Texas at Missouri - 2026 Matchup Preview

Texas Longhorns at Missouri Tigers

Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO (SEC)

Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (46 - 20)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -1 (SP+ TEX -2)
Projected Score: TEX: 27 - MIZ: 26 (52)
TEX Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TEX Travel: 672 miles

Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (46 - 29)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas vs Texas State	-23
Sat 9/12	Texas vs Ohio State	+4.5
Sat 9/19	Texas vs UTSA	-24.5
Sat 9/26	Texas at Tennessee	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas at Oklahoma	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Texas vs Florida	-15.5
Sat 10/24	Texas vs Ole Miss	-2.5
Sat 10/31	Texas vs Mississippi State	-20.5
Sat 11/7	Texas at Missouri	-1
Sat 11/14	Texas at LSU	-1
Sat 11/21	Texas vs Arkansas	-20
Fri 11/27	Texas at Texas A&M	+4

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Missouri's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-42
Sat 9/12	Missouri at Kansas	-12.5
Sat 9/19	Missouri vs Troy	-29
Sat 9/26	Missouri at Mississippi State	-12
Sat 10/3	Missouri vs Florida	-12
Sat 10/10	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Missouri at Ole Miss	+6.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Missouri at Arkansas	-11
Sat 11/7	Missouri vs Texas	+1
Sat 11/14	Missouri at Georgia	+10.5
Sat 11/21	Missouri vs Kentucky	-17
Sat 11/28	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+1

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	#66 (.18)	40% (96)	30.5	42% (83)	2.83 (87)	138	39% (100)	251	3.52 (88)	#39 (.1)	39% (44)	20.3	40% (45)	39% (42)	3.77 (75)	69.7	0.7	1.8
MIZ	#50 (.2)	45% (42)	30.2	48% (21)	3.12 (37)	228	42% (64)	188	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	36% (8)	35% (12)	3.36 (40)	51.2	1.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	30.5	19.8	40.5%	3.52	0.7	19	389	138	251	4.2	47%	51%	42%	39%	16%	.18
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	34.6%	3.36	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	20.3	25.8	39.4%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	40%	39%	18%	.1
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.8%	3.85	1.3	23	417	228	188	5.3	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	28:29	19	39%	53%	8.3	69.7	0.7	1.8	6.3	3	2	31.3
Missouri	13	31:51	23.1	45%	59%	5.5	51.2	1.3	0.9	6.9	2.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	47% (91)	42% (83)	32.5	138	4.2	17 (88)	.08 (83)	2.83 (87)	63% (116)	10% (95)	0.94 (79)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (20)	2.64 (23)	69% (50)	12% (10)	0.95 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	44% (13)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.69 (30)	57% (4)	11% (20)	0.84 (13)
MIZ Offense	13	55% (31)	48% (21)	42.8	228.5	5.3	31 (4)	.23 (15)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (47)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	51% (48)	39% (100)	19.8	32.3	250.7	7.8	12.6	28 (50)	7 (60)	.29 (50)	1.7 (11)	33% (99)	33% (38)	.43 (26)	6% (55)	2.2 (21)
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (14)	1.6 (82)	35% (20)	28% (35)	.27 (60)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55% (129)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.2 (52)	1.5 (38)	33% (48)	28% (37)	.22 (38)	7% (38)	1.8 (21)
MIZ Offense	13	43% (108)	42% (64)	17.6	27.8	188.4	6.8	10.7	15 (50)	11 (108)	.18 (108)	1.4 (115)	29% (35)	31% (61)	.28 (77)	4% (15)	2.1 (29)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 28.59 #4
Texas's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Texas's Defense Rating: 0.41 #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1122.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #8
Texas's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 28.59 Missouri: 21.18

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 16.2 Missouri: 14.4

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 21.18 #16
Missouri's Offense Rating: 20.52 #22
Missouri's Defense Rating: 2.56 #13
2026 Talent Rating: 922.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 27 #21
Missouri's 2026 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Missouri's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 27
Missouri 26

Projected Total Points: 52

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	12/27	Missouri	16	Texas	33	Missouri -3	Texas	62.0	Under
2011	11/12	Missouri	17	Texas	5
2009	10/24	Missouri	7	Texas	41
2008	10/18	Texas	56	Missouri	31
2005	10/01	Missouri	20	Texas	51
2004	10/16	Texas	28	Missouri	20
2001	10/27	Missouri	16	Texas	35
2000	10/20	Texas	46	Missouri	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	1	0	0 Overs
Texas	7	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 4	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#4) TEX at (#16) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#16
SP+SP+	#17	#21
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#5	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	#8	#21

Texas Notes(2/17) Vibes: Biggest expectations of UT since 2005
(2/6) OL allowed pressure on 49% of drop backs LY
(2/2) OL bad LY, 3 Portal starters added. Good exp
(1/29) LB Biles + Simmons both top 10 pass rusher LY
(1/29) CB duo looks great, McDonald @ S underrated
(1/28) RBs much better w R Brown & H Smothers added
(1/28) Def has a great F7, DL is big, good & exp'd
(1/28) Firing DC Kwiatkowski for Muschamp is a choice
(1/28) QB Manning improved LY, can he jump to elite?
(1/28) WRs Coleman & Wingo w/ depth. Best in CFB?
Texas Injury Report

Missouri Notes(2/17) Vibes: Good, LY a step back but '26 looks exciting
(2/2) Did not beat team w winning record LY.
(1/29) New OC hire of Chip Lindsey? Not a fan
(1/29) QB Horn back from inj, Simmons (Miss) added
(1/29) RB loaded w Hardy & Roberts + Edwards (1k FCS)
(1/29) WR rebuild w 5 portals. Lee (Ole Miss) great add
(1/29) OL: 2 back + 5 portal adds, OT Green tops in CFB
(1/29) DL lost a ton, 6 portal adds. Biggest ? on roster
(1/29) DBs 6 portal adds, 1 starter, COV grades lacking
Missouri Injury Report

Texas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#96	#7
ExplosiveExp	#14	#73
PPAPPA	#66	#11
PowerPwr	#4	#13
SP+SP+	#30	#10
Pts POPPO	#88	#40
HavocHav	#76	#8

Texas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#8
Run ExplRExp	#79	#66
PPAExp	#83	#20
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#37
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#82
PPAExp	#50	#14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#95	#10
DB HavocDB	#55	#14

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#42	#44
ExplosiveExp	#86	#28
PPAPPA	#50	#39
PowerPwr	#22	#7
SP+SP+	#47	#18
Pts POPPO	#56	#75
HavocHav	#23	#24

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#45
Run ExplRExp	#26	#13
PPAExp	#15	#19
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#30
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#33
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#38
PPAExp	#108	#52
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#47	#20
DB HavocDB	#15	#38

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	248	404	61%	3163	26	7	7.8
MJ Morris (Tr)	35	60	58%	304	1	4	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown (Tr)	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Daylan Smothers	160	939	6	5.9	65
Arch Manning	92	399	10	4.3	60
James Simon	29	122	0	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Wingo	54	834	7	15.4	75
Cam Coleman (Tr)	57	725	5	12.7	46
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)	30	416	2	13.9	51
Emmett Mosley V	28	408	3	14.6	40

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Will Muschamp (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Jelani McDonald	80	4	0	1	3
Ty'Anthony Smith	59	6	1	1	1
Bo Mascoe (Tr)	48	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	43	16	12	15	2
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4
Brad Spence	21	6	3	2	0
Lance Jackson	16	2	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Graceson Littleton	46	3	0	0	6
Kade Phillips	22	2	0	0	6
Rasheem Biles (Tr)	100	17	5	4	4

MIZ's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7
Austin Simmons (Tr)	45	75	60%	744	4	5	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Xai'Shaun Edwards (Tr)	194	1019	12	5.3	60
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Malae Fonoti (Tr)	48	184	4	3.8	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cayden Lee (Tr)	44	635	3	14.4	62
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Brett Norfleet	31	254	5	8.2	27

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner	59	1	0	0	3
Chris Graves	33	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2
Robert Woodyard Jr. (Tr)	67	7	2	5	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Kensley Louidor-Faustin (Tr)	20	3	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	7
Chris Graves	33	1	0	4
Santana Banner	59	1	0	3