Duke at Miami - 2016 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes(#13)Miami logo
Saturday, November 26th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami -14 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami 40 - Duke: 21  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI is playing their 9th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ MIAMI -21)
Projected Score: DUKE: 22 - MIAMI: 38 (60)
MIAMI Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
DUKE Travel: 698 miles
Hurricanes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Miami's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami vs Florida A&M-59.0
Sat 9/10 Miami vs Florida Atlantic-23.063.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Miami at App State-4.050.5W 45 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Miami at Georgia Tech-5.053.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 10/8 Miami vs Florida State-1.561.5L 19 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Miami vs North Carolina-7.067.0L 13 - 20UN
Thu 10/20 Miami at Virginia Tech+4.552.5L 16 - 37ON
Sat 10/29 Miami at Notre Dame+1.058.5L 27 - 30UN
Sat 11/5 Miami vs Pittsburgh-6.058.0W 51 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 Miami at Virginia-11.055.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/19 Miami at NC State-2.552.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/26 Miami vs Duke-14.055.0W 40 - 21OY
Wed 12/28 Miami vs West Virginia-1.558.0W 31 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.1445%23.345%3.2114245%2363.07.244%28.245%39%3.6837.21.81.3
MIAMI.2243%34.338%2.7115244%2743.68.0840%18.539%38%2.6367.40.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1223.322.545%3.071.821378142236446%53%45%45%16%.14
MIAMI Defense1318.51739.6%2.631.5 - - - - - 48%50%39%38%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.236.243.5%3.681.3 - - - - - 53%45%45%39%16%.2
MIAMI Offense1334.338.542.9%3.680.8204261522744.546%52%38%44%14%.22

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1228:4020.843%39%4.737.21.81.35.92.4230.4
Miami1327:582036%46%7.367.40.81.58.22.7131.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1246%45%35.3141.5419.093.2171%9%0.82
MIAMI Defense1348%39% - - - - .012.4963%14%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1253%45% - - - - .132.7983%11%0.98
MIAMI Offense1346%38%33.5151.84.524.092.7172%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1253%45%22.435.6236.16.610.5169.211.430%34%.367%1.9
MIAMI Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 8.161.537%32%.216%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 9.311.933%35%.416%2.1
MIAMI Offense1352%44%20.232.8274.28.413.6277.341.633%33%.365%2

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Miami: 11.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -2.8   Miami: 18.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 11.8 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6  #12
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #42
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #10

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 38
Duke 22

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 42
Duke 25

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Miami 34
Duke 20

Total Points: 54
Miami Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Miami53Duke31Miami -21Miami55.5Over
202210/22Miami21Duke45Miami -10Duke59.0Over
202111/27Duke10Miami47Miami -20.5Miami67.0Under
202012/05Duke0Miami48Miami -14.5Miami62.0Under
201911/30Duke27Miami17Miami -9.5Duke44.0Push
201811/03Miami12Duke20Miami -9.5Duke51.0Under
201709/29Duke6Miami31Miami -5.5Miami55.5Under
201611/26Miami40Duke21Miami -14Miami55.0Over
201510/31Duke27Miami30Duke -8Miami51.5Over
201409/27Miami22Duke10Miami -5.5Miami0
201311/16Duke48Miami30Miami -3Duke0
201211/24Duke45Miami52
201111/05Miami49Duke14
201010/16Duke13Miami28
200911/21Miami34Duke16
200810/18Duke31Miami49
200709/29Miami24Duke14
200610/21Duke15Miami20
200510/08Miami52Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami1574 Overs
Duke444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 105 - 63 - 32 - 3
Road Teams10 - 96 - 53 - 23 - 3

(#) DUKE at (#) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEMIAMI
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #48 #19
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMIAMI Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCatMIAMI OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCatMIAMI OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Miami -14.0 (55.0)
Miami won vs Duke this year (40-21)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Duke last year (53-31)
Duke beat Miami in 2022 (45-21)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIAMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD