Pittsburgh at Louisville - 2026 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY

Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (80 - 61)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -5 (SP+ LOU -4)
Projected Score: PITT: 25 - LOU: 30 (55)
LOU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
PITT Travel: 344 miles

Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH)	-14.5
Sat 9/12	Pittsburgh vs UCF	-13
Thu 9/17	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-18
Sat 9/26	Pittsburgh vs Bucknell	-31.5
Fri 10/2	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	-11.5
Sat 10/17	Pittsburgh at Boston College	-10
Sat 10/24	Pittsburgh at Miami	+17.5
Sat 10/31	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-4
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/13	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	-3
Sat 11/21	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+5
Sat 11/28	Pittsburgh at California	-5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Louisville's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Louisville at Ole Miss	+12.5
Fri 9/11	Louisville vs Villanova	-34
Sat 9/19	Louisville vs SMU	-1.5
Sat 9/26	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-7
Sat 10/3	Louisville at NC State	-1
Fri 10/9	Louisville vs Florida State	-5.5
Sat 10/17	Louisville at Syracuse	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Louisville vs Stanford	-18
Fri 11/6	Louisville at Georgia Tech	-1
Sat 11/14	Louisville at North Carolina	-9
Sat 11/21	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-5
Sat 11/28	Louisville at Kentucky	-5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#57 (.19)	41% (94)	33.7	41% (96)	2.63 (122)	118	41% (75)	274	3.65 (74)	#24 (.08)	35% (11)	24.8	34% (7)	37% (23)	3.81 (82)	67.4	1.8	1.6
LOU	#84 (.15)	45% (44)	29.9	50% (8)	2.75 (105)	164	41% (74)	221	3.62 (77)	#15 (.05)	37% (16)	21.2	38% (15)	37% (19)	3.38 (43)	63.2	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	33.7	33	40.6%	3.65	1.8	21	391	118	274	3.6	43%	55%	41%	41%	18%	.19
LOU Defense	13	21.2	18.9	36.7%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	38%	37%	17%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	24.8	24.6	35.1%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	34%	37%	19%	.08
LOU Offense	13	29.9	33.8	44.7%	3.62	1.3	20	385	164	221	5.1	44%	53%	50%	41%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	28:55	20.8	33%	61%	7.3	67.4	1.8	1.6	7.7	2.4	6	33.3
Louisville	13	30:12	19.6	35%	64%	6.9	63.2	1.3	1.5	5.9	2.4	2	32.4

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	43% (115)	41% (96)	33.1	117.7	3.6	18 (70)	.06 (97)	2.63 (122)	67% (97)	11% (107)	1.01 (51)
LOU Defense	13	46% (17)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	.07 (51)	2.74 (41)	75% (97)	11% (38)	0.95 (63)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	46% (26)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (7)	2.34 (6)	69% (53)	13% (8)	0.96 (69)
LOU Offense	13	44% (111)	50% (8)	32.3	164	5.1	25 (70)	.21 (21)	2.75 (105)	65% (108)	10% (98)	1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	55% (23)	41% (75)	22.2	35.7	273.5	7.7	12.3	29 (8)	15 (127)	.34 (40)	1.7 (29)	33% (103)	31% (63)	.35 (53)	8% (123)	2 (66)
LOU Defense	13	53% (120)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (6)	.06 (6)	1.4 (7)	34% (24)	24% (8)	.11 (9)	7% (38)	1.9 (23)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	52% (109)	37% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (31)	.21 (53)	1.6 (110)	37% (8)	26% (19)	.17 (20)	6% (47)	2.1 (92)
LOU Offense	13	53% (35)	41% (74)	20.6	32.2	220.6	6.9	10.7	18 (75)	9 (60)	.13 (119)	1.4 (131)	28% (21)	27% (104)	.14 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (107)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.90 #34
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 12.38 #58
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 9.48 #23
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Pittsburgh's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 7.90 Louisville: 13.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.4 Louisville: 12.4

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.015 #30
Louisville's Offense Rating: 14.86 #36
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.23 #31
2026 Talent Rating: 750.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 30
Pittsburgh 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Pittsburgh	27	Louisville	34	Louisville -3	Louisville	53.5	Over
2024	11/23	Louisville	37	Pittsburgh	9	Louisville -7	Louisville	57.0	Under
2023	10/14	Pittsburgh	38	Louisville	21	Louisville -7.5	Pittsburgh	44.5	Over
2022	10/22	Louisville	24	Pittsburgh	10	Louisville -1.5	Louisville	55.0	Under
2020	09/26	Pittsburgh	23	Louisville	20	Pittsburgh -3	Push	53.0	Under
2015	11/21	Pittsburgh	45	Louisville	34	Pittsburgh -1.5	Pittsburgh	48.5	Over
2012	10/13	Pittsburgh	35	Louisville	45
2011	11/12	Louisville	14	Pittsburgh	21
2010	10/30	Pittsburgh	20	Louisville	3
2009	10/02	Louisville	10	Pittsburgh	35
2008	11/08	Pittsburgh	41	Louisville	7
2007	10/27	Louisville	24	Pittsburgh	17
2006	11/25	Pittsburgh	24	Louisville	48
2005	11/03	Louisville	42	Pittsburgh	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	7	3	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	7	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	1 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 3

(#34) PITT at (#30) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#34	#30
SP+SP+	#36	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#60	#64
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#46

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#94	#16
ExplosiveExp	#10	#26
PPAPPA	#57	#15
PowerPwr	#58	#31
SP+SP+	#39	#29
Pts POPPO	#74	#43
HavocHav	#120	#33

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#96	#15
Run ExplRExp	#51	#63
PPAExp	#97	#51
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#129	#52
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#75	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#29	#7
PPAExp	#40	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	#38
DB HavocDB	#123	#38

Louisville on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#44	#11
ExplosiveExp	#90	#119
PPAPPA	#84	#24
PowerPwr	#36	#23
SP+SP+	#39	#47
Pts POPPO	#77	#82
HavocHav	#93	#13

Louisville Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#7
Run ExplRExp	#28	#69
PPAExp	#21	#7
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#7
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#110
PPAExp	#119	#53
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#98	#8
DB HavocDB	#90	#47

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (34-27)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)

PITT's OC Kade Bell (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mason Heintschel	201	316	64%	2357	16	8	7.5
Holden Geriner (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner	140	747	7	5.3	56
La'Vell Wright (Tr)	85	471	10	5.5	39
Mason Heintschel	86	88	2	1.0	36
Justin Cook	9	31	0	3.4	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cataurus Hicks	24	422	4	17.6	84
Bryce Yates	11	202	1	18.4	68
Elijah Lagg (Tr)	20	164	0	8.2	17
Ja'Kyrian Turner	25	150	0	6.0	28

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2
Cruce Brookins	53	1	0	0	2
Demarco Ward (Tr)	50	3	0	1	0
Alex Sanford	47	4	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Scott	17	8	4	8	1
Isaiah Neal	36	7	4	4	1
Cameron Lindsey	32	6	2	0	1
Zach Crothers	15	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shadarian Harrison	29	0	0	0	3
Josh Guerrier	8	0	0	0	3
Braylan Lovelace	79	6	1	6	2

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lincoln Kienholz (Tr)	11	14	79%	139	1	0	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyjuan Brown	96	704	6	7.3	67
Braxton Jennings	37	200	1	5.4	22
Marquise Davis (Tr)	34	200	2	5.9	23
Shaun Boykins	37	190	1	5.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)	47	810	7	17.2	75
Jackson Voth (Tr)	48	536	4	11.2	35
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Lawayne McCoy (Tr)	27	403	3	14.9	34

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Koen Entringer (Tr)	73	4	0	1	3
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Corey Gordon	53	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Tyler Thompson (Tr)	26	8	7	1	1
Adonijah Green	31	6	4	4	0
Antonio Watts	42	7	3	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Tayon Holloway	42	4	1	0	4
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3