Syracuse at Pittsburgh - 2026 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Thursday, September 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Acrisure Stadium - Pittsburgh, PA

 
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -18  (SP+ PITT -22)

Projected Score: SYR: 20 - PITT: 38 (58)
PITT Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
SYR Travel: 268 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (80 - 61)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12 Syracuse vs California+5.5
Thu 9/17 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Syracuse at UConn+5.5
Sat 10/10 Syracuse at Virginia+18.5
Sat 10/17 Syracuse vs Louisville+15.5
Sat 10/24 Syracuse at North Carolina+9
Fri 10/30 Syracuse vs SMU+16.5
Fri 11/6 Syracuse vs Clemson+13.5
Sat 11/14 Syracuse at NC State+17
Sat 11/21 Syracuse at Boston College+5.5
Sat 11/28 Syracuse vs Notre Dame+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH)-14.5
Sat 9/12 Pittsburgh vs UCF-13
Thu 9/17 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-18
Sat 9/26 Pittsburgh vs Bucknell-31.5
Fri 10/2 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-7.5
Sat 10/10 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/17 Pittsburgh at Boston College-10
Sat 10/24 Pittsburgh at Miami+17.5
Sat 10/31 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-4
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/13 Pittsburgh vs Florida State-3
Sat 11/21 Pittsburgh at Louisville+5
Sat 11/28 Pittsburgh at California-5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#127 (.03)38% (117)20.241% (95)2.61 (124)12335% (125)2172.98 (123)#129 (.28)45% (120)34.945% (98)46% (120)4.15 (113)54.91.90.8
PITT#57 (.19)41% (94)33.741% (96)2.63 (122)11841% (75)2743.65 (74)#24 (.08)35% (11)24.834% (7)37% (23)3.81 (82)67.41.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1220.21737.7%2.981.9193401232173.447%52%41%35%19%.03
PITT Defense1324.825.135.1%3.811.6 - - - - - 46%52%34%37%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1234.940.245.4%4.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%45%46%13%.28
PITT Offense1333.736.640.6%3.651.8213911182743.643%55%41%41%18%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1230:2819.435%47%6.254.91.90.84.81.6027.6
Pittsburgh1328:5520.833%61%7.367.41.81.67.72.4633.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1247% (89)41% (95)36.2123.13.412 (88) (122)2.61 (124)70% (83)11% (105)0.87 (115)
PITT Defense1346% (26)34% (7) - - - - -.06 (7)2.34 (6)69% (53)13% (8)0.96 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1247% (29)45% (98) - - - - .11 (78)2.92 (77)64% (24)8% (112)1.04 (107)
PITT Offense1343% (115)41% (96)33.1117.73.618 (70).06 (97)2.63 (122)67% (97)11% (107)1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1252% (42)35% (125)19.234217.36.411.317 (30)15 (132).1 (124)1.6 (52)33% (94)24% (124).12 (128)8% (129)2.1 (44)
PITT Defense1352% (109)37% (23) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (53)1.6 (110)37% (8)26% (19).17 (20)6% (47)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1252% (114)46% (120) - - - - - - 5 (55).44 (131)1.5 (60)29% (106)33% (108).48 (132)5% (99)2.1 (90)
PITT Offense1355% (23)41% (75)22.235.7273.57.712.329 (8)15 (127).34 (40)1.7 (29)33% (103)31% (63).35 (53)8% (123)2 (66)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -1.90  #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62  #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52  #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.90   Pittsburgh: 10.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -13.1   Pittsburgh: 8.4




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 10.65  #34
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 12.38  #58
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 9.48  #23
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Pittsburgh's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 38
Syracuse 20


Projected Total Points: 58
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Syracuse13Pittsburgh30Pittsburgh -9.5Pittsburgh54.5Under
202410/24Pittsburgh41Syracuse13Pittsburgh -5.0Pittsburgh62.5Under
202311/11Syracuse28Pittsburgh13Pittsburgh -4.5Syracuse37.5Over
202211/05Pittsburgh19Syracuse9Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh47.5Under
202111/27Syracuse14Pittsburgh31Pittsburgh -12Pittsburgh58.5Under
202009/19Pittsburgh21Syracuse10Pittsburgh -21.5Syracuse46.5Under
201910/18Syracuse20Pittsburgh27Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
201810/06Pittsburgh44Syracuse37Syracuse -3.5Pittsburgh58.0Over
201710/07Syracuse27Pittsburgh24Syracuse -3Push63.0Under
201611/26Pittsburgh76Syracuse61Pittsburgh -23.5Syracuse65.5Over
201510/24Syracuse20Pittsburgh23Pittsburgh -6.5Syracuse49.0Under
201411/22Pittsburgh30Syracuse7Pittsburgh -8Pittsburgh0
201311/23Syracuse16Pittsburgh17Pittsburgh -1.5Syracuse0
201210/05Syracuse14Pittsburgh13
201112/03Pittsburgh33Syracuse20
201010/16Syracuse14Pittsburgh45
200911/07Pittsburgh37Syracuse10
200809/27Syracuse24Pittsburgh34
200711/03Pittsburgh20Syracuse17
200610/07Syracuse11Pittsburgh21
200510/22Pittsburgh34Syracuse17
200411/06Syracuse38Pittsburgh31
200310/25Pittsburgh34Syracuse14
200210/05Syracuse24Pittsburgh48
200110/13Pittsburgh10Syracuse42
200010/06Syracuse24Pittsburgh17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh2073 Overs
Syracuse658 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 73 - 42 - 3

(#67) SYR at (#34) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSYRPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #67 #34
SP+SP+ #115 #36
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #40 #60
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #56
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #117 #11
ExplosiveExp #96 #119
PPAPPA #127 #24
PowerPwr #56 #23
SP+SP+ #115 #47
Pts POPPO #123 #82
HavocHav #125 #13
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #7
Run ExplRExp #115 #69
PPAExp #122 #7
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #124 #6
Stuff RateStuff #69 #7
TackleTak - NR
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #23
Pass ExplPExl #52 #110
PPAExp #124 #53
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #105 #8
DB HavocDB #129 #47
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatPITT OffSYR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #94 #120
ExplosiveExp #10 #106
PPAPPA #57 #129
PowerPwr #58 #81
SP+SP+ #39 #106
Pts POPPO #74 #113
HavocHav #120 #114
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #96 #98
Run ExplRExp #51 #107
PPAExp #97 #78
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #122 #77
Stuff RateStuff #129 #42
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatPITT OffSYR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #75 #120
Pass ExplPExl #29 #60
PPAExp #40 #131
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #107 #112
DB HavocDB #123 #99
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (30-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2024 (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)

  
SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom (Tr)18929165%25941988.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Odom (Tr)12034772.924
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Braden Davis8812011.433
Joseph Filardi308712.926
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)45642114.336
Noah Meyers (Tr)32357311.262
Darien Williams9112112.435
Tyshawn Russell884010.528

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)594124
Gary Bryant III535110
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Antoine Deslauriers483102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jamie Tremble103320
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)226311
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Nazir Ward (Tr)353106

PITT's OC Kade Bell (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason Heintschel20131664%23571687.5
Holden Geriner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner14074775.356
La'Vell Wright (Tr)85471105.539
Mason Heintschel868821.036
Justin Cook93103.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cataurus Hicks24422417.684
Bryce Yates11202118.468
Elijah Lagg (Tr)2016408.217
Ja'Kyrian Turner2515006.028

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Lovelace796162
Cruce Brookins531002
Demarco Ward (Tr)503010
Alex Sanford474001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Scott178481
Isaiah Neal367441
Cameron Lindsey326201
Zach Crothers153210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadarian Harrison290003
Josh Guerrier80003
Braylan Lovelace796162