kentucky	41	Louisville -26	Kentucky	70.5	Over
2015	11/28	Kentucky	24	Louisville	38	Louisville -4	Louisville	51.5	Over
2014	11/29	Louisville	44	Kentucky	40	Louisville -14	Kentucky	0
2013	09/14	Kentucky	13	Louisville	27	Louisville -10.5	Louisville	0
2012	09/02	Louisville	32	Kentucky	14
2011	09/17	Kentucky	17	Louisville	24
2010	09/04	Louisville	16	Kentucky	23
2009	09/19	Kentucky	31	Louisville	27
2008	08/31	Louisville	2	Kentucky	27
2007	09/15	Kentucky	40	Louisville	34
2006	09/03	Louisville	59	Kentucky	28
2005	09/04	Kentucky	24	Louisville	31
2004	09/05	Louisville	28	Kentucky	0
2003	08/31	Kentucky	24	Louisville	40
2002	09/01	Louisville	17	Kentucky	22
2001	09/01	Kentucky	10	Louisville	36
2000	09/01	Louisville	40	Kentucky	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	14	5	7 Overs
Kentucky	11	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 10	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#) UK at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#33	#32
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Louisville -26.0 (70.5)
Kentucky won at Louisville this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD