Virginia Tech at Duke - 2016 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -10 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 24 - Duke: 21 (ACC)

Hokies (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Road Game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ VT -18)
Projected Score: VT: 27 - DUKE: 22 (49)
VT Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
VT Travel: 118 miles

Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (24 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia Tech vs Liberty	-35.0
Sat 9/10	Virginia Tech vs Tennessee	+9.0	52.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-7.0	39.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Virginia Tech vs East Carolina	-9.5	57.0	W 54 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Virginia Tech at North Carolina	+5.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-17.0	65.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Thu 10/20	Virginia Tech vs Miami	-4.5	52.5	W 37 - 16	O	Y
Thu 10/27	Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh	-4.0	53.5	W 39 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/5	Virginia Tech at Duke	-10.0	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-14.5	55.0	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia Tech at Notre Dame	+3.0	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-18.5	53.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+8.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Arkansas	-6.0	61.0	W 35 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Duke's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Duke vs North Carolina Central	-37.0
Sat 9/10	Duke vs Wake Forest	-8.5	45.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/17	Duke at Northwestern	+4.0	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/24	Duke at Notre Dame	+20.0	60.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Duke vs Virginia	-5.0	60.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/8	Duke vs Army	-6.0	43.0	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Fri 10/14	Duke at Louisville	+27.5	69.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Duke at Georgia Tech	+8.5	50.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Duke vs Virginia Tech	+10.0	55.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Thu 11/10	Duke vs North Carolina	+10.5	66.5	W 28 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Duke at Pittsburgh	+6.5	61.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/26	Duke at Miami	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 40	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.16	46%	35	42%	2.82	183	48%	262	3.57	.1	38%	22.8	41%	34%	3.1	46.9	1.9	1.6
DUKE	.14	45%	23.3	45%	3.21	142	45%	236	3.07	.2	44%	28.2	45%	39%	3.68	37.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	14	35	29.6	45.7%	3.57	1.9	24	445	183	262	4	53%	45%	42%	48%	15%	.16
DUKE Defense	12	28.2	20.2	43.5%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	45%	39%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	14	22.8	24.4	38%	3.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	41%	34%	22%	.1
DUKE Offense	12	23.3	24.2	45%	3.07	1.8	21	378	142	236	4	46%	53%	45%	45%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	14	31:15	23.6	42%	56%	5.1	46.9	1.9	1.6	8.1	2.3	1	34.2
Duke	12	28:40	20.8	43%	39%	4.7	37.2	1.8	1.3	5.9	2.4	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	14	53%	42%	45.6	183.1	4	27	.04	2.82	73%	11%	0.78
DUKE Defense	12	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.79	83%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	14	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.56	74%	14%	0.91
DUKE Offense	12	46%	45%	35.3	141.5	4	19	.09	3.21	71%	9%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	14	45%	48%	19.9	32.1	261.9	8.2	13.1	31	8	.33	1.5	32%	38%	.38	4%	1.7
DUKE Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.31	1.9	33%	35%	.41	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	14	47%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.17	8%	1.9
DUKE Offense	12	53%	45%	22.4	35.6	236.1	6.6	10.5	16	9	.21	1.4	30%	34%	.36	7%	1.9

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #22
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #37
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #21

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: Duke: 1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 15.2 Duke: -2.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 1.1 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Virginia Tech's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 27
Duke 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia Tech 27
Duke 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Virginia Tech 28
Duke 24

Total Points: 52

Duke Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Duke	31	Virginia Tech	28	Virginia Tech -2.5	Duke	45.5	Over
2022	11/12	Duke	24	Virginia Tech	7	Duke -10	Duke	50.0	Under
2021	11/13	Virginia Tech	48	Duke	17	Virginia Tech -13.5	Virginia Tech	50.5	Over
2020	10/03	Duke	31	Virginia Tech	38	Virginia Tech -11.5	Duke	54.5	Over
2019	09/27	Virginia Tech	10	Duke	45	Virginia Tech -2.5	Duke	51.5	Over
2018	09/29	Duke	14	Virginia Tech	31	Duke -6.5	Virginia Tech	52.0	Under
2017	10/28	Virginia Tech	24	Duke	3	Virginia Tech -17	Virginia Tech	48.0	Under
2016	11/05	Duke	21	Virginia Tech	24	Virginia Tech -10	Duke	55.5	Under
2015	10/24	Virginia Tech	43	Duke	45	Virginia Tech -6	Duke	45.5	Over
2014	11/15	Duke	16	Virginia Tech	17	Duke -7	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/26	Virginia Tech	10	Duke	13	Virginia Tech -13.5	Duke	0
2012	10/13	Virginia Tech	41	Duke	20
2011	10/29	Duke	10	Virginia Tech	14
2010	10/23	Virginia Tech	44	Duke	7
2009	10/03	Duke	26	Virginia Tech	34
2008	11/22	Virginia Tech	14	Duke	3
2007	10/13	Duke	14	Virginia Tech	43
2006	09/16	Virginia Tech	36	Duke	0
2005	09/10	Duke	0	Virginia Tech	45
2004	09/18	Virginia Tech	41	Duke	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	5	7	5 Overs
Virginia Tech	15	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	6 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	11 - 9	5 - 6	0 - 3	5 - 3

(#) VT at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#80
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#36	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Virginia Tech 10.0 (55.5)
Virginia Tech won at Duke this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Virginia Tech last year (31-28)
Duke beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (24-7)

VT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD