UTSA at Florida Atlantic - 2026 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls

Thursday, November 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#37)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

UTSA coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -6 (SP+ UTSA -12.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 35 - FAU: 29 (64)
UTSA Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UTSA Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#73)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley	-23.5
Sat 9/12	UTSA at Texas State	+3.5
Sat 9/19	UTSA at Texas	+24.5
Sat 9/26	UTSA vs Colorado State	-14
Sat 10/3	UTSA at Rice	-11.5
Thu 10/8	UTSA vs South Florida	+5
Sat 10/17	UTSA vs Navy	-2.5
Sat 10/24	UTSA at Tulane	+4
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-6
Sat 11/14	UTSA vs North Texas	+1.5
Sat 11/21	UTSA at UAB	-13.5
Sat 11/28	UTSA vs Tulsa	-9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+20.5
Sat 9/12	Florida Atlantic vs Navy	+6
Sat 9/19	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-3
Sat 9/26	Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe	-7.5
Sat 10/3	Florida Atlantic vs Texas Southern	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Florida Atlantic at Army	+8.5
Sat 10/24	Florida Atlantic vs Rice	-8
Thu 10/29	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+15
Thu 11/5	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+6
Sat 11/14	Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	+4.5
Sat 11/21	Florida Atlantic vs South Florida	+13.5
Fri 11/27	Florida Atlantic at East Carolina	+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#31 (.23)	45% (35)	35.5	45% (47)	2.81 (94)	174	47% (21)	247	4.23 (27)	#82 (.18)	40% (46)	28.8	40% (44)	40% (49)	4.2 (115)	68.7	0.9	1.4
FAU	#43 (.21)	42% (80)	29.5	40% (97)	2.76 (104)	105	43% (55)	341	3.49 (93)	#123 (.26)	45% (121)	36.3	49% (127)	42% (76)	4.58 (132)	56	2.4	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	35.5	21.7	45.5%	4.23	0.9	22	421	174	247	5.1	46%	52%	45%	47%	16%	.23
FAU Defense	12	36.3	35.5	45.5%	4.58	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	42%	14%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	28.8	33.7	39.6%	4.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	40%	40%	19%	.18
FAU Offense	12	29.5	37.2	41.7%	3.49	2.4	25	446	105	341	3.6	36%	62%	40%	43%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	31:51	21.8	40%	46%	7.3	68.7	0.9	1.4	5.9	1.8	2	31.8
Florida Atlantic	12	28:32	24.8	37%	66%	6.6	56	2.4	0.7	5.4	1.8	2	30.5

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	46% (100)	45% (47)	34.2	174.1	5.1	21 (49)	.19 (35)	2.81 (94)	73% (61)	10% (102)	1.17 (6)
FAU Defense	12	54% (111)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	.25 (133)	3.07 (103)	86% (133)	9% (89)	1.09 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	50% (65)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	.12 (85)	2.86 (62)	64% (20)	11% (20)	0.97 (73)
FAU Offense	12	36% (135)	40% (97)	29.5	105.2	3.6	13 (99)	.04 (108)	2.76 (104)	77% (30)	10% (91)	1.04 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	52% (37)	47% (21)	22.9	34.4	247.2	7.2	10.8	34 (33)	7 (34)	.33 (43)	1.5 (96)	30% (47)	36% (21)	.45 (21)	6% (55)	2.2 (15)
FAU Defense	12	45% (26)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31 (96)	1.6 (80)	29% (114)	29% (59)	.38 (108)	5% (110)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	49% (77)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.29 (85)	1.8 (131)	35% (18)	28% (47)	.3 (69)	7% (20)	2.2 (123)
FAU Offense	12	62% (4)	43% (55)	32	48.4	340.5	7	10.6	28 (22)	20 (134)	.33 (42)	1.6 (49)	34% (111)	31% (64)	.39 (33)	8% (125)	2.1 (25)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -3.33 #84
UTSA's Offense Rating: 11.47 #77
UTSA's Defense Rating: 19.80 #95
2026 Talent Rating: 578.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #57
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #62
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -3.33 Florida Atlantic: -5.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 3.7 Florida Atlantic: -8.7

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -5.65 #100
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 8.81 #92
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 21.41 #110
2026 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #87
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 35
Florida Atlantic 29

Projected Total Points: 64

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	UTSA	38	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA -4	UTSA	52.5	Over
2023	10/21	Florida Atlantic	10	UTSA	36	UT San Antonio -2.5	UTSA	58.5	Under
2020	10/31	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA	3	Florida Atlantic -4.5	Florida Atlantic	47.0	Under
2019	11/23	UTSA	26	Florida Atlantic	40	Florida Atlantic -21.5	UTSA	57.0	Over
2014	09/27	Florida Atlantic	41	UTSA	37	UT San Antonio -4	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	3	2	2 Overs
UTSA	2	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2

(#84) UTSA at (#100) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#84	#100
SP+SP+	#62	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	#57	#87

UTSA Notes(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

UTSA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#35	#121
ExplosiveExp	#23	#100
PPAPPA	#31	#123
PowerPwr	#77	#110
SP+SP+	#27	#131
Pts POPPO	#27	#132
HavocHav	#80	#106

UTSA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#47	#127
Run ExplRExp	#6	#122
PPAExp	#35	#133
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#103
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#122
TackleTak	-	NR

UTSA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#80
PPAExp	#43	#96
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#102	#89
DB HavocDB	#55	#110

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#80	#46
ExplosiveExp	#7	#126
PPAPPA	#43	#82
PowerPwr	#92	#95
SP+SP+	#64	#91
Pts POPPO	#93	#115
HavocHav	#111	#18

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#44
Run ExplRExp	#40	#73
PPAExp	#108	#85
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#75
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#49
Pass ExplPExl	#49	#131
PPAExp	#42	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#91	#20
DB HavocDB	#125	#20

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (38-24)
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (36-10)

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	276	409	68%	2990	30	7	7.3
Brandon Tennison	20	34	59%	199	2	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Henderson III	125	866	6	6.9	59
A'Marion Peterson	49	177	3	3.6	14
Brandon High	23	98	1	4.3	22
Bryson Donnell	20	84	1	4.2	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
AJ Wilson	30	523	4	17.4	77
David Amador	45	443	4	9.8	45
DJ Allen	20	189	3	9.5	43
Will Henderson III	19	132	2	6.9	40

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Tucker Jr.	35	3	0	4	0
Owen Pewee	28	4	0	6	1
Marcellus Wilkerson	27	3	1	1	1
Jakevian Rodgers	23	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)	23	6	4	4	4
James Walley Jr.	19	6	2	0	2
Marcellus Wilkerson	27	3	1	1	1
Timothy Huff Jr.	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakevian Rodgers	23	2	0	0	4
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)	23	6	4	4	4
Cam Upshaw Jr.	13	1	0	0	2

FAU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp	345	514	67%	3652	24	17	7.1
Drew Devillier (Tr)	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaden Shields-Dutton	83	460	6	5.5	50
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	2	61	0	30.5	38
Easton Messer	3	51	1	17.0	39
Caden Veltkamp	81	45	4	0.6	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer	100	1029	6	10.3	55
Dom Henry	40	575	4	14.4	90
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	27	283	0	10.5	28
Antonio Johnson (Tr)	20	231	5	11.6	30

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leon Hart Jr.	83	5	2	0	1
Khmari Johnson	41	3	0	2	0
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Gavench Marcelin	32	1	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4
Deshaun Batiste	23	4	4	3	0
Josh Roberts	22	5	3	2	0
Wilky Denaud	29	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Damarius McGhee	30	0	0	0	4
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4