Pittsburgh at Miami - 2026 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Miami HurricanesMiami logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL

 
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (80 - 61)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Miami -17.5  (SP+ MIAMI -12)
Projected Score: PITT: 17 - MIAMI: 35 (52)
MIAMI Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
PITT Travel: 1001 miles
Hurricanes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (35 - 19)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Pittsburgh vs Miami (OH)-14.5
Sat 9/12 Pittsburgh vs UCF-13
Thu 9/17 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-18
Sat 9/26 Pittsburgh vs Bucknell-31.5
Fri 10/2 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-7.5
Sat 10/10 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/17 Pittsburgh at Boston College-10
Sat 10/24 Pittsburgh at Miami+17.5
Sat 10/31 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech-4
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/13 Pittsburgh vs Florida State-3
Sat 11/21 Pittsburgh at Louisville+5
Sat 11/28 Pittsburgh at California-5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Miami's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Miami at Stanford-26
Thu 9/10 Miami vs Florida A&M-47
Fri 9/18 Miami at Wake Forest-15
Sat 9/26 Miami vs Central Michigan-35.5
Sat 10/3 Miami at Clemson-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Miami vs Florida State-18
Sat 10/24 Miami vs Pittsburgh-17.5
Sat 10/31 Miami at North Carolina-22
Sat 11/7 Miami at Notre Dame+6
Sat 11/14 Miami vs Duke-21.5
Fri 11/20 Miami vs Virginia Tech-28
Sat 11/28 Miami vs Boston College-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#57 (.19)41% (94)33.741% (96)2.63 (122)11841% (75)2743.65 (74)#24 (.08)35% (11)24.834% (7)37% (23)3.81 (82)67.41.81.6
MIAMI#35 (.22)46% (23)30.945% (58)3.13 (35)14549% (10)2394.36 (24)#14 (.05)37% (15)14.836% (10)38% (28)2.51 (5)53.50.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73340.6%3.651.8213911182743.643%55%41%41%18%.19
MIAMI Defense1614.811.836.6%2.511.6 - - - - - 43%55%36%38%19%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.635.1%3.811.6 - - - - - 46%52%34%37%19%.08
MIAMI Offense1630.936.146.4%4.360.9213841452394.350%48%45%49%12%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1328:5520.833%61%7.367.41.81.67.72.4633.3
Miami1631:3520.948%67%6.653.50.91.662.9330.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1343% (115)41% (96)33.1117.73.618 (70).06 (97)2.63 (122)67% (97)11% (107)1.01 (51)
MIAMI Defense1643% (4)36% (10) - - - - .01 (16)2.58 (14)73% (80)12% (15)1.01 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1346% (26)34% (7) - - - - -.06 (7)2.34 (6)69% (53)13% (8)0.96 (69)
MIAMI Offense1650% (62)45% (58)33.9144.94.326 (40).09 (76)3.13 (35)83% (4)6% (4)0.8 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1355% (23)41% (75)22.235.7273.57.712.329 (8)15 (127).34 (40)1.7 (29)33% (103)31% (63).35 (53)8% (123)2 (66)
MIAMI Defense1655% (131)38% (28) - - - - - - 16 (55).13 (21)1.5 (29)36% (13)28% (50).21 (29)7% (15)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1352% (109)37% (23) - - - - - - 15 (31).21 (53)1.6 (110)37% (8)26% (19).17 (20)6% (47)2.1 (92)
MIAMI Offense1648% (79)49% (10)2129238.78.211.431 (61)11 (108).43 (13)1.5 (88)26% (8)32% (44).37 (42)6% (65)2.1 (59)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 7.90  #34
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 12.38  #58
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 9.48  #23
2026 Talent Rating: 782.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Pittsburgh's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Pittsburgh's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #36
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 7.90   Miami: 25.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.4   Miami: 20.7




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 25.855  #5
Miami's Offense Rating: 22.96  #9
Miami's Defense Rating: 1.95  #6
2026 Talent Rating: 1036.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 55  #9
Miami's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Miami's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #9
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 35
Pittsburgh 17

Projected Total Points: 52
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Pittsburgh7Miami38Miami -6.5Miami49.5Under
202211/26Miami16Pittsburgh42Pittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh43.0Over
202110/30Pittsburgh34Miami38Pittsburgh -9.5Miami61.0Over
202010/17Miami31Pittsburgh19Miami -12.5Pittsburgh47.5Over
201910/26Pittsburgh12Miami16Pittsburgh -4.5Miami43.0Under
201811/24Miami24Pittsburgh3Miami -5.5Miami45.5Under
201711/24Pittsburgh24Miami14Miami -12Pittsburgh54.0Under
201611/05Miami51Pittsburgh28Miami -6Miami58.0Over
201511/27Pittsburgh24Miami29Pittsburgh -7Miami54.5Under
201411/29Miami23Pittsburgh35Miami -9.5Pittsburgh0
201311/29Pittsburgh31Miami41Miami -3Miami0
201009/23Pittsburgh3Miami31
200311/29Pittsburgh14Miami28
200109/27Pittsburgh21Miami43
200011/10Miami35Pittsburgh7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami1274 Overs
Pittsburgh345 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 103 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams10 - 58 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#34) PITT at (#5) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTMIAMI
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #34 #5
SP+SP+ #36 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #60 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #9
Pittsburgh on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffMIAMI Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #94 #15
ExplosiveExp #10 #81
PPAPPA #57 #14
PowerPwr #58 #6
SP+SP+ #39 #7
Pts POPPO #74 #5
HavocHav #120 #13
Pittsburgh Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #96 #10
Run ExplRExp #51 #94
PPAExp #97 #16
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #122 #14
Stuff RateStuff #129 #49
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
PITT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #75 #28
Pass ExplPExl #29 #29
PPAExp #40 #21
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #107 #15
DB HavocDB #123 #15
Miami on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #23 #11
ExplosiveExp #126 #119
PPAPPA #35 #24
PowerPwr #9 #23
SP+SP+ #22 #47
Pts POPPO #24 #82
HavocHav #13 #13
Miami Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #7
Run ExplRExp #128 #69
PPAExp #76 #7
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #35 #6
Stuff RateStuff #16 #7
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #23
Pass ExplPExl #88 #110
PPAExp #13 #53
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #4 #8
DB HavocDB #65 #47
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Pittsburgh last year (38-7)

  
PITT's OC Kade Bell (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason Heintschel20131664%23571687.5
Holden Geriner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Kyrian Turner14074775.356
La'Vell Wright (Tr)85471105.539
Mason Heintschel868821.036
Justin Cook93103.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cataurus Hicks24422417.684
Bryce Yates11202118.468
Elijah Lagg (Tr)2016408.217
Ja'Kyrian Turner2515006.028

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Lovelace796162
Cruce Brookins531002
Demarco Ward (Tr)503010
Alex Sanford474001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Scott178481
Isaiah Neal367441
Cameron Lindsey326201
Zach Crothers153210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadarian Harrison290003
Josh Guerrier80003
Braylan Lovelace796162

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah33450067%39733467.9
Malachi Toney4757%822011.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Fletcher Jr.2161192125.557
CharMar Brown12246073.813
Girard Pringle Jr.6237546.038
Malachi Toney2311314.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Toney10912111011.161
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Elija Lofton2321839.529

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure843216
Omar Thornton (Tr)828211
Zechariah Poyser683115
Xavier Lucas452118
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Ahmad Moten319540
Marquise Lightfoot256361
Armondo Blount173361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Lucas452118
OJ Frederique Jr.190007
Mohamed Toure843216