Pittsburgh at Boston College - 2026 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alumni Stadium - Chestnut Hill, MA

Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (80 - 61)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC coming off BYE
PITT is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -10 (SP+ PITT -17)
Projected Score: PITT: 34 - BC: 24 (58)
PITT Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
PITT Travel: 477 miles

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH)	-14.5
Sat 9/12	Pittsburgh vs UCF	-13
Thu 9/17	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-18
Sat 9/26	Pittsburgh vs Bucknell	-31.5
Fri 10/2	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	-11.5
Sat 10/17	Pittsburgh at Boston College	-10
Sat 10/24	Pittsburgh at Miami	+17.5
Sat 10/31	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-4
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/13	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	-3
Sat 11/21	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+5
Sat 11/28	Pittsburgh at California	-5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Boston College's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boston College at Cincinnati	+10.5
Fri 9/11	Boston College vs Rutgers	+1
Sat 9/19	Boston College vs Maine	-19
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+0
Sat 10/3	Boston College at SMU	+18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+10
Sat 10/24	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+14
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Duke	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College vs Florida State	+10
Sat 11/14	Boston College at Notre Dame	+34
Sat 11/21	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5
Sat 11/28	Boston College at Miami	+30.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#57 (.19)	41% (94)	33.7	41% (96)	2.63 (122)	118	41% (75)	274	3.65 (74)	#24 (.08)	35% (11)	24.8	34% (7)	37% (23)	3.81 (82)	67.4	1.8	1.6
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (66)	25.4	42% (92)	2.75 (106)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (99)	#115 (.23)	43% (82)	32.8	44% (86)	42% (72)	3.82 (83)	49.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	33.7	33	40.6%	3.65	1.8	21	391	118	274	3.6	43%	55%	41%	41%	18%	.19
BC Defense	12	32.8	31.9	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	24.8	24.6	35.1%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	34%	37%	19%	.08
BC Offense	12	25.4	25.7	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	28:55	20.8	33%	61%	7.3	67.4	1.8	1.6	7.7	2.4	6	33.3
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	43% (115)	41% (96)	33.1	117.7	3.6	18 (70)	.06 (97)	2.63 (122)	67% (97)	11% (107)	1.01 (51)
BC Defense	12	50% (70)	44% (86)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.79 (51)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	46% (26)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (7)	2.34 (6)	69% (53)	13% (8)	0.96 (69)
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (92)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (106)	80% (14)	10% (84)	0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	55% (23)	41% (75)	22.2	35.7	273.5	7.7	12.3	29 (8)	15 (127)	.34 (40)	1.7 (29)	33% (103)	31% (63)	.35 (53)	8% (123)	2 (66)
BC Defense	12	47% (57)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (106)	.36 (99)	5% (102)	2 (75)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	52% (109)	37% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (31)	.21 (53)	1.6 (110)	37% (8)	26% (19)	.17 (20)	6% (47)	2.1 (92)
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (66)	1.4 (125)	31% (63)	31% (54)	.32 (63)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.90 #34
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 12.38 #58
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 9.48 #23
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Pittsburgh's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 7.90 Boston College: -2.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.4 Boston College: -8.5

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -2.075 #62
Boston College's Offense Rating: 9.76 #72
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.41 #58
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 34
Boston College 24

Projected Total Points: 58

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Pittsburgh	48	Boston College	7	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	54.5	Over
2024	11/30	Boston College	34	Pittsburgh	23	Boston College -3.5	Boston College	50.5	Over
2023	11/16	Pittsburgh	24	Boston College	16	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	47.0	Under
2020	10/10	Boston College	31	Pittsburgh	30	Pittsburgh -6.0	Boston College	42.5	Over
2019	11/30	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	26	Pittsburgh -9	Boston College	52.0	Under
2014	09/05	Boston College	20	Pittsburgh	30	Boston College -1	Pittsburgh	0
2004	10/16	Pittsburgh	20	Boston College	17
2003	11/01	Boston College	13	Pittsburgh	24
2002	10/26	Pittsburgh	19	Boston College	16
2001	10/20	Boston College	45	Pittsburgh	7
2000	10/20	Pittsburgh	42	Boston College	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	4	3	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	7	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	4 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 8	2 - 4	0 - 1	2 - 3

(#34) PITT at (#62) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#34	#62
SP+SP+	#36	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#60	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#101

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#94	#82
ExplosiveExp	#10	#127
PPAPPA	#57	#115
PowerPwr	#58	#58
SP+SP+	#39	#107
Pts POPPO	#74	#83
HavocHav	#120	#126

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#96	#86
Run ExplRExp	#51	#106
PPAExp	#97	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#129	#43
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#75	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#29	#127
PPAExp	#40	#121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#127
DB HavocDB	#123	#102

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#66	#11
ExplosiveExp	#93	#119
PPAPPA	#79	#24
PowerPwr	#72	#23
SP+SP+	#97	#47
Pts POPPO	#99	#82
HavocHav	#92	#13

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#7
Run ExplRExp	#106	#69
PPAExp	#104	#7
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#7
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#110
PPAExp	#66	#53
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#8
DB HavocDB	#99	#47

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Boston College last year (48-7)
Boston College beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (34-23)
Pittsburgh beat Boston College in 2023 (24-16)

PITT's OC Kade Bell (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mason Heintschel	201	316	64%	2357	16	8	7.5
Holden Geriner (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner	140	747	7	5.3	56
La'Vell Wright (Tr)	85	471	10	5.5	39
Mason Heintschel	86	88	2	1.0	36
Justin Cook	9	31	0	3.4	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cataurus Hicks	24	422	4	17.6	84
Bryce Yates	11	202	1	18.4	68
Elijah Lagg (Tr)	20	164	0	8.2	17
Ja'Kyrian Turner	25	150	0	6.0	28

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2
Cruce Brookins	53	1	0	0	2
Demarco Ward (Tr)	50	3	0	1	0
Alex Sanford	47	4	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Scott	17	8	4	8	1
Isaiah Neal	36	7	4	4	1
Cameron Lindsey	32	6	2	0	1
Zach Crothers	15	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shadarian Harrison	29	0	0	0	3
Josh Guerrier	8	0	0	0	3
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Jordan Mcdonald	94	397	4	4.2	17
Nolan Ray (Tr)	67	289	2	4.3	53
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45
Dawson Pough	13	197	1	15.2	52
Javarius Green (Tr)	13	150	0	11.5	39
Jaedn Skeete	13	140	3	10.8	22

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Isaiah Farris	28	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)	13	3	2	0	0
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Kemori Dixon	4	1	1	0	0
Justin Medlock (Tr)	25	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Syair Torrence	5	3
Ashton Cunningham	13	3