UTSA at Texas - 2026 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas Longhorns

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX

Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#43)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

UTSA 2nd straight Road Game
TEX 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas -24.5 (SP+ TEX -13)
Projected Score: UTSA: 16 - TEX: 41 (57)
TEX Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
UTSA Travel: 75 miles

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley	-24
Sat 9/12	UTSA at Texas State	+4
Sat 9/19	UTSA at Texas	+24.5
Sat 9/26	UTSA vs Colorado State	-13.5
Sat 10/3	UTSA at Rice	-11.5
Thu 10/8	UTSA vs South Florida	+5
Sat 10/17	UTSA vs Navy	-2.5
Sat 10/24	UTSA at Tulane	+3.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-6
Sat 11/14	UTSA vs North Texas	+2
Sat 11/21	UTSA at UAB	-10
Sat 11/28	UTSA vs Tulsa	-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-23
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+4.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-24.5
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-15.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-2.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-20.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-1
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#31 (.23)	45% (35)	35.5	45% (47)	2.81 (94)	174	47% (21)	247	4.23 (27)	#82 (.18)	40% (46)	28.8	40% (44)	40% (49)	4.2 (115)	68.7	0.9	1.4
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	35.5	21.7	45.5%	4.23	0.9	22	421	174	247	5.1	46%	52%	45%	47%	16%	.23
TEX Defense	13	20.3	17	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	28.8	33.7	39.6%	4.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	40%	40%	19%	.18
TEX Offense	13	30.5	38.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	31:51	21.8	40%	46%	7.3	68.7	0.9	1.4	5.9	1.8	2	31.8
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	46% (100)	45% (47)	34.2	174.1	5.1	21 (49)	.19 (35)	2.81 (94)	73% (61)	10% (102)	1.17 (6)
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	50% (65)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	.12 (85)	2.86 (62)	64% (20)	11% (20)	0.97 (73)
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	52% (37)	47% (21)	22.9	34.4	247.2	7.2	10.8	34 (33)	7 (34)	.33 (43)	1.5 (96)	30% (47)	36% (21)	.45 (21)	6% (55)	2.2 (15)
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	49% (77)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.29 (85)	1.8 (131)	35% (18)	28% (47)	.3 (69)	7% (20)	2.2 (123)
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -2.91 #84
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.64 #81
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.55 #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 572.14
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -2.91 Texas: 24.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 3.7 Texas: 16.2

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 24.895 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Texas's Defense Rating: 0.41 #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1122.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #8
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 41
UTSA 16

Projected Total Points: 57

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Texas	56	UTSA	7	Texas -36.5	Texas	56.5	Over
2022	09/17	Texas	41	UTSA	20	Texas -13	Texas	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	2	2	2 Overs
UTSA	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#84) UTSA at (#4) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#84	#4
SP+SP+	#62	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	#57	#8

UTSA Notes(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report

Texas Notes(2/17) Vibes: Biggest expectations of UT since 2005
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 49% of drop backs LY
(2/2) OL bad LY, 3 Portal starters added. Good exp
(1/29) LB Biles + Simmons both top 10 pass rusher LY
(1/29) CB duo looks great, McDonald @ S underrated
(1/28) RBs much better w R Brown & H Smothers added
(1/28) Def has a great F7, DL is big, good & exp'd
(1/28) Firing DC Kwiatkowski for Muschamp is a choice
(1/28) QB Manning improved LY, can he jump to elite?
(1/28) WRs Coleman & Wingo w/ depth. Best in CFB?
Texas Injury Report

UTSA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#35	#44
ExplosiveExp	#23	#28
PPAPPA	#31	#39
PowerPwr	#81	#7
SP+SP+	#27	#18
Pts POPPO	#27	#75
HavocHav	#80	#24

UTSA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#47	#45
Run ExplRExp	#6	#13
PPAExp	#35	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

UTSA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#38
PPAExp	#43	#52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#102	#20
DB HavocDB	#55	#38

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#46
ExplosiveExp	#14	#126
PPAPPA	#66	#82
PowerPwr	#4	#95
SP+SP+	#30	#91
Pts POPPO	#88	#115
HavocHav	#76	#18

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#44
Run ExplRExp	#79	#73
PPAExp	#83	#85
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#75
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#49
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#131
PPAExp	#50	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#20
DB HavocDB	#55	#20

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Texas beat UTSA in 2024 (56-7)

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	276	409	68%	2990	30	7	7.3
Brandon Tennison	20	34	59%	199	2	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Henderson III	125	866	6	6.9	59
A'Marion Peterson	49	177	3	3.6	14
Brandon High	23	98	1	4.3	22
Bryson Donnell	20	84	1	4.2	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
AJ Wilson	30	523	4	17.4	77
David Amador	45	443	4	9.8	45
DJ Allen	20	189	3	9.5	43
Will Henderson III	19	132	2	6.9	40

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Tucker Jr.	35	3	0	4	0
Owen Pewee	28	4	0	6	1
Marcellus Wilkerson	27	3	1	1	1
Jakevian Rodgers	23	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)	23	6	4	4	4
James Walley Jr.	19	6	2	0	2
Marcellus Wilkerson	27	3	1	1	1
Timothy Huff Jr.	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakevian Rodgers	23	2	0	0	4
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)	23	6	4	4	4
Cam Upshaw Jr.	13	1	0	0	2

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
James Simon	29	122	0	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)	30	416	2	13.9	51
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Lance Jackson	16	2	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4