Army at Duke - 2016 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 8th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Duke -6 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 13 - Army: 6

 
Black Knights (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (28 - 15 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 24.2 MPH
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
ARMY coming off BYE
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ DUKE -7)
Projected Score: ARMY: 31 - DUKE: 20 (51)
DUKE Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARMY Travel: 459 miles
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (24 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Army at Temple+21.545.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/10 Army vs Rice-7.052.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 9/17 Army at UTEP-3.546.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/24 Army at Buffalo-16.050.5L 20 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Army at Duke+6.043.0L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/15 Army vs Lafayette-33.0
Sat 10/22 Army vs North Texas-17.548.0L 18 - 35ON
Sat 10/29 Army at Wake Forest+8.042.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 Army vs Air Force+3.046.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Army vs Notre Dame+11.555.5L 6 - 44UN
Sat 11/19 Army vs Morgan State-43.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Army vs Navy+11.546.5W 21 - 17UY
Tue 12/27 Army vs North Texas-9.547.0W 38 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6UY
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY.2247%29.949%3.4232733%713.89.1341%19.840%40%3.2138.81.71.7
DUKE.1445%23.345%3.2114245%2363.07.244%28.245%39%3.6837.21.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1329.928.247.1%3.891.721398327715.786%14%49%33%12%.22
DUKE Defense1228.220.243.5%3.681.3 - - - - - 53%45%45%39%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1319.815.241%3.211.7 - - - - - 49%50%40%40%17%.13
DUKE Offense1223.324.245%3.071.821378142236446%53%45%45%16%.14

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1332:3121.251%61%4.438.81.71.74.81.6031.1
Duke1228:4020.843%39%4.737.21.81.35.92.4230.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1386%49%57.5326.55.745.253.4283%9%1.01
DUKE Defense1253%45% - - - - .132.7983%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1349%40% - - - - .062.5571%10%0.96
DUKE Offense1246%45%35.3141.5419.093.2171%9%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1314%33%3.98.671.28.318.1710.042.126%33%.283%1.7
DUKE Defense1245%39% - - - - - - 9.311.933%35%.416%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 17.211.635%30%.187%1.7
DUKE Offense1253%45%22.435.6236.16.610.5169.211.430%34%.367%1.9

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Army's 2016 Expected Record: -
Army's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9  #101
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #109
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Army:    Duke: 1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -9.9   Duke: -2.8




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 1.1 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Army Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.2

Army's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 31
Duke 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 35
Duke 19

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Army 27
Duke 21

Total Points: 48
Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201808/31Duke34Army14Duke -14Duke46.5Over
201711/11Army21Duke16Duke -3.5Army51.0Under
201610/08Duke13Army6Duke -6Duke43.0Under
201510/10Army3Duke44Duke -11Duke47.5Under
201009/25Duke21Army35
200909/12Army19Duke35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke431 Overs
Army213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams3 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#) ARMY at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #132 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCat
ARMY OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffARMY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 67° - Wind: 24 mph
Rain: 0.811
Rematch from Week 6
Duke -6.0 (43.0)
Duke won vs Army this year (13-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARMY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD